AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 48% · Value: BTTS Yes 68%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · SUN, 10 MAY · 02:30 LOCAL
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
2ND · 32 PTS · LAST 5:
W L L D W
FT
1 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
VANCOUVER WHITECAPS
W L W D W
· 1ST · 32 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 4' Preston Judd
GOALS
⚽ 76' Sebastian Berhalter
Sebastian Berhalter
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Sebastian Berhalter
Vancouver Whitecaps · 94 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 60% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
HIGHLIGHTS: San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC | May 9, 2026
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.97
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.60
29%
BALL POSSESSION %
71%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
16
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
65%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
2
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Preston Judd
    SAN
  2. 25'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ronaldo Vieira
    SAN
  3. 36'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Benjamin Kikanović
    SAN
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · assist Emmanuel Sabbi
    VAN
  5. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sebastian Berhalter
    VAN
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Paul Marie · assist Ian Harkes
    SAN
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jeevan Badwal · assist Kenji Cabrera
    VAN
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Bruno Quiñonez · assist Aziel Jackson
    VAN
  9. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ousseni Bouda · assist Jack Skahan
    SAN
  10. 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sebastian Berhalter
    VAN
  11. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jack Skahan
    SAN
  12. 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jamar Ricketts · assist Jack Jasinski
    SAN
  13. 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Preston Judd · assist Nonso Adimabua
    SAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES AVG 7.2
VANCOUVER WHITECAPS AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
1.6
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
3.0
ON TARGET
5.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
29.0%
POSSESSION %
71.0%
223.0
PASSES
546.0
65.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
4.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
15.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 4 shots
Preston Judd
2/3
Benjamin Kikanović
0/1
VANCOUVER WHITECAPS 4 shots
Sebastian Berhalter
1/3
Andrés Cubas
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.971.60
1.3 1 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 4' 76' H 0.97 A 1.60 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 62%
38% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
SUBSTITUTES · SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
16
Jack Skahan
M
20
Nick Fernand...
M
40
Jonathan Gon...
M
21
Noel Buck
M
6
Ian Harkes
M
25
Max Floriani
D
17
Jack Jasinsk...
D
22
Nate Crockfo...
G
32
Nonso Adimab...
F
COACH: Bruce Arena
SUBSTITUTES · VANCOUVER WHITECAPS
19
Rayan Elloum...
F
26
Jean-Claude...
M
8
Oliver Larra...
M
17
Kenji Cabrer...
F
22
Aziel Jackso...
M
4
Ranko Veseli...
D
29
Mihail Ghera...
D
32
Isaac Boehme...
G
11
Emmanuel Sab...
F
COACH: Jesper Sorensen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

VAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Badawi
SAN MANAGER
Bruce Arena
head coach
VAN MANAGER
Jesper Sorensen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
SAN WINS
2
DRAWS
3
VAN WINS
50%
20%
30%
13 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L D W
VANCOUVER WHITECAPS LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES #2
Lost · already at 32 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
VANCOUVER WHITECAPS #1
Lost · already at 32 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Preston Judd
  • 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jamar Ricketts
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jack Skahan
  • 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sebastian Berhalter
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ousseni Bouda
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Bruno Quiñonez
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jeevan Badwal
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Paul Marie
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sebastian Berhalter
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 36'
    Card · Yellow Card · Benjamin Kikanović
  • 25'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ronaldo Vieira
  • 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Preston Judd
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SAN JOSE EARTHQU WIN
3.20
31.3% implied
↑ best 3.37
DRAW
3.60
27.8% implied
↑ best 3.80
VANCOUVER WHITEC WIN
2.11
47.4% implied
↑ best 2.13

Market favors Vancouver Whitecaps. AI projects DRAW 48% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.10 3.65 2.12 +20.6%
888Sport 3.10 3.40 2.10 +18.6%
Bet365 3.25 3.75 2.10 +21.3%
Betano 3.30 3.65 2.12 +20.6%
Betfair 3.25 3.70 2.10 +21.0%
BetVictor 3.20 3.60 2.10 +20.2%
Dafabet 3.30 3.80 2.12 +21.7%
Marathonbet 3.22 3.50 2.10 +19.4%
Pinnacle 3.37 3.72 2.13 +21.1%
SBO 2.97 3.55 2.12 +19.8%
Unibet 3.20 3.50 2.12 +19.4%
William Hill 3.10 3.40 2.10 +18.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.10
2.5 O 1.52 U 2.44
3.5 O 2.28 U 1.60
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.44 9 bks
NO
2.59 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.42
Away -0.5 1.34
Away -0.75 1.26
Away -1 1.14
Away -1.25 1.11
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.