DFB Pokal · ROUND OF 64 · SAT, 22 AUG · 16:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
SG SONNENHOF GROSSASPACH
PEN
2 2
AFTER PENALTIES
ARMINIA BIELEFELD
⚽ 12' Jan Elias Rahn ⚽ 55' Fabian Eisele ⚽ 120+1' Arbnor Nuraj ⚽ 120+2' Luca Damiano Molinari ⚽ 120+3' Franz Xaver Bleicher
GOALS
⚽ 40' Stefano Russo ⚽ 42' Joel Grodowski ⚽ 120+1' Maximilian Bauer ⚽ 120+2' Tim Handwerker ⚽ 120+3' Roberts Uldriķis
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 18/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SG
1 1
ARM
most likely scoreline · 13.7% probability
AI PICKS ARMINIA BIELEFELD TO WIN 37%
FT 2 – 2
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SG WIN 35%
DRAW 28%
ARM WIN 37%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — X2

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 65% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 65% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Extreme data gap: no form, no stats, no odds. Treat as a weak baseline heuristic only.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SG SONNENHOF GROSSASPACH CHALLENGED
35%
No recent form or season statistics for either team — unusable data
+25.0%
Kickoff is 2026-08-22, likely pre-season or early DFB Pokal round with unknown squad readiness
+20.0%
Modest home-advantage baseline (3–5%) only signal available; all other indicators absent
+15.0%
WHY ARMINIA BIELEFELD FAVORED
37%
No recent form or season statistics for either team — unusable data
+25.0%
Kickoff is 2026-08-22, likely pre-season or early DFB Pokal round with unknown squad readiness
+20.0%
Modest home-advantage baseline (3–5%) only signal available; all other indicators absent
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • No recent form or season statistics for either team — unusable data
  • Kickoff is 2026-08-22, likely pre-season or early DFB Pokal round with unknown squad readiness
  • Modest home-advantage baseline (3–5%) only signal available; all other indicators absent
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 12' JAN ELIAS 40' STEFANO RU 42' JOEL GRODO 55' FABIAN EIS 121' ARBNOR NUR 121' MAXIMILIAN 122' LUCA DAMIA 122' TIM HANDWE 123' FRANZ XAVE 123' ROBERTS UL
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 10 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.7
6.9
2.3
0.6
0.1
·
1
13.4
13.5
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
·
2
6.6
6.7
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
3
2.2
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 1 13.7%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
1 — 0 13.4%
0 — 2 6.9%
Top 5 = 61.0% · rest 39.0%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.95
35.0%
2.86
+108.2%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.65
63.0%
1.59
+67.2%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.80
28.0%
3.57
+34.3%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.16
72.0%
1.39
-16.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.54
54.0%
1.85
-16.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.11
65.0%
1.54
-27.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.41
48.0%
2.08
-32.5%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.44
37.0%
2.70
-46.7%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.