GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 48% · Value: BTTS Yes 68%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SUN, 26 JUL · 02:30 LOCAL
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
3RD · 33 PTS · LAST 5:
L W L L D
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
LOS ANGELES GALAXY
L L L D W
· 11TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 62' Reid Roberts ⚽ 90+5' Timo Werner (P)
GOALS
⚽ 13' Joseph Paintsil
Joseph Paintsil
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Joseph Paintsil
Los Angeles Galaxy · 93 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 16% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

3.04
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.28
58%
BALL POSSESSION %
42%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
9
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
75%
5
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 13'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Joseph Paintsil · assist Marco Reus
    LOS
  2. 20'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jonathan Gonzalez · assist Ian Harkes
    SAN
  3. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Sanabria
    LOS
  4. 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Julián Aude
    LOS
  5. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Robert Taylor · assist Elijah Wynder
    LOS
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Julián Aude · assist John Nelson
    LOS
  7. 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Reid Roberts
    SAN
  8. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Nick Fernandez · assist Paul Marie
    SAN
  9. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jack Skahan · assist Darius Johnson
    SAN
  10. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Beau Leroux
    SAN
  11. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ian Harkes
    SAN
  12. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Lucas Sanabria · assist Isaiah Parente
    LOS
  13. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jamar Ricketts
    SAN
  14. 90'+5
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Timo Werner · assist Timo Werner
    SAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES AVG 7.5
LOS ANGELES GALAXY AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
3.0
xG
1.3
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
5.0
ON TARGET
2.0
10.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
58.0%
POSSESSION %
42.0%
452.0
PASSES
336.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
75.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
6.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
16.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 9 shots
Timo Werner
1/3
Ousseni Bouda
0/3
Ian Harkes
0/2
Reid Roberts
1/1
LOS ANGELES GALAXY 5 shots
Joseph Paintsil
2/4
Justin Haak
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 3.04 – 1.28
2.4 1.8 1.2 0.6 3.0 0.0 HT 62' 90' 13' H 3.04 A 1.28 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
7.3
1
ANGUS GUN
2
JAMAR RIC
 8.2
18
REID ROBE
5
DANIEL MU
28
BENJAMIN
34
BEAU LERO
40
JONATHAN
 7.6
11
TIMO WERN
20
NICK FERN
16
JACK SKAH
 7.3
7
OUSSENI B
 7.5
12
JT MARCIN
3
JULIáN AU
 7.5
15
JUSTIN HA
4
MAYA YOSH
2
MIKI YAMA
21
ROBERT TA
8
LUCAS SAN
 7.3
6
EDWIN CER
26
HARBOR MI
 7.3
18
MARCO REU
 8.3
28
JOSEPH PA
SUBSTITUTES · SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
87
Vitor Costa
D
21
Noel Buck
M
79
Darius Johns...
F
17
Jack Jasinsk...
D
25
Max Floriani
D
4
Dave Romney
D
31
Francesco Mo...
G
6
Ian Harkes
M
3
Paul Marie
D
COACH: Bruce Arena
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES GALAXY
76
Troy Elgersm...
M
22
Elijah Wynde...
M
60
Sebastian He...
M
14
John Nelson
D
20
Chris Rindov
D
1
Novak Mićovi...
G
16
Isaiah Paren...
M
COACH: Greg Vanney
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Villarreal
—
SAN MANAGER
Bruce Arena
head coach
LOS MANAGER
Greg Vanney
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
SAN WINS
2
DRAWS
7
LOS WINS
10%
20%
70%
14 – 23
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
29 Jun 2025
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 1
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
29 May 2025
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 – 1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
30 Jun 2024
San Jose Earthquakes
0 – 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
L
22 Apr 2024
Los Angeles Galaxy
4 – 3
San Jose Earthquakes
L
03 Mar 2024
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
L
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L D
LOS ANGELES GALAXY LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES #3
Lost · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LOS ANGELES GALAXY #11
Lost · already at 21 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Timo Werner
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jamar Ricketts
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Lucas Sanabria
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ian Harkes
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Beau Leroux
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jack Skahan
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Nick Fernandez
  • 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Reid Roberts
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Julián Aude
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Robert Taylor
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Julián Aude
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Sanabria
  • 20'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jonathan Gonzalez
  • 13'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Joseph Paintsil
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SAN JOSE EARTHQU WIN
1.87
53.5% implied
↑ best 1.91
DRAW
3.99
25.1% implied
↑ best 4.20
LOS ANGELES GALA WIN
3.62
27.6% implied
↑ best 3.80

Market favors San Jose Earthquakes. AI projects DRAW 48% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.84 3.95 3.65 +22.7%
Bet365 1.85 3.90 3.75 +22.4%
Betano 1.90 4.05 3.60 +23.3%
Betfair 1.87 4.00 3.60 +23.0%
BetVictor 1.85 4.10 3.50 +23.6%
Dafabet 1.91 4.10 3.65 +23.6%
Marathonbet 1.83 3.98 3.64 +22.9%
Pinnacle 1.89 4.20 3.72 +24.2%
SBO 1.88 3.85 3.37 +22.0%
Superbet 1.90 4.00 3.60 +23.0%
Unibet 1.83 3.95 3.80 +22.7%
William Hill 1.85 3.80 3.50 +21.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 6.05
2.5 O 1.42 U 2.78
3.5 O 2.05 U 1.75
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.40 9 bks
NO
2.75 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.23
Away -0.5 1.93
Away -0.75 1.73
Away -1 1.54
Away -1.25 1.42
Away -1.5 1.35
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.