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Europa Conference League · 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 30 JUL · 16:00 LOCAL
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ILVES
2'
0 – 0
STJARNAN
⚽ 52' Jesse Kilo ⚽ 113' Tatu Miettunen ⚽ 120+1' Roope Riski ⚽ 120+2' Anton Popovitch ⚽ 120+3' Lauri Ala-Myllymäki ⚽ 120+4' Elias Tamminen ⚽ 120+5' Jardell Kanga
GOALS
⚽ 107' Faris Krkalić ⚽ 120+1' A. Bjarnason ⚽ 120+2' Gudmundur Baldvin Nokkvason ⚽ 120+3' Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson ⚽ 120+4' Árni Vilhjálmsson ⚽ 120+5' D. Matthiasson
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
LIVE-ADJUSTED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ILV
1 – 0
STJ
most likely scoreline · 16.6% probability
AI PICKS ILVES TO WIN 45%
LIVE · 2' 0 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTS FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

LIVE-ADJUSTED
ILV WIN 45%
DRAW 38%
STJ WIN 17%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 83% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 83% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match at 1' with no data; home slight edge but highly uncertain — treat as weak signal only.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ILVES FAVORED
45%
Only 1 minute played — scoreline and live momentum negligible so far
+25.0%
Ilves home advantage + recent home win (W) vs Stjarnan away draw (D)
+20.0%
Thin form data (Ilves 2 matches, Stjarnan 3 matches); no season stats, no H2H pattern clarity
+15.0%
WHY STJARNAN CHALLENGED
17%
Only 1 minute played — scoreline and live momentum negligible so far
+25.0%
Ilves home advantage + recent home win (W) vs Stjarnan away draw (D)
+20.0%
Thin form data (Ilves 2 matches, Stjarnan 3 matches); no season stats, no H2H pattern clarity
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Only 1 minute played — scoreline and live momentum negligible so far
  • Ilves home advantage + recent home win (W) vs Stjarnan away draw (D)
  • Thin form data (Ilves 2 matches, Stjarnan 3 matches); no season stats, no H2H pattern clarity
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 52' JESSE KILO ⚽ 107' FARIS KRKA ⚽ 113' TATU MIETT ⚽ 121' A. BJARNAS ⚽ 121' ROOPE RISK ⚽ 122' ANTON POPO ⚽ 122' GUDMUNDUR ⚽ 123' JóHANN Á ⚽ 123' LAURI ALA- ⚽ 124' ÁRNI VILH ⚽ 124' ELIAS TAMM ⚽ 125' D. MATTHIA ⚽ 125' JARDELL KA 2' PROJECTION
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 13 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.6%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.8
4.7
1.2
0.2
·
·
1
16.6
13.1
5.2
1.4
0.3
·
·
2
9.2
7.3
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.4
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.6%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.1%
0 — 1 11.8%
2 — 0 9.2%
Top 5 = 65.7% · rest 34.3%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.84
38.0%
2.63
+46.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.10
55.0%
1.82
+15.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.17
83.0%
1.20
-2.7%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.46
17.0%
5.88
-24.2%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.67
45.0%
2.22
-24.7%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.21
62.0%
1.61
-24.8%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.59
42.0%
2.38
-33.2%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.58
35.0%
2.86
-44.8%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.