GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · VELEZ SARSFIELD 58%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 5 · MON, 17 AUG · 22:15 LOCAL
VELEZ SARSFIELD
3RD · 12 PTS · LAST 5:
D D W W W
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA
W W W L W
· 4TH · 11 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 4' Manuel Lanzini
GOALS
⚽ 79' L. Fernández
Manuel Lanzini
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Manuel Lanzini
Velez Sarsfield · 92 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 41% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.79
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.29
54%
BALL POSSESSION %
46%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
20
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
71%
PASS ACCURACY %
68%
6
CORNERS
9
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Manuel Lanzini · assist Matías Pellegrini
    VEL
  2. 25'
    Card · Yellow Card
    A. Portillo
    DEF
  3. 30'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Thiago Silvero
    VEL
  4. 35'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matías Pellegrini
    VEL
  5. 47'
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Sosa
    DEF
  6. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    D. Martínez
    DEF
  7. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    D. Blanco · assist J. Lucco
    DEF
  8. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    A. Portillo · assist V. Loza
    DEF
  9. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Dilan Godoy · assist Thiago Aguirre
    VEL
  10. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alex Verón · assist Claudio Baeza
    VEL
  11. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    F. Román · assist D. Domínguez
    DEF
  12. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    L. Fernández · assist J. Gutiérrez
    DEF
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Lucas Robertone · assist Luca Feler
    VEL
  14. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Joaquín García
    VEL
  15. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    D. Barbona · assist M. Porcel
    DEF
  16. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    L. Fernández · assist T. Pérez
    DEF
  17. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Manuel Lanzini
    VEL
  18. 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Manuel Lanzini · assist J. Policella
    VEL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
VELEZ SARSFIELD AVG 7.3
DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.8
xG
1.3
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
20.0
3.0
ON TARGET
6.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
1.0
BLOCKED
7.0
POSSESSION
54.0%
POSSESSION %
46.0%
408.0
PASSES
352.0
71.0%
PASS ACCURACY
68.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
9.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
18.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
5.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
VELEZ SARSFIELD 3 shots
Manuel Lanzini
1/1
Alex Verón
1/1
Lucas Robertone
0/1
DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA 4 shots
L. Fernández
1/2
J. Gutiérrez
1/1
D. Martínez
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.79 – 1.29
1 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.3 0.0 HT 4' 79' H 0.79 A 1.29 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
TOMáS MAR
 6.9
3
ELíAS GóM
 7.2
16
LISANDRO
32
THIAGO SI
4
JOAQUíN G
 7.0
8
LUCAS ROB
29
RODRIGO A
 7.0
17
ALEX VERó
 8.6
22
MANUEL LA
11
MATíAS PE
15
DILAN GOD
 7.7
1
M. BORGOG
3
F. ROMáN
 6.9
21
D. MARTíN
29
D. FERNáN
16
A. PORTIL
8
C. PéREZ
15
S. SOSA
 7.2
24
J. GUTIéR
19
D. BARBON
27
D. BLANCO
 7.5
9
L. FERNáN
SUBSTITUTES · VELEZ SARSFIELD
48
Luca Feler
M
27
Simon Prima
F
30
Lautaro Piol...
F
39
Thiago Aguir...
F
5
Claudio Baez...
M
2
Emanuel Mamm...
D
19
Leo Cristald...
D
18
Simon Escoba...
D
47
Alexis Perey...
D
42
Agustin Cort...
G
37
Juan Cruz Po...
F
COACH: Guilermo Barros Schelotto
SUBSTITUTES · DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA
22
M. Porcel
M
25
Facundo Alta...
F
41
Ramiro Gagli...
F
7
T. Pérez
F
26
J. Lucco
F
44
Jonás Cabrer...
M
2
Samuel Lucer...
D
30
D. Domínguez
D
28
V. Loza
D
6
Ezequiel Bur...
D
36
L. Amadé
G
45
T. Martinez
M
COACH: Mariano Soso
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
VEL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

DEF · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Nicolas Ramirez, Argentina
—
VEL MANAGER
Guilermo Barros Schelotto
head coach
DEF MANAGER
Mariano Soso
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
VEL WINS
5
DRAWS
2
DEF WINS
30%
50%
20%
11 – 8
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Feb 2026
Defensa Y Justicia
1 – 1
Velez Sarsfield
D
03 Aug 2024
Velez Sarsfield
3 – 0
Defensa Y Justicia
W
30 Mar 2023
Defensa Y Justicia
0 – 0
Velez Sarsfield
D
25 Jun 2022
Defensa Y Justicia
1 – 1
Velez Sarsfield
D
28 Jul 2021
Velez Sarsfield
0 – 0
Defensa Y Justicia
D
VELEZ SARSFIELD LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W W W
DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
VELEZ SARSFIELD #3
Lost · already at 144 pts
DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA #4
Lost · already at 11 pts
Knockout Phase
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Instituto Cordoba 6 4 1 1 +3 13
D W W W W
1 Sarmiento Junin 6 4 0 2 +4 12
W W W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
D L W L W
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W L L W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
D D D W D
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
D W L L L
2 Gimnasia M. 6 4 0 2 +4 12
W W L W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Argentinos JRS 5 4 0 1 +4 12
L W W W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Belgrano Cordoba 6 3 1 2 +3 10
L W W D L
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 6 3 3 0 +4 12
D D D W W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
D D D W W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L W L L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W W D L
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Rosario Central 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W W D L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 Defensa Y Justicia 6 3 2 1 0 11
W D W L W
5 Atletico Tucuman 6 2 3 1 +2 9
D W L D W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
D W L L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L W W D L
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Independiente 6 3 1 2 +3 10
D W L L W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Barracas Central 6 3 0 3 -1 9
L L L W W
6 Newells Old Boys 6 3 1 2 +2 10
W W L D L
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L L W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L W L L W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
D W L L W
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Gimnasia L.P. 6 3 0 3 -2 9
L L W W W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
D L W D L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Platense 6 2 2 2 -3 8
W D W L L
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
W L L W L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
D L L L D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Deportivo Riestra 6 2 1 3 +1 7
D L W L L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Tigre 5 2 2 1 +2 8
D W D W L
9 Huracan 6 2 2 2 0 8
D L W D L
9 Union Santa Fe 6 2 1 3 -1 7
W L L W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
D W W W W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L L L W W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Boca Juniors 6 1 4 1 -2 7
D D D W D
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
W D W L W
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Independ. Rivadavia 6 2 2 2 -1 8
D L W L W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D W D W L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W W L W L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
W W W W L
11 San Lorenzo 6 2 1 3 -2 7
D W L L W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Banfield 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L W L D W
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 0 4 0 6
L W L L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
L W L D W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
W D W L L
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Racing Club 6 1 2 3 -3 5
D L L L D
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L W W L L
13 Lanus 5 2 0 3 0 6
L W L L W
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
D W L D W
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 6 1 2 3 -4 5
D L L D L
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago 5 2 0 3 -2 6
L W W L L
14 River Plate 6 1 1 4 -2 4
D W L L L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L D L L L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
W W L D L
15 Aldosivi 6 0 2 4 -5 2
L D L L L
15 Talleres Cordoba 5 1 0 4 -4 3
L L W L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
D L L D L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D L W L L
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Manuel Lanzini
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Manuel Lanzini
    Foul
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · L. Fernández
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · D. Barbona
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · Joaquín García
    Foul
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Lucas Robertone
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · L. Fernández
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · F. Román
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alex Verón
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Dilan Godoy
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · A. Portillo
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · D. Blanco
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · D. Martínez
    Foul
  • 47'
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Sosa
    Foul
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 35'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matías Pellegrini
    Foul
  • 30'
    Card · Yellow Card · Thiago Silvero
    Foul
  • 25'
    Card · Yellow Card · A. Portillo
    Foul
  • 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Manuel Lanzini
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
VELEZ SARSFIELD WIN
1.81
55.2% implied
↑ best 1.87
DRAW
3.35
29.9% implied
↑ best 3.50
DEFENSA Y JUSTIC WIN
4.68
21.4% implied
↑ best 5.10

Market favors Velez Sarsfield. AI projects VELEZ SARSFIELD 58%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS VELEZ SARSFIELD 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.81 3.35 4.65 +2.8%
1xBet 1.81 3.46 4.73 +2.8%
888Sport 1.80 3.25 4.50 +2.4%
Bet365 1.85 3.25 5.00 +3.9%
Betano 1.87 3.45 5.10 +4.5%
Betfair 1.80 3.40 4.50 +2.4%
BetVictor 1.83 3.40 4.60 +3.4%
Dafabet 1.82 3.30 4.60 +3.1%
Marathonbet 1.78 3.40 4.65 +1.8%
Pinnacle 1.85 3.50 4.79 +3.9%
SBO 1.81 3.14 4.26 +2.8%
Unibet 1.74 3.45 4.90 +0.5%
William Hill 1.80 3.25 4.50 +2.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.40 U 2.90
2.5 O 2.22 U 1.63
3.5 O 4.14 U 1.21
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.03 10 bks
NO
1.71 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.38
Away -0.5 2.01
Away -0.75 1.75
Away -1 1.50
Away -1.25 1.38
Away -1.5 1.31
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.