GOALSENSE
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Europa Conference League · 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 30 JUL · 17:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
THE NEW SAINTS
PEN
1 – 0
AFTER PENALTIES
FLORA TALLINN
⚽ 90+1' Ben Wilson ⚽ 120+1' Ben Wilson ⚽ 120+2' Ryan Brobbel ⚽ 120+3' Joshua Lock ⚽ 120+4' Daniel Williams
GOALS
⚽ 120+1' Tristan Toomas Teeväli ⚽ 120+2' Rauno Alliku ⚽ 120+3' Tony Varjund ⚽ 120+4' M. Kalimullin ⚽ 120+5' Taaniel Usta
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 35/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
THE
1 – 1
FLO
most likely scoreline · 14.4% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 40%
FT 1 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
THE WIN 38%
DRAW 40%
FLO WIN 22%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 12

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 60% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 60% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match is 2 minutes old, 0-0; very limited signal — treat as weak heuristic, not actionable.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY THE NEW SAINTS CHALLENGED
38%
The New Saints' recent form (LLL) vs Flora's away form (D) — marginal home edge
+20.0%
WHY FLORA TALLINN CHALLENGED
22%
Only 2 minutes played; scoreline and momentum not yet meaningful
+25.0%
H2H shows Flora won 1-0 last week; TNS home record is also recent L
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Only 2 minutes played; scoreline and momentum not yet meaningful
  • H2H shows Flora won 1-0 last week; TNS home record is also recent L
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 91' BEN WILSON ⚽ 121' TRISTAN TO ⚽ 121' BEN WILSON ⚽ 122' RYAN BROBB ⚽ 122' RAUNO ALLI ⚽ 123' TONY VARJU ⚽ 123' JOSHUA LOC ⚽ 124' M. KALIMUL ⚽ 124' DANIEL WIL ⚽ 125' TAANIEL US
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 10 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.4%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.7
6.0
1.9
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.4
13.5
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.6
7.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.7
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.4%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.7%
2 — 0 7.6%
Top 5 = 61.7% · rest 38.3%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.54
40.0%
2.50
+41.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.80
62.0%
1.61
+11.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.26
78.0%
1.28
-1.8%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.60
48.0%
2.08
-23.0%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.47
22.0%
4.55
-23.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.24
60.0%
1.67
-25.5%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.94
38.0%
2.63
-26.1%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.71
42.0%
2.38
-28.3%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.