GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · V-VAREN NAGASAKI 90% · Value: Over 2.5 95%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · WED, 29 APR · 04:00 LOCAL
SHIMIZU S-PULSE
7TH · 17 PTS · LAST 5:
L W L D L
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
V-VAREN NAGASAKI
D L L L L
· 10TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 21' Yudai Shimamoto
GOALS
⚽ 33' Thiago Santana ⚽ 46' Motoki Hasegawa
Thiago Santana
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Thiago Santana
V-varen Nagasaki · 72 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 11% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki - Game Highlights | MW13
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

43%
BALL POSSESSION %
57%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
18
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
74%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
3
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 8'
    Card · Red Card
    Jelani Reshaun Sumiyoshi
    SHI
  2. 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yudai Shimamoto
    SHI
  3. 27'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Riku Yamada
    V-V
  4. 33'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Thiago Santana · assist Ikki Arai
    V-V
  5. 36'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hijiri Onaga
    V-V
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kazuki Kozuka · assist Sodai Hasukawa
    SHI
  7. 46'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Motoki Hasegawa · assist Eduardo Giusti
    V-V
  8. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Riku Yamada · assist Ryogo Yamasaki
    V-V
  9. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Eduardo Giusti · assist Diego Pituca
    V-V
  10. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Masaki Yumiba · assist Zento Uno
    SHI
  11. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yudai Shimamoto · assist Capixaba
    SHI
  12. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Thiago Santana · assist Yuto Iwasaki
    V-V
  13. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Haruto Hidaka · assist Toshiki Takahashi
    SHI
  14. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Seung-wook Park · assist Y. Honda
    SHI
  15. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Shunya Yoneda · assist Keita Takahata
    V-V
  16. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tenmu Matsumoto · assist T. Sawada
    V-V
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SHIMIZU S-PULSE AVG 7.1
V-VAREN NAGASAKI AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
18.0
1.0
ON TARGET
6.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
5.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
43.0%
POSSESSION %
57.0%
345.0
PASSES
463.0
74.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
4.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
18.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
4.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SHIMIZU S-PULSE 1 shots
Yudai Shimamoto
1/1
V-VAREN NAGASAKI 9 shots
Thiago Santana
2/3
Motoki Hasegawa
1/3
Tenmu Matsumoto
1/2
Ikki Arai
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
7.0
16
TOGO UMED
 6.9
25
MATEUS BR
51
JELANI RE
14
SEUNG-WOO
28
Y. YOSHID
 7.3
10
MATHEUS B
 6.9
17
MASAKI YU
39
HARUTO HI
 7.2
47
YUDAI SHI
81
KAZUKI KO
9
SE-HUN OH
1
MASAAKI G
4
EDUARDO G
 7.6
29
IKKI ARAI
22
HIJIRI ON
23
SHUNYA YO
24
RIKU YAMA
5
HOTARU YA
 7.3
3
MASAHIRO
 7.3
34
TENMU MAT
 7.6
41
MOTOKI HA
 7.7
9
THIAGO SA
SUBSTITUTES · SHIMIZU S-PULSE
33
Yuji Doi
M
5
Kengo Kitazu...
D
1
Yuya Oki
G
38
Toshiki Taka...
F
15
Y. Honda
D
7
Capixaba
M
6
Zento Uno
M
4
Sodai Hasuka...
D
97
Rinsei Ohata
M
COACH: Takayuki Yoshida
SUBSTITUTES · V-VAREN NAGASAKI
11
N. Campbell
M
33
Tsubasa Kasa...
M
13
Go Hatano
G
19
T. Sawada
M
17
Keita Takaha...
D
8
Yuto Iwasaki
F
18
Ryogo Yamasa...
F
21
Diego Pituca
M
10
Matheus Jesu...
M
COACH: Takuya Takagi
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

V-V · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Yoshimi Yamashita, Japan
—
SHI MANAGER
Takayuki Yoshida
head coach
V-V MANAGER
Takuya Takagi
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
SHI WINS
3
DRAWS
3
V-V WINS
40%
30%
30%
19 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 10
05 Apr 2026
V-varen Nagasaki
0 – 3
Shimizu S-pulse
W
01 Dec 2018
V-varen Nagasaki
4 – 4
Shimizu S-pulse
D
11 Apr 2018
Shimizu S-pulse
0 – 1
V-varen Nagasaki
L
SHIMIZU S-PULSE LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L D L
V-VAREN NAGASAKI LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
SHIMIZU S-PULSE #7
Lost · already at 17 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
V-VAREN NAGASAKI #10
Won · already at 16 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 13 10 0 3 +12 32
L W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 12 8 0 4 +10 26
L W W W W
1 Kashima 13 10 0 3 +12 32
L W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 12 8 0 4 +10 26
L W W W W
2 Nagoya Grampus 13 7 0 6 +4 22
L W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 13 10 0 3 +14 29
W W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 13 7 0 6 +4 22
L W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 13 10 0 3 +14 29
W W W L W
3 Gamba Osaka 14 8 0 6 +2 22
L W L W L
3 Machida Zelvia 12 9 0 3 +2 24
W W W L W
3 Gamba Osaka 14 8 0 6 +2 22
L W L W L
3 Machida Zelvia 12 9 0 3 +2 24
W W W L W
4 Tokyo Verdy 12 8 0 4 +3 21
W W W L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13 7 0 6 +3 20
L W W W L
4 Tokyo Verdy 12 8 0 4 +3 21
W W W L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13 7 0 6 +3 20
L W W W L
5 Kyoto Sanga 12 7 0 5 +3 19
W L W L W
5 Kawasaki Frontale 13 7 0 6 -3 20
L W W L W
5 Kyoto Sanga 12 7 0 5 +3 19
W L W L W
5 Kawasaki Frontale 13 7 0 6 -3 20
L W W L W
6 Cerezo Osaka 13 7 0 6 +2 19
W L W W L
6 Mito Hollyhock 13 5 0 8 -8 16
L L W W W
6 Cerezo Osaka 13 7 0 6 +2 19
W L W W L
6 Mito Hollyhock 13 5 0 8 -8 16
L L W W W
7 Urawa 13 4 0 9 -1 15
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 13 5 0 8 -2 17
L L L W L
7 Urawa 13 4 0 9 -1 15
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 13 5 0 8 -2 17
L L L W L
8 Fagiano Okayama 13 5 0 8 -7 17
W W L L L
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 13 5 0 8 -4 15
W W L L L
8 Fagiano Okayama 13 5 0 8 -7 17
W W L L L
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 13 5 0 8 -4 15
W W L L L
9 Avispa Fukuoka 14 6 0 8 -8 17
W L W L W
9 Kashiwa Reysol 13 4 0 9 -4 11
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 14 6 0 8 -8 17
W L W L W
9 Kashiwa Reysol 13 4 0 9 -4 11
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 13 2 0 11 -11 9
L L L L W
10 V-varen Nagasaki 13 5 0 8 -7 16
W L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 13 2 0 11 -11 9
L L L L W
10 V-varen Nagasaki 13 5 0 8 -7 16
W L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tenmu Matsumoto
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Shunya Yoneda
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Seung-wook Park
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Haruto Hidaka
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Thiago Santana
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yudai Shimamoto
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Masaki Yumiba
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Eduardo Giusti
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Riku Yamada
  • 46'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Motoki Hasegawa
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kazuki Kozuka
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 36'
    Card · Yellow Card · Hijiri Onaga
  • 33'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Thiago Santana
  • 27'
    Card · Yellow Card · Riku Yamada
  • 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yudai Shimamoto
  • 8'
    Card · Red Card · Jelani Reshaun Sumiyoshi
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SHIMIZU S-PULSE WIN
1.93
51.8% implied
↑ best 1.99
DRAW
3.42
29.2% implied
↑ best 3.53
V-VAREN NAGASAKI WIN
3.82
26.2% implied
↑ best 4.00

Market favors Shimizu S-pulse. AI projects V-VAREN NAGASAKI 90% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS V-VAREN NAGASAKI 90% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.50 3.90 +64.4%
1xBet 1.93 3.42 3.89 +64.3%
Bet365 1.91 3.50 3.90 +64.4%
Betano 1.91 3.45 3.90 +64.4%
Betfair 1.90 3.40 3.60 +62.2%
BetVictor 1.93 3.50 4.00 +65.0%
Dafabet 1.99 3.50 3.85 +64.0%
Marathonbet 1.91 3.42 3.90 +64.4%
Pinnacle 1.99 3.53 4.00 +65.0%
SBO 1.93 3.21 3.57 +62.0%
Unibet 1.96 3.35 3.55 +61.8%
William Hill 1.91 3.30 3.80 +63.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.28 U 3.39
2.5 O 1.94 U 1.84
3.5 O 3.28 U 1.30
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.76 9 bks
NO
1.95 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.18
Away -0.5 1.89
Away -0.75 1.64
Away -1 1.42
Away -1.25 1.33
Away -1.5 1.28
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.