GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · VISSEL KOBE 44%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SUN, 17 MAY · 04:00 LOCAL
V-VAREN NAGASAKI
9TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5:
W L L W L
PEN
2 – 2
AFTER PENALTIES HT · 2-2
VISSEL KOBE
W W W L D
· 1ST · 35 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 21' Yamaguchi Hotaru ⚽ 45' Eduardo ⚽ 120+1' Matheus Jesus (P) ⚽ 120+2' Yamasaki Ryogo (P) ⚽ 120+3' Norman Campbell (P) ⚽ 120+4' Diego Pituca (P)
GOALS
⚽ 27' Yoshinori Muto ⚽ 32' Thuler ⚽ 120+1' Yoshinori Muto (P) ⚽ 120+2' Rikuto Hirose (P) ⚽ 120+3' Makoto Mitsuta (P) ⚽ 120+4' Jean Patric (P) ⚽ 120+5' Daiju Sasaki (P)
Matheus Jesus
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Matheus Jesus
V-varen Nagasaki · 94 mins
🅰 2 assists · 19% pass acc
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
J1 League: V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

42%
BALL POSSESSION %
58%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
15
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
69%
PASS ACCURACY %
77%
5
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 25 events
  1. 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yamaguchi Hotaru · assist Matheus Jesus
    V-V
  2. 27'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yoshinori Muto · assist Nanasei Iino
    VIS
  3. 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Thuler
    VIS
  4. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Caetano
    VIS
  5. 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Eduardo · assist Matheus Jesus
    V-V
  6. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Nanasei Iino · assist Rikuto Hirose
    VIS
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Thiago Santana · assist Yamasaki Ryogo
    V-V
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yuya Osako · assist Ren Komatsu
    VIS
  9. 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Onaga Hijiri
    V-V
  10. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Eduardo · assist Yusei Egawa
    V-V
  11. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Caetano · assist Makoto Mitsuta
    VIS
  12. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Yosuke Ideguchi · assist Jean Patric
    VIS
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kushibiki Kazuki · assist Hayato Teruyama
    V-V
  14. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Riku Yamada · assist Diego Pituca
    V-V
  15. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Motoki Hasegawa · assist Norman Campbell
    V-V
  16. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Diego Pituca
    V-V
  17. 120'+1
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Yoshinori Muto
    VIS
  18. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Matheus Jesus
    V-V
  19. 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Rikuto Hirose
    VIS
  20. 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Yamasaki Ryogo
    V-V
  21. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Makoto Mitsuta
    VIS
  22. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Norman Campbell
    V-V
  23. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Jean Patric
    VIS
  24. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Diego Pituca
    V-V
  25. 120'+5
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Daiju Sasaki
    VIS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
V-VAREN NAGASAKI AVG 7.9
VISSEL KOBE AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
5.0
ON TARGET
6.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
42.0%
POSSESSION %
58.0%
303.0
PASSES
428.0
69.0%
PASS ACCURACY
77.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
3.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
9.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
V-VAREN NAGASAKI 6 shots
Matheus Jesus
0/4
Yamaguchi Hotaru
1/1
Eduardo
1/1
VISSEL KOBE 6 shots
Yoshinori Muto
3/3
Thuler
1/2
Daiju Sasaki
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 52%
48% A
13
EVENTS LOGGED
12
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
8.5
1
GOTO MASA
 7.2
4
EDUARDO
25
KUSHIBIKI
22
ONAGA HIJ
23
YONEDA SH
 6.9
24
RIKU YAMA
 7.9
5
YAMAGUCHI
3
MASAHIRO
 9.0
10
MATHEUS J
41
MOTOKI HA
9
THIAGO SA
 7.2
1
DAIYA MAE
16
CAETANO
 7.2
3
THULER
 6.9
80
BONIFACE
15
DIEGO
7
YOSUKE ID
24
GOTOKU SA
2
NANASEI I
 7.3
13
DAIJU SAS
 7.3
11
YOSHINORI
10
YUYA OSAK
SUBSTITUTES · V-VAREN NAGASAKI
33
Tsubasa Kasa...
M
34
Tenmu Matsum...
M
11
Norman Campb...
M
48
Hayato Teruy...
D
6
Yusei Egawa
D
17
Keita Takaha...
D
13
Hatano Go
G
18
Yamasaki Ryo...
F
21
Diego Pituca
M
COACH: Takuya Takagi
SUBSTITUTES · VISSEL KOBE
25
Yuya Kuwasak...
M
19
Makoto Mitsu...
F
5
Yuta Goke
M
44
Mitsuki Hida...
M
41
Katsuya Naga...
D
71
Shuichi Gond...
G
29
Ren Komatsu
F
23
Rikuto Hiros...
D
26
Jean Patric
F
COACH: Michael Skibbe
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
V-V · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

VIS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
D. Kos
—
V-V MANAGER
Takuya Takagi
head coach
VIS MANAGER
Michael Skibbe
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
V-V WINS
2
DRAWS
5
VIS WINS
28.6%
71.4%
4 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 7 MEETINGS
2.29
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 7
13 Feb 2026
Vissel Kobe
2 – 0
V-varen Nagasaki
L
06 Oct 2018
Vissel Kobe
1 – 1
V-varen Nagasaki
D
18 Jul 2018
V-varen Nagasaki
0 – 1
Vissel Kobe
L
V-VAREN NAGASAKI LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L W L
VISSEL KOBE LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
V-VAREN NAGASAKI #8
Lost · already at 21 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
VISSEL KOBE #1
Lost · already at 35 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 120'+5
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Daiju Sasaki
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Diego Pituca
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Jean Patric
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Norman Campbell
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Makoto Mitsuta
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Yamasaki Ryogo
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Rikuto Hirose
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Matheus Jesus
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Yoshinori Muto
    Penalty Shootout
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Diego Pituca
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Motoki Hasegawa
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Riku Yamada
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kushibiki Kazuki
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Yosuke Ideguchi
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Caetano
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Eduardo
  • 66'
    Card · Yellow Card · Onaga Hijiri
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yuya Osako
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Thiago Santana
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Nanasei Iino
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 2
  • 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Eduardo
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Caetano
  • 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Thuler
  • 27'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yoshinori Muto
  • 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yamaguchi Hotaru
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
V-VAREN NAGASAKI WIN
4.48
22.3% implied
↑ best 4.75
DRAW
3.53
28.3% implied
↑ best 3.72
VISSEL KOBE WIN
1.77
56.5% implied
↑ best 1.81

Market favors Vissel Kobe. AI projects VISSEL KOBE 44%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS VISSEL KOBE 44% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.75 3.55 1.73 +6.9%
1xBet 4.42 3.62 1.77 +5.4%
Bet365 4.50 3.50 1.80 +5.8%
Betano 4.45 3.55 1.78 +5.5%
Betfair 4.60 3.40 1.67 +6.3%
BetVictor 4.60 3.60 1.80 +6.3%
Dafabet 4.60 3.65 1.79 +6.3%
Marathonbet 4.45 3.62 1.75 +5.5%
Pinnacle 4.69 3.72 1.81 +6.7%
SBO 4.00 3.22 1.77 +3.0%
Unibet 4.20 3.55 1.80 +4.2%
William Hill 4.50 3.40 1.75 +5.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.30 U 3.24
2.5 O 2.00 U 1.78
3.5 O 3.50 U 1.27
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.87 9 bks
NO
1.84 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.25
Away -0.5 1.20
Away -0.75 1.10
Away -1 1.00
Away -1.25 1.01
Away -1.5 1.00
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.