GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · SPORTING KANSAS CITY 88% · Value: Over 2.5 78%
CONF 84 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · THU, 23 JUL · 00:30 LOCAL
SPORTING KANSAS CITY
15TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L W W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
MINNESOTA UNITED FC
D D L L D
· 9TH · 23 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 28' Dejan Joveljić ⚽ 54' Manu García
GOALS
⚽ 75' Devin Padelford
Manu García
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Manu García
Sporting Kansas City · 72 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 16% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.06
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.73
35%
BALL POSSESSION %
65%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
15
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
9
78%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
2
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 21'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kyle Duncan
    MIN
  2. 28'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Dejan Joveljić · assist Capita
    SPO
  3. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Capita
    SPO
  4. 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Manu García · assist Jacob Davis
    SPO
  5. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Joaquín Pereyra
    MIN
  6. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kelvin Yeboah · assist Mamadou Dieng
    MIN
  7. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Kyle Duncan · assist Bongokuhle Hlongwane
    MIN
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Manu García · assist Kwaku Agyabeng
    SPO
  9. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Capita · assist Stephen Afrifa
    SPO
  10. 74'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dejan Joveljić
    SPO
  11. 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Devin Padelford
    MIN
  12. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Devin Padelford · assist Jefferson Díaz
    MIN
  13. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Owen Gene · assist Mauricio González
    MIN
  14. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Zorhan Bassong · assist Jacob Bartlett
    SPO
  15. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Wyatt Meyer · assist Ian James
    SPO
  16. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Bongokuhle Hlongwane
    MIN
  17. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tomás Chancalay · assist Julian Gressel
    MIN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SPORTING KANSAS CITY AVG 7.5
MINNESOTA UNITED FC AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.1
xG
1.7
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
7.0
ON TARGET
9.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
0.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
35.0%
POSSESSION %
65.0%
299.0
PASSES
573.0
78.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
6.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
7.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
8.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SPORTING KANSAS CITY 5 shots
Manu García
2/3
Dejan Joveljić
2/2
MINNESOTA UNITED FC 4 shots
Joaquín Pereyra
0/1
Wil Trapp
0/1
Devin Padelford
1/1
Mamadou Dieng
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.06 – 1.73
1.4 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 28' 54' 75' H 1.06 A 1.73 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-3
4-2-3-1
3-4-3
7.3
30
STEFAN CL
18
EMIR KARI
28
WYATT MEY
5
OR BLORIA
 7.5
8
JACOB DAV
22
ZORHAN BA
4
LASSE BER
11
CALVIN HA
 8.2
6
MANU GARC
 7.2
7
CAPITA
 7.3
9
DEJAN JOV
12
DRAKE CAL
 6.9
2
DEVIN PAD
23
MORRIS DU
15
MICHAEL B
13
ANTHONY M
 7.3
20
WIL TRAPP
 7.5
30
OWEN GENE
3
KYLE DUNC
8
TOMáS CHA
9
KELVIN YE
 8.0
26
JOAQUíN P
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING KANSAS CITY
93
Shapi Suleym...
F
20
Kwaku Agyabe...
M
16
Jacob Bartle...
D
99
Jayden Reid
D
15
Jansen Mille...
D
2
Ian James
D
23
Ethan Bartlo...
D
1
John Pulskam...
G
17
Stephen Afri...
F
COACH: Raphael Wicky
SUBSTITUTES · MINNESOTA UNITED FC
21
Bongokuhle H...
F
18
Mauricio Gon...
F
6
Peter Stroud
M
28
Jefferson Dí...
D
27
D.J. Taylor
D
24
Julian Gress...
M
33
Kieran Chand...
D
1
Alec Smir
G
29
Mamadou Die...
F
COACH: Cameron Knowles
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MIN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Corrigan
—
SPO MANAGER
Raphael Wicky
head coach
MIN MANAGER
Cameron Knowles
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
SPO WINS
1
DRAWS
5
MIN WINS
40%
10%
50%
16 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
05 Oct 2025
Minnesota United FC
3 – 0
Sporting Kansas City
L
16 Mar 2025
Sporting Kansas City
3 – 3
Minnesota United FC
D
22 Sep 2024
Sporting Kansas City
0 – 2
Minnesota United FC
L
02 Jun 2024
Minnesota United FC
3 – 1
Sporting Kansas City
L
28 Apr 2024
Minnesota United FC
2 – 1
Sporting Kansas City
L
SPORTING KANSAS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L W W
MINNESOTA UNITED FC LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
SPORTING KANSAS CITY #15
Won · already at 14 pts
MINNESOTA UNITED FC #9
Lost · already at 23 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tomás Chancalay
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Bongokuhle Hlongwane
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Wyatt Meyer
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Zorhan Bassong
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Owen Gene
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Devin Padelford
  • 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Devin Padelford
  • 74'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dejan Joveljić
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Capita
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Manu García
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Kyle Duncan
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kelvin Yeboah
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · Joaquín Pereyra
  • 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Manu García
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Capita
  • 28'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Dejan Joveljić
  • 21'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kyle Duncan
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SPORTING KANSAS WIN
3.18
31.4% implied
↑ best 3.45
DRAW
3.76
26.6% implied
↑ best 3.90
MINNESOTA UNITED WIN
2.08
48.1% implied
↑ best 2.20

Market favors Minnesota United FC. AI projects SPORTING KANSAS CITY 88% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SPORTING KANSAS CITY 88% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.98 3.80 2.12 +54.4%
Bet365 3.00 3.75 2.20 +54.7%
Betano 3.05 3.85 2.15 +55.2%
Betfair 3.00 3.60 2.15 +54.7%
BetVictor 3.10 3.70 2.10 +55.7%
Dafabet 3.45 3.90 2.03 +59.0%
Marathonbet 3.40 3.80 1.94 +58.6%
Pinnacle 3.14 3.84 2.20 +56.2%
SBO 3.24 3.69 1.97 +57.1%
Superbet 3.40 3.80 2.02 +58.6%
Unibet 3.45 3.75 1.97 +59.0%
William Hill 2.90 3.60 2.10 +53.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.16 U 5.09
2.5 O 1.54 U 2.41
3.5 O 2.34 U 1.58
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.48 9 bks
NO
2.50 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.43
Away -0.5 1.41
Away -0.75 1.23
Away -1 1.10
Away -1.25 1.09
Away -1.5 1.09
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.