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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · ILVES 45%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Europa Conference League · 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 30 JUL · 16:00 LOCAL
ILVES
LAST 5:
L W D
103'
1 – 0
STJARNAN
W D W
· LAST 5
⚽ 52' Jesse Kilo
GOALS
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Ilves · 98'

LIVE
STJARNAN ILVES

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

ILVES STJARNAN
ILVES STJARNAN 73' 88' 103'
Event density · 3-min buckets
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 24'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Oskari Multala
    ILV
  2. 39'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson
    STJ
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kalle Wallius · assist Bamba Abdoul Goudouss
    ILV
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Oskari Multala · assist Stanislav Baranov
    ILV
  5. 52'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jesse Kilo · assist Jardell Kanga
    ILV
  6. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Benedikt Warén · assist D. Matthiasson
    STJ
  7. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jesse Kilo · assist Roope Riski
    ILV
  8. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    O. Pettersson · assist Lauri Ala-Myllymäki
    ILV
  9. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gudmundur Baldvin Nokkvason
    STJ
  10. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Þorri Mar Þórisson
    STJ
  11. 91'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Þorri Mar Þórisson · assist Bjarki Hauksson
    STJ
  12. 91'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Birnir Snaer Ingason · assist Alex Þór Hauksson
    STJ
  13. 98'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Teemu Hytönen · assist Elias Tamminen
    ILV
LIVE STATS H vs A
Stats are coming in — refresh in a moment.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 54%
46% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-3-3
3-4-2-1
4-3-3
12
FARIS KRK
3
MATIAS RA
5
SAULI VäI
16
TATU MIET
13
KALLE WAL
14
ANTON POP
22
OSKARI MU
4
OLIVER PE
28
JESSE KIL
30
JARDELL K
9
TEEMU HYT
12
ÁRNI SNæR
32
ÖRVAR LOG
3
GUSTAV KJ
5
GUðMUNDUR
4
ÞORRI MAR
23
BENEDIKT
8
JóHANN ÁR
18
GUDMUNDUR
11
BIRNIR SN
22
EMIL ATLA
7
ÖRVAR EGG
SUBSTITUTES · ILVES
45
Elias Tammin...
F
15
Lauri Ala-My...
M
20
Otto Tiitine...
M
24
Ville Kumpu
D
25
Sebastian Su...
D
31
Rasmus Leisl...
G
1
Otso Virtane...
G
17
Stanislav Ba...
M
19
Bamba Abdoul...
D
10
Roope Riski
F
COACH: Joni Lehtonen
SUBSTITUTES · STJARNAN
25
Christian Al...
M
35
Bjarki Sæmun...
M
10
Daníel Finns...
M
94
Árni Vilhjál...
F
29
Alex Þór Hau...
M
24
Sigurdur Gun...
D
6
Sindri Þór I...
D
14
Bjarki Hauks...
D
19
Ari Leifsson
D
1
Darri Bergma...
G
83
Duro Stefan...
G
99
Andri Rúnar...
F
COACH: Jokull Elisabetarson
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ILV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

STJ · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Mervan Bejtullahu, Kosovo
—
ILV MANAGER
Joni Lehtonen
head coach
STJ MANAGER
Jokull Elisabetarson
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
ILV WINS
1
DRAWS
0
STJ WINS
100%
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
23 Jul 2026
Stjarnan
1 – 0
Ilves
L
ILVES LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D
STJARNAN LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 98'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Teemu Hytönen
  • 91'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Birnir Snaer Ingason
  • 91'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Þorri Mar Þórisson
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Þorri Mar Þórisson
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gudmundur Baldvin Nokkvason
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · O. Pettersson
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jesse Kilo
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Benedikt Warén
  • 52'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jesse Kilo
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Oskari Multala
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kalle Wallius
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 39'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson
  • 24'
    Card · Yellow Card · Oskari Multala
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ILVES WIN
1.67
59.9% implied
↑ best 1.72
DRAW
3.84
26% implied
↑ best 4.01
STJARNAN WIN
4.46
22.4% implied
↑ best 4.76

Market favors Ilves. AI projects ILVES 45%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ILVES 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.69 3.80 4.30 +11.7%
1xBet 1.72 4.01 4.76 +13.1%
Bet365 1.60 3.90 4.75 +12.4%
Betano 1.67 3.80 4.60 +11.7%
Betfair 1.67 3.80 4.20 +11.7%
BetVictor 1.65 4.00 4.60 +13.0%
Dafabet 1.69 3.90 4.50 +12.4%
Marathonbet 1.66 3.88 4.60 +12.2%
Pinnacle 1.67 3.88 4.54 +12.2%
SBO 1.64 3.52 3.94 +9.6%
Superbet 1.70 3.90 4.40 +12.4%
Unibet 1.68 3.85 4.35 +12.0%
William Hill 1.70 3.70 4.40 +11.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.40
2.5 O 1.59 U 2.24
3.5 O 2.47 U 1.50
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.58 10 bks
NO
2.23 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.55
Away -0.5 2.15
Away -0.75 1.93
Away -1 1.67
Away -1.25 1.51
Away -1.5 1.40
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.