GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · SOUTHAMPTON 45%
CONF 54 FULL ANALYSIS →
Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 40 · TUE, 28 APR · 18:45 LOCAL
SOUTHAMPTON
4TH · 80 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W D W
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
IPSWICH
W D W D L
· 2ND · 84 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 58' Ryan Manning ⚽ 80' Cyle Larin
GOALS
⚽ 48' Wes Burns ⚽ 87' Jack Clarke
Ryan Manning
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ryan Manning
Southampton · 89 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 27% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
ST MARY'S ROLLERCOASTER 🎢 | Highlights: Southampton 2-2 Ipswich Town
Open in Youtube ↗
Championship: Southampton vs Ipswich
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.01
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.75
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
18
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
77%
PASS ACCURACY %
76%
5
CORNERS
9
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Wes Burns · assist Ivan Azón
    IPS
  2. 57'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jacob Greaves
    IPS
  3. 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ryan Manning
    SOU
  4. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Wes Burns · assist Kasey McAteer
    IPS
  5. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jaden Philogene-Bidace · assist Jack Clarke
    IPS
  6. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tom Fellows · assist Samuel Edozie
    SOU
  7. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ivan Azón
    IPS
  8. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ivan Azón · assist George Hirst
    IPS
  9. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Marcelino Núñez · assist Jens Cajuste
    IPS
  10. 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Cyle Larin · assist Ryan Manning
    SOU
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Cyle Larin · assist Ross Stewart
    SOU
  12. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Azor Matusiwa · assist Chuba Akpom
    IPS
  13. 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jack Clarke
    IPS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SOUTHAMPTON AVG 7.5
IPSWICH AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
1.8
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
18.0
4.0
ON TARGET
8.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
9.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
353.0
PASSES
344.0
77.0%
PASS ACCURACY
76.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
9.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
18.0
FOULS
18.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
7.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SOUTHAMPTON 8 shots
Cyle Larin
3/4
Ryan Manning
1/2
Leo Scienza
0/1
Shea Charles
0/1
IPSWICH 6 shots
Wes Burns
1/4
Jack Clarke
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.01 – 1.75
1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT 58' 80' 48' 87' H 1.01 A 1.75 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 31%
69% A
4
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
41
DANIEL PE
3
RYAN MANN
15
NATHAN WO
14
EMMANUEL
6
TAYLOR HA
20
CASPAR JA
24
SHEA EMMA
18
TOM FELLO
13
LEO SCIEN
10
FINN AZAZ
9
CYLE LARI
28
CHRISTIAN
19
DARNELL F
26
DARA O'SH
3
LEIF DAVI
24
JACOB GRE
6
DAN NEIL
5
AZOR MATU
11
JADEN PHI
32
MARCELINO
7
THIAGO AL
31
IVáN AZóN
SUBSTITUTES · SOUTHAMPTON
38
Elias Jelert
D
34
Welington
D
28
Oriol Romeu
M
25
George Long
G
23
Samuel Edozi...
M
19
Cameron Arch...
F
17
Joshua Quars...
D
11
Ross Stewart
F
48
Cameron Brag...
M
COACH: Tonda Eckert
SUBSTITUTES · IPSWICH
29
Chuba Akpom
F
33
Anis Mehmeti
M
20
Kasey McAtee...
M
1
Alex Palmer
G
18
Ben Johnson
D
12
Jens Cajuste
M
9
George Hirst
F
4
Cédric Kipré
D
47
Jack Clarke
F
COACH: Kieran McKenna
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

IPS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
T. Kirk
—
SOU MANAGER
Tonda Eckert
head coach
IPS MANAGER
Kieran McKenna
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
SOU WINS
4
DRAWS
2
IPS WINS
33.3%
44.4%
22.2%
14 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
2.78
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 9
17 Aug 2025
Ipswich
1 – 1
Southampton
D
01 Feb 2025
Ipswich
1 – 2
Southampton
W
21 Sep 2024
Southampton
1 – 1
Ipswich
D
01 Apr 2024
Ipswich
3 – 2
Southampton
L
19 Sep 2023
Southampton
0 – 1
Ipswich
L
SOUTHAMPTON LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W D W
IPSWICH LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
SOUTHAMPTON #4
Lost · already at 80 pts
Promotion Playoffs
IPSWICH #2
Lost · already at 84 pts
Promotion
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
L D W D W
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D W D D
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
L L D D W
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W W D W L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jack Clarke
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Azor Matusiwa
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Cyle Larin
  • 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Cyle Larin
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Marcelino Núñez
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ivan Azón
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ivan Azón
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tom Fellows
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jaden Philogene-Bidace
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Wes Burns
  • 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ryan Manning
  • 57'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jacob Greaves
  • 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Wes Burns
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SOUTHAMPTON WIN
2.17
46.1% implied
↑ best 2.23
DRAW
3.53
28.3% implied
↑ best 3.70
IPSWICH WIN
3.16
31.6% implied
↑ best 3.34

Market favors Southampton. AI projects SOUTHAMPTON 45%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SOUTHAMPTON 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.16 3.60 3.05 +0.2%
1xBet 2.23 3.56 3.32 +0.2%
Bet365 2.10 3.50 3.10 -0.6%
Betano 2.18 3.70 3.10 +1.0%
Betfair 2.10 3.60 3.25 +0.2%
BetVictor 2.15 3.60 3.13 +0.2%
Dafabet 2.23 3.60 3.15 +0.2%
Marathonbet 2.15 3.42 3.18 -1.2%
Pinnacle 2.20 3.59 3.34 +0.1%
SBO 2.15 3.38 3.04 -1.5%
Unibet 2.14 3.55 3.20 -0.2%
William Hill 2.20 3.30 3.10 -0.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.12
2.5 O 1.71 U 2.13
3.5 O 2.68 U 1.44
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.56 9 bks
NO
2.29 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.93
Away -0.5 1.70
Away -0.75 1.51
Away -1 1.32
Away -1.25 1.26
Away -1.5 1.21
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.