GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–2 · DRAW 42% · Value: Over 2.5 72%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Coppa Italia · ROUND OF 64 · SAT, 15 AUG · 16:00 LOCAL
CATANZARO
PEN
2 – 2
AFTER PENALTIES HT · 1-1
SUDTIROL
⚽ 27' S. Pafundi ⚽ 53' P. Iemmello ⚽ 120+1' J. Petriccione (P) ⚽ 120+2' N. Buso (P) ⚽ 120+3' R. Frosinini (P) ⚽ 120+4' G. Arditi (P) ⚽ 120+5' M. Dorval (P)
GOALS
⚽ 17' N. Pyyhtia ⚽ 85' K. Mixtur ⚽ 120+1' R. Stivanello (P) ⚽ 120+2' V. Lopes (P) ⚽ 120+3' D. Casiraghi (P) ⚽ 120+4' S. Molina (P) ⚽ 120+5' S. Davi (P)
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 27 events
  1. 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    N. Pyyhtia
    SUD
  2. 27'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    S. Pafundi · assist M. D'Alessandro
    CAT
  3. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    F. Davi
    SUD
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    F. Davi · assist S. Molina
    SUD
  5. 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    P. Iemmello
    CAT
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    M. D'Alessandro · assist M. Dorval
    CAT
  7. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    R. Burnete · assist S. Davi
    SUD
  8. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    B. Bjarkason · assist K. Mixtur
    SUD
  9. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matias Antonini
    CAT
  10. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    B. Verrengia · assist R. Frosinini
    CAT
  11. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    S. Pafundi · assist N. Buso
    CAT
  12. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    A. Vasic · assist D. Casiraghi
    SUD
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    M. Ruggero · assist E. Bashi
    CAT
  14. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    P. Iemmello · assist G. Arditi
    CAT
  15. 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    K. Mixtur · assist S. Tronchin
    SUD
  16. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    V. Lopes
    SUD
  17. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    G. Alesi
    CAT
  18. 120'+1
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    R. Stivanello
    SUD
  19. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    J. Petriccione
    CAT
  20. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    V. Lopes
    SUD
  21. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    N. Buso
    CAT
  22. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    D. Casiraghi
    SUD
  23. 120'+3
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    R. Frosinini
    CAT
  24. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    S. Molina
    SUD
  25. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    G. Arditi
    CAT
  26. 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty
    S. Davi
    SUD
  27. 120'+5
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    M. Dorval
    CAT
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 52%
48% A
14
EVENTS LOGGED
13
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
SUBSTITUTES · CATANZARO
Bench not yet published.
COACH: Giorgio Gorgone
SUBSTITUTES · SUDTIROL
Bench not yet published.
COACH: Fabrizio Castori
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CAT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SUD · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
C. G. Allegretta
—
CAT MANAGER
Giorgio Gorgone
head coach
SUD MANAGER
Fabrizio Castori
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
CAT WINS
3
DRAWS
1
SUD WINS
33.3%
50%
16.7%
9 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 6 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 120'+5
    Goal · Missed Penalty · M. Dorval
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty · S. Davi
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · G. Arditi
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · S. Molina
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Missed Penalty · R. Frosinini
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · D. Casiraghi
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · N. Buso
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · V. Lopes
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · J. Petriccione
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Missed Penalty · R. Stivanello
    Penalty Shootout
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · G. Alesi
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · V. Lopes
  • 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal · K. Mixtur
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · P. Iemmello
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · M. Ruggero
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · A. Vasic
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · S. Pafundi
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · B. Verrengia
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matias Antonini
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · B. Bjarkason
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · R. Burnete
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · M. D'Alessandro
  • 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal · P. Iemmello
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · F. Davi
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · F. Davi
  • 27'
    Goal · Normal Goal · S. Pafundi
  • 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal · N. Pyyhtia
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CATANZARO WIN
2.22
45% implied
↑ best 2.33
DRAW
3.17
31.5% implied
↑ best 3.30
SUDTIROL WIN
3.27
30.6% implied
↑ best 3.70

Market favors Catanzaro. AI projects DRAW 42% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.00 3.30 3.70 +11.7%
1xBet 2.25 3.16 3.20 +10.4%
Bet365 2.30 3.10 3.25 +9.7%
Betano 2.27 3.20 3.35 +10.8%
Betfair 2.25 3.10 3.30 +9.7%
BetVictor 2.25 3.13 3.00 +10.1%
Dafabet 2.31 3.25 3.35 +11.2%
Marathonbet 2.23 3.16 3.18 +10.4%
Pinnacle 2.33 3.24 3.31 +11.1%
SBO 2.13 3.04 3.00 +9.1%
Unibet 2.08 3.30 3.55 +11.7%
William Hill 2.25 3.00 3.10 +8.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.35 U 3.03
2.5 O 2.14 U 1.68
3.5 O 3.85 U 1.23
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.84 9 bks
NO
1.88 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.84
Away -0.5 1.67
Away -0.75 1.45
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.23
Away -1.5 1.19
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.