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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · REAL MADRID 50%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 17:00 LOCAL
SEVILLA
13TH · 43 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W W L
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
REAL MADRID
W W L W D
· 2ND · 86 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 15' Vinícius Júnior
Andres Castrin
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Andres Castrin
Sevilla · 87 mins
· 26% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
HIGHLIGHTS | Sevilla 0-1 Real Madrid | LaLiga
Open in Youtube ↗
La Liga: Sevilla FC vs Real Madrid
La Liga: Sevilla FC vs Real Madrid
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.59
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.03
41%
BALL POSSESSION %
59%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
12
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
3
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 15'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Vinícius Júnior
    REA
  2. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nemanja Gudelj
    SEV
  3. 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Neal Maupay · assist Alexis Sánchez
    SEV
  4. 54'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Nemanja Gudelj · assist Lucien Agoumé
    SEV
  5. 54'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ruben Vargas · assist Chidera Ejuke
    SEV
  6. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Thiago Pitarch · assist Franco Mastantuono
    REA
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Aurélien Tchouaméni · assist Eduardo Camavinga
    REA
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    José Ángel Carmona · assist Juanlu Sánchez
    SEV
  9. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Vinícius Júnior · assist Gonzalo García
    REA
  10. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Brahim Díaz · assist Trent Alexander-Arnold
    REA
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Oso · assist Isaac Romero
    SEV
  12. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alexis Sánchez
    SEV
  13. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Juanlu Sánchez
    SEV
  14. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jude Bellingham · assist Alvaro Leiva
    REA
  15. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucien Agoumé
    SEV
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SEVILLA AVG 7.4
REAL MADRID AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
1.0
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
5.0
ON TARGET
1.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
2.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
41.0%
POSSESSION %
59.0%
351.0
PASSES
528.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
18.0
FOULS
11.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
1.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SEVILLA 2 shots
Andres Castrin
1/1
Kike Salas
0/1
REAL MADRID 2 shots
Vinícius Júnior
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.59 – 1.03
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.0 HT 15' H 0.59 A 1.03 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-3-3
4-4-2
4-3-3
1
ODYSSEAS
12
GABRIEL S
 7.5
4
KIKE SALA
 7.9
32
ANDRES CA
 7.0
2
JOSé ÁNGE
36
OSO
 7.2
20
DJIBRIL S
6
NEMANJA G
11
RUBEN VAR
17
NEAL MAUP
9
AKOR ADAM
 7.2
1
T. COURTO
20
FRAN GARC
24
DEAN HUIJ
 7.2
22
ANTONIO R
2
DANIEL CA
45
THIAGO PI
 7.3
14
AURéLIEN
 7.3
5
JUDE BELL
 7.3
7
VINíCIUS
10
KYLIAN MB
21
BRAHIM Dí
SUBSTITUTES · SEVILLA
5
Tanguy Nianz...
D
14
Peque Fernán...
F
19
Batista Mend...
M
8
Joan Jordán
M
15
Fábio Cardos...
D
3
César Azpili...
D
13
Ørjan Nyland
G
16
Juanlu Sánch...
M
21
Chidera Ejuk...
F
18
Lucien Agoum...
M
10
Alexis Sánch...
F
7
Isaac Romero
F
COACH: Luis Garcia Plaza
SUBSTITUTES · REAL MADRID
17
Raúl Asencio
D
4
D. Alaba
D
47
Dani Meso
M
46
Alvaro Leiva
F
18
Álvaro Carre...
D
12
Trent Alexan...
D
43
Sergio Mestr...
G
29
Javier Navar...
G
30
Franco Masta...
F
6
Eduardo Cama...
M
16
Gonzalo Garc...
F
COACH: Alvaro Arbeloa
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SEV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

REA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain
—
SEV MANAGER
Luis Garcia Plaza
head coach
REA MANAGER
Alvaro Arbeloa
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
SEV WINS
2
DRAWS
8
REA WINS
20%
80%
10 – 22
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
20 Dec 2025
Real Madrid
2 – 0
Sevilla
L
18 May 2025
Sevilla
0 – 2
Real Madrid
L
22 Dec 2024
Real Madrid
4 – 2
Sevilla
L
25 Feb 2024
Real Madrid
1 – 0
Sevilla
L
21 Oct 2023
Sevilla
1 – 1
Real Madrid
D
SEVILLA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W L
REAL MADRID LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
SEVILLA #13
Lost · already at 43 pts
REAL MADRID #2
Won · already at 86 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 +59 94
L W L W W
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 +42 86
W W W L W
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 +26 72
W L L D W
4 Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 +18 69
L W W L W
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 +11 60
W L W D W
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 +5 54
W D L W W
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 -6 51
W L W D L
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 -3 50
W W D D W
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 -9 49
W W D W L
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 -2 46
D L D D L
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 -12 46
D W W L L
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 -15 45
L D L L W
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 -14 43
L L W W W
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 -12 43
L W W D L
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 -8 43
D W L D L
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 -14 42
L W W W L
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 -6 42
L L L L L
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 -10 42
W L L D W
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 -16 41
D L D D L
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 -34 29
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucien Agoumé
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jude Bellingham
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Juanlu Sánchez
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alexis Sánchez
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Oso
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Brahim Díaz
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Vinícius Júnior
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · José Ángel Carmona
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Aurélien Tchouaméni
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Thiago Pitarch
  • 54'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ruben Vargas
  • 54'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Nemanja Gudelj
  • 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Neal Maupay
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nemanja Gudelj
    Roughing
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 15'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Vinícius Júnior
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SEVILLA WIN
3.19
31.3% implied
↑ best 3.37
DRAW
3.56
28.1% implied
↑ best 3.70
REAL MADRID WIN
2.16
46.3% implied
↑ best 2.24

Market favors Real Madrid. AI projects REAL MADRID 50%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS REAL MADRID 50% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.05 3.55 2.18 +4.1%
1xBet 3.37 3.66 2.24 +5.4%
888Sport 3.10 3.40 2.15 +3.5%
Bet365 3.10 3.50 2.10 +2.4%
Betano 3.25 3.70 2.12 +2.8%
Betfair 3.10 3.60 2.10 +2.4%
BetVictor 3.13 3.70 2.15 +3.5%
Dafabet 3.20 3.55 2.24 +5.4%
Marathonbet 3.32 3.60 2.21 +4.8%
Pinnacle 3.30 3.69 2.20 +4.5%
SBO 3.11 3.52 2.11 +2.6%
Unibet 3.35 3.35 2.17 +3.9%
William Hill 3.10 3.40 2.15 +3.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.23
2.5 O 1.69 U 2.17
3.5 O 2.66 U 1.45
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.57 10 bks
NO
2.30 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.46
Away -0.5 1.35
Away -0.75 1.24
Away -1 1.12
Away -1.25 1.11
Away -1.5 1.09
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.