GOALSENSE
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Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 38 · SUN, 24 MAY · 15:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
SUNDERLAND
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME
CHELSEA
⚽ 25' Trai Hume ⚽ 50' Malo Gusto
GOALS
⚽ 56' Cole Palmer
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 88/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SUN
2 – 1
CHE
most likely scoreline · 13.9% probability
AI PICKS SUNDERLAND TO WIN 92%
FT 2 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SUN WIN 92%
DRAW 6%
CHE WIN 2%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
SUNDERLAND TO WIN

AI consensus across 92% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 92% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Sunderland 2-1 up at 90' — Chelsea need 1 goal in stoppage time with minimal time left. Lock in Sunderland.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SUNDERLAND FAVORED
92%
1-goal lead at minute 90 with 0 minutes effective time remaining
+25.0%
Recent H2H: Sunderland won last 2 vs Chelsea (2-1 and 2-1); Chelsea's away form weak (DLLLW)
+15.0%
WHY CHELSEA CHALLENGED
2%
Chelsea down to 10 men discipline (yellow card at 90') and have made 3 subs (depleting bench impact)
+20.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 1-goal lead at minute 90 with 0 minutes effective time remaining
  • Recent H2H: Sunderland won last 2 vs Chelsea (2-1 and 2-1); Chelsea's away form weak (DLLLW)
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW CHE
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 25' TRAI HUME ⚽ 50' MALO GUSTO ⚽ 56' COLE PALME
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
3.2
1.0
0.2
·
·
·
1
11.8
7.5
2.4
0.5
0.1
·
·
2
13.9
8.9
2.8
0.6
0.1
·
·
3
10.9
7.0
2.2
0.5
0.1
·
·
4
6.4
4.1
1.3
0.3
·
·
·
5
3.0
1.9
0.6
0.1
·
·
·
6+
1.2
0.8
0.2
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 13.9%
1 — 0 11.8%
3 — 0 10.9%
2 — 1 8.9%
1 — 1 7.5%
Top 5 = 52.9% · rest 47.1%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.49
92.0%
1.09
+220.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.78
98.0%
1.02
+74.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.62
88.0%
1.14
+43.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.75
78.0%
1.28
+36.4%
HOME or CHE (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.27
94.0%
1.06
+19.2%
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.63
6.0%
16.67
-78.2%
—
Draw or CHE (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
8.0%
12.50
-89.6%
—
CHE to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.02
2.0%
50.00
-96.0%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.