GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · SWITZERLAND 38%
CONF 45 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 3 · WED, 24 JUN · 19:00 LOCAL
SWITZERLAND
1ST · 7 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W W D
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
CANADA
L W W D L
· 2ND · 4 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 46' R. Vargas ⚽ 57' Johan Manzambi
GOALS
⚽ 76' P. David
Gregor Kobel
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Gregor Kobel
Switzerland · 97 mins
· 40% pass acc
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.06
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.27
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
6
TOTAL SHOTS
13
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
2
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Cyle Larin
    CAN
  2. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    G. Xhaka
    SWI
  3. 46'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    R. Vargas · assist Johan Manzambi
    SWI
  4. 57'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Johan Manzambi · assist B. Embolo
    SWI
  5. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Mathieu Choinière · assist Stephen Eustaquio
    CAN
  6. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ali Ahmed · assist Liam Millar
    CAN
  7. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Cyle Larin · assist T. Oluwaseyi
    CAN
  8. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Luca Jaquez · assist S. Widmer
    SWI
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Djibril Sow · assist Michel Aebischer
    SWI
  10. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    T. Buchanan · assist P. David
    CAN
  11. 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    P. David · assist Nathan-Dylan Saliba
    CAN
  12. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    R. Vargas · assist Dan Ndoye
    SWI
  13. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Richie Laryea · assist Jacob Shaffelburg
    CAN
  14. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Johan Manzambi · assist Christian Fassnacht
    SWI
  15. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    B. Embolo · assist C. Itten
    SWI
  16. 87'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Liam Millar
    CAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SWITZERLAND AVG 7.9
CANADA AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.1
xG
1.3
6.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
4.0
ON TARGET
7.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
1.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
441.0
PASSES
339.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
7.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
19.0
FOULS
13.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
6.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SWITZERLAND 4 shots
B. Embolo
2/2
Johan Manzambi
1/1
R. Vargas
1/1
CANADA 4 shots
P. David
3/3
Ali Ahmed
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.06 – 1.27
1 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.3 0.0 HT 46' 57' 76' H 1.06 A 1.27 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
8.6
1
GREGOR KO
 7.5
13
RICARDO R
5
MANUEL AK
4
NICO ELVE
25
LUCA JAQU
10
G. XHAKA
8
REMO FREU
 7.5
17
R. VARGAS
 8.2
9
JOHAN MAN
15
DJIBRIL S
 7.5
7
B. EMBOLO
16
MAXIME CR
22
RICHIE LA
13
DEREK COR
4
L. DE FOU
2
A. JOHNST
 6.9
20
ALI AHMED
 6.9
6
MATHIEU C
 7.3
25
NATHAN-DY
17
T. BUCHAN
9
CYLE LARI
10
J. DAVID
SUBSTITUTES · SWITZERLAND
24
Aurèle Amend...
D
6
Denis Zakari...
M
14
Ardon Jashar...
M
22
Fabian Riede...
M
19
Noah Okafor
F
18
Eray Cömert
D
12
Yvon Mvogo
G
21
M. Keller
G
26
C. Itten
F
16
Christian Fa...
M
11
Dan Ndoye
F
20
Michel Aebis...
M
3
S. Widmer
D
23
Z. Amdouni
F
COACH: Murat Yakin
SUBSTITUTES · CANADA
5
Joel Waterma...
D
23
N. Sigur
M
15
Moise Bombit...
D
19
A. Davies
D
21
Jonathan Oso...
M
18
O. Goodman
G
1
Dayne St. Cl...
G
14
Jacob Shaffe...
F
24
P. David
F
12
T. Oluwaseyi
F
11
Liam Millar
F
7
Stephen Eust...
M
26
Jayden Nelso...
F
COACH: Jesse Marsch
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SWI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ramon Abatti Abel, Brazil
—
SWI MANAGER
Murat Yakin
head coach
CAN MANAGER
Jesse Marsch
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
SWI WINS
1
DRAWS
0
CAN WINS
100%
SWITZERLAND LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W D
CANADA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
SWITZERLAND #1
Won · already at 7 pts
Round of 32
CANADA #2
Lost · already at 4 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 87'
    Card · Yellow Card · Liam Millar
    Holding
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · B. Embolo
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Johan Manzambi
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Richie Laryea
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · R. Vargas
  • 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal · P. David
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · T. Buchanan
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Djibril Sow
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Luca Jaquez
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Cyle Larin
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ali Ahmed
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Mathieu Choinière
  • 57'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Johan Manzambi
  • 46'
    Goal · Normal Goal · R. Vargas
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · G. Xhaka
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · Cyle Larin
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SWITZERLAND WIN
2.49
40.2% implied
↑ best 2.60
DRAW
2.98
33.6% implied
↑ best 3.04
CANADA WIN
3.20
31.3% implied
↑ best 3.33

Market favors Switzerland. AI projects SWITZERLAND 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SWITZERLAND 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.38 2.92 3.25 -0.2%
1xBet 2.60 3.03 3.33 +1.0%
888Sport 2.45 2.90 2.90 -0.5%
Bet365 2.45 3.00 3.20 +0.7%
Betano 2.57 3.00 3.30 +0.7%
Betfair 2.45 3.00 3.30 +0.7%
BetVictor 2.38 3.00 3.10 +0.7%
Marathonbet 2.57 3.00 3.30 +0.7%
Pinnacle 2.56 3.04 3.30 +1.1%
SBO 2.53 2.90 3.20 -0.5%
Superbet 2.52 3.00 3.25 +0.7%
Unibet 2.48 2.95 3.25 +0.1%
William Hill 2.45 3.00 2.90 +0.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.39 U 2.94
2.5 O 2.24 U 1.65
3.5 O 3.92 U 1.24
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.85 11 bks
NO
1.89 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.77
Away -0.5 1.55
Away -0.75 1.38
Away -1 1.24
Away -1.25 1.19
Away -1.5 1.15
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.