GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 52% · Value: BTTS Yes 78%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SAT, 25 APR · 19:00 LOCAL
TWENTE
5TH · 54 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W L W
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
NEC NIJMEGEN
D W D W W
· 3RD · 55 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 10' Sondre Ørjasæter
GOALS
⚽ 37' Bryan Linssen
Sondre Ørjasæter
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Sondre Ørjasæter
Twente · 94 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 16% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Eredivisie: FC Twente vs NEC Nijmegen
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.44
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.55
49%
BALL POSSESSION %
51%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
20
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
70%
PASS ACCURACY %
77%
3
CORNERS
9
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sondre Ørjasæter · assist Daan Rots
    TWE
  2. 18'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Noe Lebreton
    NEC
  3. 26'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Deveron Fonville
    NEC
  4. 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Bryan Linssen · assist Philippe Sandler
    NEC
  5. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Sam Lammers · assist Ricky van Wolfswinkel
    TWE
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ruud Nijstad · assist Robin Propper
    TWE
  7. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Bram Nuytinck · assist Dirk Proper
    NEC
  8. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Thomas Van den Belt · assist Daouda Weidmann
    TWE
  9. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kristian Hlynsson · assist Mathias Kjølø
    TWE
  10. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mats Rots
    TWE
  11. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Bryan Linssen · assist Danilo
    NEC
  12. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Mats Rots · assist Arno Verschueren
    TWE
  13. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tjaronn Chery · assist Brayann Pereira
    NEC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
TWENTE AVG 7.5
NEC NIJMEGEN AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.4
xG
1.6
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
20.0
8.0
ON TARGET
6.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
4.0
BLOCKED
7.0
POSSESSION
49.0%
POSSESSION %
51.0%
389.0
PASSES
381.0
70.0%
PASS ACCURACY
77.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
9.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
16.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
5.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
TWENTE 6 shots
Daan Rots
4/4
Sondre Ørjasæter
1/1
Robin Propper
1/1
NEC NIJMEGEN 4 shots
Eli Dasa
0/2
Philippe Sandler
1/1
Bryan Linssen
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.44 – 1.55
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 10' 37' H 1.44 A 1.55 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 54%
46% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-1-2
4-2-3-1
3-4-1-2
1
LARS UNNE
39
MATS ROTS
 7.3
28
BART VAN
23
STAV LEMK
43
RUUD NIJS
20
THOMAS VA
6
RAMIZ ZER
 8.2
27
SONDRE ØR
14
KRISTIAN
 7.3
11
DAAN ROTS
10
SAM LAMME
 7.9
1
GONZALO C
 7.7
24
DEVERON F
17
BRAM NUYT
14
ELI DASA
23
KODAI SAN
20
NOE LEBRE
6
DARKO NEJ
3
PHILIPPE
25
SAMI OUAI
30
BRYAN LIN
10
TJARONN C
SUBSTITUTES · TWENTE
8
Taylor Booth
F
42
Daouda Weidm...
M
3
R. Andrich
D
38
Max Bruns
D
32
Arno Verschu...
M
4
Mathias Kjøl...
M
12
Guilherme Pe...
D
9
Ricky van Wo...
F
7
Marko Pjaca
F
22
Przemyslaw T...
G
21
Sam Karssies
G
25
Lucas Venneg...
F
COACH: John van den Brom
SUBSTITUTES · NEC NIJMEGEN
34
Youssef El K...
F
31
Rijk Janse
G
2
Brayann Pere...
D
5
Thomas Ouwej...
D
9
Danilo
F
22
Jasper Cille...
G
7
Virgil Misid...
F
19
Willum Thór...
M
18
Koki Ogawa
F
8
Isak Hansen-...
M
15
Jetro Willem...
D
71
Dirk Proper
M
COACH: Dick Schreuder
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TWE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NEC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Joey Kooij, Netherlands
—
TWE MANAGER
John van den Brom
head coach
NEC MANAGER
Dick Schreuder
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
TWE WINS
2
DRAWS
2
NEC WINS
60%
20%
20%
21 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
18 Oct 2025
NEC Nijmegen
3 – 3
Twente
D
22 May 2025
Twente
3 – 2
NEC Nijmegen
W
23 Feb 2025
Twente
2 – 0
NEC Nijmegen
W
10 Aug 2024
NEC Nijmegen
1 – 2
Twente
W
20 Jan 2024
NEC Nijmegen
1 – 0
Twente
L
TWENTE LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W L W
NEC NIJMEGEN LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
TWENTE #5
Lost · already at 54 pts
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
NEC NIJMEGEN #3
Lost · already at 55 pts
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 31 25 2 4 +49 77
W W W L L
2 Feyenoord 31 17 7 7 +23 58
W D D D W
3 NEC Nijmegen 31 15 10 6 +24 55
D D W D W
4 Ajax 31 14 12 5 +22 54
W W L D W
5 Twente 31 14 12 5 +19 54
D W W W L
6 AZ Alkmaar 31 14 7 10 +7 49
D W W L W
7 Heerenveen 31 13 8 10 +4 47
W L W D W
8 Utrecht 31 12 8 11 +8 44
L W L W W
9 Groningen 31 12 6 13 +3 42
L D W W D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 -17 42
L L D W L
11 GO Ahead Eagles 31 8 13 10 +5 37
D D W L W
12 Fortuna Sittard 31 10 6 15 -12 36
L D L L W
13 PEC Zwolle 31 8 10 13 -25 34
L D L W D
14 Excelsior 31 8 7 16 -15 31
W D L D L
15 FC Volendam 31 8 7 16 -17 31
W L D L L
16 Telstar 31 7 9 15 -10 30
W L L W L
17 NAC Breda 31 5 10 16 -23 25
L D D L L
18 Heracles 31 5 4 22 -45 19
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tjaronn Chery
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Mats Rots
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Bryan Linssen
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mats Rots
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kristian Hlynsson
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Thomas Van den Belt
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Bram Nuytinck
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ruud Nijstad
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Sam Lammers
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Bryan Linssen
  • 26'
    Card · Yellow Card · Deveron Fonville
    Holding
  • 18'
    Card · Yellow Card · Noe Lebreton
    Tripping
  • 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sondre Ørjasæter
22 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 22 BOOKMAKERS
TWENTE WIN
1.55
64.5% implied
↑ best 1.69
DRAW
4.51
22.2% implied
↑ best 6.30
NEC NIJMEGEN WIN
5.58
17.9% implied
↑ best 10.50

Market favors Twente. AI projects DRAW 52% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.64 4.30 4.40 +28.7%
10Bet 1.64 4.20 4.55 +28.2%
1xbet 1.69 4.46 4.65 +29.6%
1xBet 1.67 4.38 4.68 +29.2%
888Sport 1.62 4.00 4.50 +27.0%
888Sport 1.62 4.00 4.50 +27.0%
Bet365 1.65 4.33 4.60 +28.9%
Betano 1.67 4.20 4.70 +28.2%
Betfair 1.62 4.20 4.50 +28.2%
Betfair 1.62 4.10 4.60 +27.6%
Betsson 1.18 6.30 10.50 +36.1%
BetVictor 1.65 4.33 4.75 +28.9%
bwin 1.21 6.00 10.00 +35.3%
Cashpoint 1.24 5.37 9.04 +33.4%
CloudBet 1.59 3.95 5.15 +26.7%
Coral 1.65 4.33 4.80 +28.9%
Dafabet 1.65 4.50 4.80 +29.8%
Dafabet 1.65 4.40 4.80 +29.3%
HKJC 1.53 4.10 4.25 +27.6%
Interwetten 1.63 4.30 4.60 +28.7%
Ladbrokes 1.61 4.20 4.60 +28.2%
MansionBet 1.63 3.90 4.75 +26.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.47
2.5 O 1.44 U 2.65
3.5 O 2.14 U 1.69
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.49 16 bks
NO
2.46 16 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.67
Away -0.5 2.28
Away -0.75 2.01
Away -1 1.77
Away -1.25 1.59
Away -1.5 1.49
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.