Coppa Italia · ROUND OF 64 · SAT, 15 AUG · 16:00 LOCAL
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CATANZARO
PEN
2 – 2
AFTER PENALTIES
SUDTIROL
⚽ 27' S. Pafundi ⚽ 53' P. Iemmello ⚽ 120+1' J. Petriccione ⚽ 120+2' N. Buso ⚽ 120+3' R. Frosinini ⚽ 120+4' G. Arditi ⚽ 120+5' M. Dorval
GOALS
⚽ 17' N. Pyyhtia ⚽ 85' K. Mixtur ⚽ 120+1' R. Stivanello ⚽ 120+2' V. Lopes ⚽ 120+3' D. Casiraghi ⚽ 120+4' S. Molina ⚽ 120+5' S. Davi
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
CAT
2 – 2
SUD
most likely scoreline · 7.6% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 42%
FT 2 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
CAT WIN 38%
DRAW 42%
SUD WIN 20%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 89.91% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 90% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match tied 2-2 at 90' (end of normal time); extra time and penalties most likely.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY CATANZARO CHALLENGED
38%
Current scoreline 2-2 at minute 90 — deadlock suggests draw or narrow winner in ET
+25.0%
Both teams scoring throughout (BTTS 88%) — attacking balance evident
+20.0%
Catanzaro 2 substitutions at 81' suggest tactical adjustment; Sudtirol goal at 85' broke stalemate late
+15.0%
WHY SUDTIROL CHALLENGED
20%
Current scoreline 2-2 at minute 90 — deadlock suggests draw or narrow winner in ET
+25.0%
Both teams scoring throughout (BTTS 88%) — attacking balance evident
+20.0%
Catanzaro 2 substitutions at 81' suggest tactical adjustment; Sudtirol goal at 85' broke stalemate late
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Current scoreline 2-2 at minute 90 — deadlock suggests draw or narrow winner in ET
  • Both teams scoring throughout (BTTS 88%) — attacking balance evident
  • Catanzaro 2 substitutions at 81' suggest tactical adjustment; Sudtirol goal at 85' broke stalemate late
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 17' N. PYYHTIA ⚽ 27' S. PAFUNDI ⚽ 53' P. IEMMELL ⚽ 85' K. MIXTUR ⚽ 121' R. STIVANE ⚽ 121' J. PETRICC ⚽ 122' N. BUSO ⚽ 122' V. LOPES ⚽ 123' D. CASIRAG ⚽ 123' R. FROSINI ⚽ 124' S. MOLINA ⚽ 124' G. ARDITI ⚽ 125' S. DAVI ⚽ 125' M. DORVAL
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 14 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 7.6%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.8
3.5
3.4
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
1
3.8
7.3
7.1
4.5
2.2
0.9
0.3
2
3.9
7.6
7.3
4.7
2.3
0.9
0.3
3
2.7
5.2
5.0
3.2
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
1.4
2.7
2.6
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.6
1.1
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
6+
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 1 7.6%
1 — 1 7.3%
2 — 2 7.3%
1 — 2 7.1%
3 — 1 5.2%
Top 5 = 34.5% · rest 65.5%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.84
88.0%
1.14
+62.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.14
72.0%
1.39
+53.8%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.17
42.0%
2.38
+32.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
80.0%
1.25
+3.8%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.63
62.0%
1.61
+0.9%
—
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.22
38.0%
2.63
-15.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.31
58.0%
1.72
-24.1%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.27
20.0%
5.00
-34.5%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.