GOALSENSE
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Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SUN, 26 JUL · 02:30 LOCAL
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SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME
LOS ANGELES GALAXY
⚽ 62' Reid Roberts ⚽ 90+5' Timo Werner
GOALS
⚽ 13' Joseph Paintsil
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 62/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SAN
1 – 1
LOS
most likely scoreline · 14.9% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 48%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SAN WIN 38%
DRAW 48%
LOS WIN 14%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
BTTS YES

AI projects 68% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 68% BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Tied at 90' with minimal time left; draw most likely. San Jose's quality edge erased by Galaxy's defensive resilience in live state.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES CHALLENGED
38%
At 90' tied 1-1, draw statistically dominant outcome (extra time/penalties unlikely in regular MLS)
+25.0%
San Jose's poor home form (LLDWL) undermines quality advantage in crunch moments
+20.0%
Galaxy's road form (WLWLD) suggests they're solid defensively away; San Jose's two late yellows indicate fatigue/discipline erosion
+15.0%
WHY LOS ANGELES GALAXY CHALLENGED
14%
At 90' tied 1-1, draw statistically dominant outcome (extra time/penalties unlikely in regular MLS)
+25.0%
San Jose's poor home form (LLDWL) undermines quality advantage in crunch moments
+20.0%
Galaxy's road form (WLWLD) suggests they're solid defensively away; San Jose's two late yellows indicate fatigue/discipline erosion
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • At 90' tied 1-1, draw statistically dominant outcome (extra time/penalties unlikely in regular MLS)
  • San Jose's poor home form (LLDWL) undermines quality advantage in crunch moments
  • Galaxy's road form (WLWLD) suggests they're solid defensively away; San Jose's two late yellows indicate fatigue/discipline erosion
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 13' JOSEPH PAI ⚽ 62' REID ROBER ⚽ 95' TIMO WERNE
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.2
5.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.9
13.4
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
·
2
8.2
7.4
3.3
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
3.0
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.9%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.4%
0 — 1 12.2%
2 — 0 8.2%
Top 5 = 62.2% · rest 37.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.99
48.0%
2.08
+91.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.90
62.0%
1.61
+17.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.27
86.0%
1.16
+9.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.40
68.0%
1.47
-4.8%
—
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.87
38.0%
2.63
-29.1%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.22
52.0%
1.92
-36.7%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.62
14.0%
7.14
-49.4%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.42
32.0%
3.13
-54.5%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.