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J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · WED, 29 APR · 04:00 LOCAL
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SHIMIZU S-PULSE
22'
1 – 0
V-VAREN NAGASAKI
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
LIVE-ADJUSTED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SHI
1 – 0
V-V
most likely scoreline · 16.9% probability
AI PICKS SHIMIZU S-PULSE TO WIN 52%
LIVE · 22' 1 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTS FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

LIVE-ADJUSTED
SHI WIN 52%
DRAW 28%
V-V WIN 20%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 80% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 80% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Home advantage and table position favour Shimizu, but recent form is weak for both; narrow home edge in tight match.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SHIMIZU S-PULSE FAVORED
52%
Shimizu 4 pts ahead and better GD (+0 vs -8) but both teams struggling (L and DL form)
+25.0%
Home form poor for Shimizu (L) and away form poor for Nagasaki (L) — cancels typical home boost
+20.0%
Low scoring league context and both teams' thin xG/GA data suggests under-2.5 likely
+15.0%
WHY V-VAREN NAGASAKI CHALLENGED
20%
Shimizu 4 pts ahead and better GD (+0 vs -8) but both teams struggling (L and DL form)
+25.0%
Home form poor for Shimizu (L) and away form poor for Nagasaki (L) — cancels typical home boost
+20.0%
Low scoring league context and both teams' thin xG/GA data suggests under-2.5 likely
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Shimizu 4 pts ahead and better GD (+0 vs -8) but both teams struggling (L and DL form)
  • Home form poor for Shimizu (L) and away form poor for Nagasaki (L) — cancels typical home boost
  • Low scoring league context and both teams' thin xG/GA data suggests under-2.5 likely
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 22' PROJECTION
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.5
4.4
1.1
0.2
·
·
1
16.9
13.0
5.0
1.3
0.3
·
·
2
9.6
7.4
2.8
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
3.6
2.8
1.1
0.3
·
·
·
4
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.9%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.0%
0 — 1 11.5%
2 — 0 9.6%
Top 5 = 65.9% · rest 34.1%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.93
52.0%
1.92
+0.4%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.24
80.0%
1.25
-0.6%
—
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.42
28.0%
3.57
-4.1%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.27
72.0%
1.39
-8.6%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.83
48.0%
2.08
-12.3%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.94
41.0%
2.44
-20.7%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.82
20.0%
5.00
-23.6%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.76
38.0%
2.63
-33.2%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.