Coppa Italia · ROUND OF 64 · SAT, 15 AUG · 16:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
CATANZARO
PEN
2 2
AFTER PENALTIES
SUDTIROL
⚽ 27' S. Pafundi ⚽ 53' P. Iemmello ⚽ 120+1' J. Petriccione ⚽ 120+2' N. Buso ⚽ 120+3' R. Frosinini ⚽ 120+4' G. Arditi ⚽ 120+5' M. Dorval
GOALS
⚽ 17' N. Pyyhtia ⚽ 85' K. Mixtur ⚽ 120+1' R. Stivanello ⚽ 120+2' V. Lopes ⚽ 120+3' D. Casiraghi ⚽ 120+4' S. Molina ⚽ 120+5' S. Davi
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
CAT
2 2
SUD
most likely scoreline · 7.6% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 42%
FT 2 – 2
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
CAT WIN 38%
DRAW 42%
SUD WIN 20%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 89.91% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 90% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match tied 2-2 at 90' (end of normal time); extra time and penalties most likely.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY CATANZARO CHALLENGED
38%
Current scoreline 2-2 at minute 90 — deadlock suggests draw or narrow winner in ET
+25.0%
Both teams scoring throughout (BTTS 88%) — attacking balance evident
+20.0%
Catanzaro 2 substitutions at 81' suggest tactical adjustment; Sudtirol goal at 85' broke stalemate late
+15.0%
WHY SUDTIROL CHALLENGED
20%
Current scoreline 2-2 at minute 90 — deadlock suggests draw or narrow winner in ET
+25.0%
Both teams scoring throughout (BTTS 88%) — attacking balance evident
+20.0%
Catanzaro 2 substitutions at 81' suggest tactical adjustment; Sudtirol goal at 85' broke stalemate late
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Current scoreline 2-2 at minute 90 — deadlock suggests draw or narrow winner in ET
  • Both teams scoring throughout (BTTS 88%) — attacking balance evident
  • Catanzaro 2 substitutions at 81' suggest tactical adjustment; Sudtirol goal at 85' broke stalemate late
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 17' N. PYYHTIA 27' S. PAFUNDI 53' P. IEMMELL 85' K. MIXTUR 121' R. STIVANE 121' J. PETRICC 122' N. BUSO 122' V. LOPES 123' D. CASIRAG 123' R. FROSINI 124' S. MOLINA 124' G. ARDITI 125' S. DAVI 125' M. DORVAL
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 14 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 7.6%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.8
3.5
3.4
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
1
3.8
7.3
7.1
4.5
2.2
0.9
0.3
2
3.9
7.6
7.3
4.7
2.3
0.9
0.3
3
2.7
5.2
5.0
3.2
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
1.4
2.7
2.6
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.6
1.1
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
6+
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 1 7.6%
1 — 1 7.3%
2 — 2 7.3%
1 — 2 7.1%
3 — 1 5.2%
Top 5 = 34.5% · rest 65.5%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.84
88.0%
1.14
+62.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.14
72.0%
1.39
+53.8%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.17
42.0%
2.38
+32.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
80.0%
1.25
+3.8%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.63
62.0%
1.61
+0.9%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.22
38.0%
2.63
-15.6%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.31
58.0%
1.72
-24.1%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.27
20.0%
5.00
-34.5%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.