GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · ST. LOUIS CITY 88% · Value: Over 2.5 72%
CONF 81 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · THU, 14 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
ST. LOUIS CITY
12TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W L L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
LOS ANGELES FC
W L L D W
· 5TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 4' Tomas Totland ⚽ 64' Rafael Santos
GOALS
⚽ 73' David Martínez
Eduard Löwen
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Eduard Löwen
St. Louis City · 66 mins
🅰 1 assist · 38% pass acc
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: St. Louis City SC vs Los Angeles FC
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

72%
BALL POSSESSION %
142%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
16
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
348%
PASS ACCURACY %
592%
2
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 4'
    Goal · 1-0
    Tomas Totland · assist Eduard Löwen
    ST.
  2. 10'
    Subst
    Rafael Santos · assist Jaziel Orozco
    ST.
  3. 46'
    Subst
    Simon Becher · assist Sang-bin Jeong
    ST.
  4. 49'
    Card · Foul
    Tomas Totland
    ST.
  5. 58'
    Card · Foul
    Eddie Segura
    LOS
  6. 60'
    Card · Foul
    Dante Polvara
    ST.
  7. 64'
    Goal · 2-0
    Rafael Santos
    ST.
  8. 66'
    Subst
    Fallou Fall · assist Eduard Löwen
    ST.
  9. 67'
    Card · Foul
    Aaron Long  
    LOS
  10. 70'
    Subst
    David Martínez · assist Tyler Boyd
    LOS
  11. 73'
    Goal · 2-1
    David Martínez · assist Nkosi Tafari
    LOS
  12. 76'
    Card · Foul
    Simon Becher
    ST.
  13. 77'
    Subst
    Stephen Eustaquio · assist Mathieu Choinière
    LOS
  14. 77'
    Subst
    Jacob Shaffelburg  · assist Eddie Segura
    LOS
  15. 77'
    Subst
    Nathan Ordaz · assist Timothy Tillman
    LOS
  16. 82'
    Card · Foul
    Ryan Raposo
    LOS
  17. 85'
    Subst
    Ryan Hollingshead · assist Ryan Raposo
    LOS
  18. 90'
    Subst
    Brendan McSorley · assist Sergio Córdova
    ST.
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ST. LOUIS CITY AVG 7.6
LOS ANGELES FC AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
2.0
ON TARGET
4.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
0.0
BLOCKED
7.0
POSSESSION
72.0%
POSSESSION %
142.0%
404.0
PASSES
654.0
348.0%
PASS ACCURACY
592.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
8.0
17.0
OFFSIDES
14.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
10.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
3.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ST. LOUIS CITY 4 shots
Rafael Santos
1/2
Eduard Löwen
0/1
Tomas Totland
1/1
LOS ANGELES FC 4 shots
Nkosi Tafari
0/2
Son Heung-min
1/1
David Martínez Morales
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-3 vs 4-3-3
3-4-3
4-3-3
7.5
1
ROMAN BüR
21
DANTE POL
 7.2
32
TIMO BAUM
5
LUKAS MAC
 7.9
14
TOMAS TOT
24
DANIEL ED
 8.0
10
EDUARD Lö
99
JAZIEL OR
17
MARCEL HA
16
SERGIO Có
77
JEONG SAN
1
HUGO LLOR
4
EDDIE SEG
 6.9
91
NKOSI TAF
33
AARON LON
21
RYAN RAPO
66
MATHIEU C
 7.0
11
TIMOTHY T
 6.9
8
MARK DELG
99
DENIS BOU
 7.3
7
SON HEUNG
19
TYLER BOY
SUBSTITUTES · ST. LOUIS CITY
11
Simon Becher
F
28
Miguel Perez
M
59
Mykhi Joyner
M
80
Brendan McSo...
F
4
Mamadou Mbac...
D
27
Fallou Fall
D
39
Benjamin Lun...
G
20
Rafael Santo...
D
36
Cedric Teuch...
F
COACH: Yoann Damet
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES FC
17
Jeremy Ebobi...
F
30
David Martín...
F
46
Stephen Eust...
M
18
Jacob Shaffe...
F
29
Artem Smolia...
D
24
Ryan Holling...
D
5
Ryan Porteou...
D
12
Thomas Hasal
G
27
Nathan Ordaz
F
COACH: Marc Dos Santos
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ST. · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
L. Hernandez
—
ST. MANAGER
Yoann Damet
head coach
LOS MANAGER
Marc Dos Santos
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
ST. WINS
2
DRAWS
5
LOS WINS
12.5%
25%
62.5%
3 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 8
15 Mar 2026
Los Angeles FC
2 – 0
St. Louis City
L
28 Sep 2025
St. Louis City
0 – 3
Los Angeles FC
L
27 Apr 2025
Los Angeles FC
2 – 2
St. Louis City
D
03 Oct 2024
Los Angeles FC
1 – 0
St. Louis City
L
16 May 2024
St. Louis City
0 – 2
Los Angeles FC
L
ST. LOUIS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W L L
LOS ANGELES FC LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
ST. LOUIS CITY #12
Won · already at 16 pts
LOS ANGELES FC #5
Lost · already at 24 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Subst · Brendan McSorley
    9th Substitution
  • 85'
    Subst · Ryan Hollingshead
    8th Substitution
  • 82'
    Card · Foul · Ryan Raposo
    6th Yellowcard
  • 77'
    Subst · Nathan Ordaz
    6th Substitution
  • 77'
    Subst · Jacob Shaffelburg 
    7th Substitution
  • 77'
    Subst · Stephen Eustaquio
    5th Substitution
  • 76'
    Card · Foul · Simon Becher
    5th Yellowcard
  • 73'
    Goal · 2-1 · David Martínez
    3rd Goal
  • 70'
    Subst · David Martínez
    4th Substitution
  • 67'
    Card · Foul · Aaron Long  
    4th Yellowcard
  • 66'
    Subst · Fallou Fall
    3rd Substitution
  • 64'
    Goal · 2-0 · Rafael Santos
    2nd Goal
  • 60'
    Card · Foul · Dante Polvara
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 58'
    Card · Foul · Eddie Segura
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 49'
    Card · Foul · Tomas Totland
    1st Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst · Simon Becher
    2nd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 10'
    Subst · Rafael Santos
    1st Substitution
  • 4'
    Goal · 1-0 · Tomas Totland
    1st Goal
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
ST. LOUIS CITY WIN
2.69
37.2% implied
↑ best 2.81
DRAW
3.56
28.1% implied
↑ best 3.73
LOS ANGELES FC WIN
2.42
41.3% implied
↑ best 2.50

Market favors Los Angeles FC. AI projects ST. LOUIS CITY 88% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ST. LOUIS CITY 88% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.64 3.65 2.40 +50.1%
888Sport 2.63 3.40 2.40 +50.0%
Bet365 2.75 3.60 2.40 +51.6%
Betano 2.72 3.55 2.50 +51.2%
Betfair 2.63 3.60 2.40 +50.0%
BetVictor 2.70 3.60 2.38 +51.0%
Dafabet 2.75 3.65 2.49 +51.6%
Marathonbet 2.70 3.60 2.36 +51.0%
Pinnacle 2.81 3.73 2.44 +52.4%
SBO 2.65 3.42 2.38 +50.3%
Unibet 2.70 3.55 2.43 +51.0%
William Hill 2.62 3.40 2.40 +49.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.36
2.5 O 1.66 U 2.19
3.5 O 2.63 U 1.45
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.53 9 bks
NO
2.37 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.58
Away -0.5 1.46
Away -0.75 1.32
Away -1 1.19
Away -1.25 1.15
Away -1.5 1.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.