GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · FRI, 17 JUL · 00:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
ST. LOUIS CITY
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME
SPORTING KANSAS CITY
⚽ 28' Jeong Sang-bin ⚽ 36' Marcel Hartel ⚽ 86' Eduard Löwen
GOALS
⚽ 42' Capita ⚽ 76' Dejan Joveljić
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ST.
2 – 2
SPO
most likely scoreline · 7.7% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 48%
FT 3 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
ST. WIN 38%
DRAW 48%
SPO WIN 14%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 89.9% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 90% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Tied at 84′ with 6 min remaining; draw is the most likely outcome. Late home surge possible but slim.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ST. LOUIS CITY CHALLENGED
38%
2–2 tie with only 6 minutes left — stalemate heavily favoured over either team scoring next
+25.0%
St. Louis home form (WWLLL) weakens expectation of late winner despite home advantage
+20.0%
SKC away form (WLLLW) and recent yellow card (78′) suggest defensive resilience holds
+15.0%
WHY SPORTING KANSAS CITY CHALLENGED
14%
2–2 tie with only 6 minutes left — stalemate heavily favoured over either team scoring next
+25.0%
St. Louis home form (WWLLL) weakens expectation of late winner despite home advantage
+20.0%
SKC away form (WLLLW) and recent yellow card (78′) suggest defensive resilience holds
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 2–2 tie with only 6 minutes left — stalemate heavily favoured over either team scoring next
  • St. Louis home form (WWLLL) weakens expectation of late winner despite home advantage
  • SKC away form (WLLLW) and recent yellow card (78′) suggest defensive resilience holds
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 28' JEONG SANG ⚽ 36' MARCEL HAR ⚽ 42' CAPITA ⚽ 76' DEJAN JOVE ⚽ 86' EDUARD Lö
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 5 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 7.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.8
3.5
3.3
2.1
1.0
0.4
0.1
1
3.9
7.3
6.9
4.4
2.1
0.8
0.3
2
4.0
7.7
7.3
4.6
2.2
0.8
0.3
3
2.8
5.4
5.1
3.2
1.5
0.6
0.2
4
1.5
2.8
2.7
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.6
1.2
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
6+
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 1 7.7%
1 — 1 7.3%
2 — 2 7.3%
1 — 2 6.9%
3 — 1 5.4%
Top 5 = 34.6% · rest 65.4%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.87
48.0%
2.08
+133.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.70
62.0%
1.61
+67.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.51
88.0%
1.14
+32.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.38
72.0%
1.39
-1.0%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.12
86.0%
1.16
-4.0%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
6.08
14.0%
7.14
-14.9%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.15
52.0%
1.92
-40.0%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.43
38.0%
2.63
-45.5%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.