GOALSENSE
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Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 28 · SUN, 11 OCT · 23:00 LOCAL
ST. LOUIS CITY
6TH · 33 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W D W
45'
5 – 1
HT · 5-1
LOS ANGELES GALAXY
D W L D D
· 12TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 2' C. Holse ⚽ 7' C. Holse ⚽ 21' C. Holse ⚽ 45' Rafael Navarro (P) ⚽ 45+7' L. MacNaughton
GOALS
⚽ 31' R. Taylor
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · St. Louis City · 45'

LIVE
LOS ANGE ST. LOUI

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

ST. LOUI LOS ANGE
⚽ 21' ⚽ 31' ⚽ 45' ⚽ 45' ST. LOUIS LOS ANGELE 15' 30' 45'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 45'

1.78
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.40
63%
BALL POSSESSION %
37%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
7
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
1
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 8 events
  1. 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    C. Holse · assist Rafael Navarro
    ST.
  2. 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    C. Holse · assist Rafael Navarro
    ST.
  3. 11'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    K. Furuhashi
    LOS
  4. 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    C. Holse · assist C. Durkin
    ST.
  5. 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    R. Taylor · assist E. Thommy
    LOS
  6. 39'
    Card · Yellow Card
    C. Durkin
    ST.
  7. 45'
    Goal · Penalty
    Rafael Navarro
    ST.
  8. 45'+7
    Goal · Normal Goal
    L. MacNaughton · assist A. Mățan
    ST.
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.8
xG
0.4
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
5.0
ON TARGET
3.0
0.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
63.0%
POSSESSION %
37.0%
330.0
PASSES
194.0
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
1.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
5.0
FOULS
3.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
0.0
RED CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ST. LOUIS CITY 6 shots
C. Holse
3/3
Rafael Navarro
1/1
L. MacNaughton
1/1
A. Mățan
0/1
LOS ANGELES GALAXY 5 shots
R. Taylor
2/4
T. Elgersma
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.78 – 0.40
1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT 2' 7' 21' 45' 45' 31' H 1.78 A 0.40 KO 30' 60' 45'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 75%
25% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
2
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-3 vs 4-3-3
3-4-3
4-3-3
1
R. BüRKI
21
D. POLVAR
32
T. BAUMGA
 7.6
5
L. MACNAU
14
T. TOTLAN
 7.0
8
C. DURKIN
24
D. EDELMA
6
C. WALLEM
 7.2
23
A. MățAN
 8.3
9
RAFAEL NA
 9.6
19
C. HOLSE
12
J. MARCIN
3
J. AUDE
15
J. HAAK
5
J. GLESNE
26
HARBOR MI
6
SERGI ROB
 6.8
27
E. THOMMY
 6.2
17
P. RUIZ
 7.8
21
R. TAYLOR
 6.3
7
K. FURUHA
 6.6
76
T. ELGERS
SUBSTITUTES · ST. LOUIS CITY
99
J. Orozco
D
39
B. Lundt
G
77
Jeong Sang-B...
F
27
F. Fall
D
42
D. Downs
F
11
S. Becher
F
20
Rafael Santo...
D
28
M. Perez
M
7
T. Ostrák
M
COACH: Y. Damet
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES GALAXY
4
M. Yoshida
D
8
L. Sanabria
M
18
M. Reus
M
28
J. Paintsil
F
14
J. Nelson
D
1
N. Mićović
G
25
C. Garcés
D
2
Calegari
D
COACH: Greg Vanney
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ST. · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Joseph Dickerson
—
ST. MANAGER
Y. Damet
head coach
LOS MANAGER
Greg Vanney
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
ST. WINS
4
DRAWS
3
LOS WINS
30%
40%
30%
18 – 22
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
4.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
23 Jul 2026
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 – 3
St. Louis City
W
14 Jun 2025
St. Louis City
3 – 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
09 Mar 2025
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 – 3
St. Louis City
W
01 Sep 2024
St. Louis City
2 – 1
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
17 Mar 2024
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 – 3
St. Louis City
D
ST. LOUIS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W D W
LOS ANGELES GALAXY LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L D D
LIVE IMPACT Currently 5–1 · scenario projection
ST. LOUIS CITY #6
If win holds: 36 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LOS ANGELES GALAXY #12
If loss holds: 26 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 45'+7
    Goal · Normal Goal · L. MacNaughton
  • 45'
    Goal · Penalty · Rafael Navarro
  • 39'
    Card · Yellow Card · C. Durkin
    Foul
  • 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal · R. Taylor
  • 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal · C. Holse
  • 11'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · K. Furuhashi
  • 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal · C. Holse
  • 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal · C. Holse
9 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 9 BOOKMAKERS
ST. LOUIS CITY WIN
1.48
67.6% implied
↑ best 1.53
DRAW
4.73
21.1% implied
↑ best 5.08
LOS ANGELES GALA WIN
5.59
17.9% implied
↑ best 6.50
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
Bet365 1.48 4.50 6.50
Betano 1.53 4.90 5.90
Betfair 1.47 4.75 5.50
BetVictor 1.45 4.80 5.75
Dafabet 1.52 4.90 5.60
Marathonbet 1.47 4.80 5.35
Pinnacle 1.50 5.08 5.70
SBO 1.43 4.35 5.03
William Hill 1.44 4.50 5.00

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 6.36
2.5 O 1.39 U 2.91
3.5 O 1.98 U 1.81
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.49 6 bks
NO
2.48 6 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.17
Away -0.5 2.64
Away -0.75 2.33
Away -1 2.07
Away -1.25 1.83
Away -1.5 1.63
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.