GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–3 · ST. LOUIS CITY 95% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 19 · SUN, 16 AUG · 02:30 LOCAL
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
4TH · 33 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L D L
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
ST. LOUIS CITY
W D D W W
· 6TH · 33 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 47' Beau Leroux
GOALS
⚽ 8' Daniel Edelman ⚽ 27' Simon Becher ⚽ 55' Simon Becher
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Daniel Edelman · assist Conrad Wallem
    ST.
  2. 27'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Simon Becher · assist Eduard Löwen
    ST.
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    N. Tsakiris · assist Luka Jovanovic
    SAN
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    B. Kikanovic · assist Jack Jasinski
    SAN
  5. 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Beau Leroux
    SAN
  6. 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Simon Becher · assist Tomas Totland
    ST.
  7. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Eduard Löwen · assist Carlo Holse
    ST.
  8. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jeong Sang-bin · assist Alexandru Mățan
    ST.
  9. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    O. Bouda · assist Jack Skahan
    SAN
  10. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    R. Vieira · assist I. Harkes
    SAN
  11. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Conrad Wallem
    ST.
  12. 82'
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Roberts
    SAN
  13. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tomas Totland
    ST.
  14. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Conrad Wallem · assist Jaziel Orozco
    ST.
  15. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Simon Becher · assist P. Ault
    ST.
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 40%
60% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
Lineups were not recorded for this fixture.
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
SAN WINS
0
DRAWS
6
ST. WINS
25%
75%
9 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
3.25
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 8
26 Apr 2026
St. Louis City
2 – 3
San Jose Earthquakes
W
21 Sep 2025
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 3
St. Louis City
L
31 May 2025
St. Louis City
2 – 1
San Jose Earthquakes
L
22 Sep 2024
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 2
St. Louis City
L
04 Jul 2024
St. Louis City
2 – 0
San Jose Earthquakes
L
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D L
ST. LOUIS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES #4
Lost · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
ST. LOUIS CITY #6
Won · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Simon Becher
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Conrad Wallem
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tomas Totland
  • 82'
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Roberts
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Conrad Wallem
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · R. Vieira
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · O. Bouda
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jeong Sang-bin
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Eduard Löwen
  • 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Simon Becher
  • 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Beau Leroux
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · B. Kikanovic
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · N. Tsakiris
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 27'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Simon Becher
  • 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Daniel Edelman
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SAN JOSE EARTHQU WIN
2.08
48.1% implied
↑ best 2.13
DRAW
3.79
26.4% implied
↑ best 3.97
ST. LOUIS CITY WIN
3.10
32.3% implied
↑ best 3.25

Market favors San Jose Earthquakes. AI projects ST. LOUIS CITY 95% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ST. LOUIS CITY 95% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.02 3.85 3.20 +63.8%
888Sport 2.05 3.60 3.00 +61.7%
Bet365 2.10 3.75 3.25 +64.2%
Betano 2.12 3.95 3.10 +62.7%
Betfair 2.05 3.90 3.10 +62.7%
BetVictor 2.05 3.90 3.10 +62.7%
Dafabet 2.12 3.90 3.20 +63.8%
Marathonbet 2.07 3.78 3.08 +62.5%
Pinnacle 2.13 3.97 3.19 +63.7%
SBO 2.11 3.61 2.95 +61.1%
Unibet 2.12 3.70 3.00 +61.7%
William Hill 2.05 3.60 3.00 +61.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.59
2.5 O 1.47 U 2.59
3.5 O 2.19 U 1.66
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.43 9 bks
NO
2.65 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.97
Away -0.5 1.74
Away -0.75 1.56
Away -1 1.38
Away -1.25 1.32
Away -1.5 1.25
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.