AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · TOKYO VERDY 72% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · FRI, 14 AUG · 10:00 LOCAL
TOKYO VERDY
5TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5:
D D D L W
FT
1 3
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
KASHIWA REYSOL
W W W W W
· 8TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 2' Naoki Hayashi
GOALS
⚽ 11' Keita Endo ⚽ 65' Yusuke Segawa ⚽ 82' Tojiro Kubo
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Naoki Hayashi · assist Soma Meshino
    TOK
  2. 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Keita Endo · assist Nobuteru Nakagawa
    KAS
  3. 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Rei Hirakawa · assist Issei Kumatoriya
    TOK
  4. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yuan Matsuhashi · assist Yuta Arai
    TOK
  5. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Hinata Yamauchi · assist Masaki Watai
    KAS
  6. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yuki Kakita · assist Yusuke Segawa
    KAS
  7. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nobuteru Nakagawa
    KAS
  8. 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yusuke Segawa · assist Masaki Watai
    KAS
  9. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yuya Fukuda · assist Soma Kanda
    TOK
  10. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Soma Meshino · assist Shion Nakayama
    TOK
  11. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yoshio Koizumi · assist Hayato Nakama
    KAS
  12. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Yosuke Uchida · assist Ryosuke Shirai
    TOK
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Keita Endo · assist Kenshin Yuba
    KAS
  14. 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tojiro Kubo · assist Kenshin Yuba
    KAS
  15. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tojiro Kubo · assist Seiya Baba
    KAS
  16. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kaito Suzuki
    TOK
  17. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Masaki Watai
    KAS
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 41%
59% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
SUBSTITUTES · TOKYO VERDY
Bench not yet published.
COACH: Jofuku Hiroshi
SUBSTITUTES · KASHIWA REYSOL
Bench not yet published.
COACH: Ricardo Rodriguez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TOK · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

KAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
TBA
~24h before kick-off
TOK MANAGER
Jofuku Hiroshi
head coach
KAS MANAGER
Ricardo Rodriguez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
TOK WINS
2
DRAWS
4
KAS WINS
40%
20%
40%
10 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
TOKYO VERDY LAST 5 OVERALL
D D D L W
KASHIWA REYSOL LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
TOKYO VERDY #4
Lost · already at 28 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
KASHIWA REYSOL #8
Won · already at 20 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Masaki Watai
    Delay of game
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kaito Suzuki
    Foul
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tojiro Kubo
  • 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tojiro Kubo
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Keita Endo
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Yosuke Uchida
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yoshio Koizumi
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Soma Meshino
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yuya Fukuda
  • 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yusuke Segawa
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nobuteru Nakagawa
    Foul
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yuki Kakita
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Hinata Yamauchi
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yuan Matsuhashi
  • 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Rei Hirakawa
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Keita Endo
  • 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Naoki Hayashi
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
TOKYO VERDY WIN
4.29
23.3% implied
↑ best 4.63
DRAW
3.32
30.1% implied
↑ best 3.46
KASHIWA REYSOL WIN
1.87
53.5% implied
↑ best 1.93

Market favors Kashiwa Reysol. AI projects TOKYO VERDY 72% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS TOKYO VERDY 72% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.20 3.35 1.85 +48.2%
1xBet 4.43 3.43 1.88 +49.4%
888Sport 4.20 3.20 1.85 +48.2%
Bet365 4.20 3.40 1.85 +48.2%
Betano 4.25 3.30 1.88 +48.5%
Betfair 4.50 3.30 1.80 +49.8%
BetVictor 4.50 3.40 1.85 +49.8%
Dafabet 4.40 3.45 1.93 +49.3%
Marathonbet 4.33 3.35 1.84 +48.9%
Pinnacle 4.63 3.46 1.88 +50.4%
SBO 3.69 2.99 1.91 +44.9%
Superbet 4.25 3.40 1.92 +48.5%
Unibet 4.25 3.25 1.85 +48.5%
William Hill 4.20 3.20 1.85 +48.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.40 U 2.76
2.5 O 2.25 U 1.61
3.5 O 4.23 U 1.20
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.00 11 bks
NO
1.72 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.25
Away -0.5 1.22
Away -0.75 1.11
Away -1 1.01
Away -1.25 1.01
Away -1.5 1.02
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.