GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Bundesliga · FINAL · MON, 25 MAY · 18:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
SC PADERBORN 07
AET
2 – 1
AFTER EXTRA TIME
VFL WOLFSBURG
⚽ 38' Filip Bilbija ⚽ 100' Laurin Curda
GOALS
⚽ 3' Dženan Pejčinović
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 62/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SC
1 – 1
VFL
most likely scoreline · 14.2% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 48%
FT 2 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SC WIN 32%
DRAW 48%
VFL WIN 20%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 12

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 52% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 52% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Tied at 70' with Wolfsburg down to 10 men since 14'; draw most likely outcome given time remaining.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SC PADERBORN 07 CHALLENGED
32%
1-1 parity at 70' with only 20 min remaining — draw is default outcome
+25.0%
Wolfsburg playing with 10 men since 14' (red card) severely limits comeback threat
+20.0%
Paderborn poor home form (LLL) limits ability to press advantage despite numerical superiority
+15.0%
WHY VFL WOLFSBURG CHALLENGED
20%
1-1 parity at 70' with only 20 min remaining — draw is default outcome
+25.0%
Wolfsburg playing with 10 men since 14' (red card) severely limits comeback threat
+20.0%
Paderborn poor home form (LLL) limits ability to press advantage despite numerical superiority
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 1-1 parity at 70' with only 20 min remaining — draw is default outcome
  • Wolfsburg playing with 10 men since 14' (red card) severely limits comeback threat
  • Paderborn poor home form (LLL) limits ability to press advantage despite numerical superiority
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 3' DžENAN PE ⚽ 38' FILIP BILB ⚽ 100' LAURIN CUR
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.2%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.9
6.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
·
1
14.2
13.5
6.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.5
7.1
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.6
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.2%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.9%
2 — 0 7.5%
Top 5 = 61.6% · rest 38.4%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.40
48.0%
2.08
+63.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.71
80.0%
1.25
+37.1%
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.43
32.0%
3.13
+9.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.72
58.0%
1.72
-0.2%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
68.0%
1.47
-11.4%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.91
38.0%
2.63
-27.5%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
52.0%
1.92
-32.3%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.11
20.0%
5.00
-57.7%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.