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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · SAN DIEGO 78%
CONF 82 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SUN, 26 JUL · 01:30 LOCAL
SAN DIEGO
12TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D W D
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
FC DALLAS
D W W L W
· 6TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 50' Alejandro Alvarado Jr
GOALS
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
San Diego · 73 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 77% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

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San Diego FC vs. FC Dallas | Full Match Highlights | Alejandro Alvarado BRILLIANT FIRST MLS GOAL!
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.56
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.42
74%
BALL POSSESSION %
26%
19
TOTAL SHOTS
6
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
91%
PASS ACCURACY %
75%
8
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 19'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Daniel · assist Jonathan Sirois
    FC
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Joaquín Valiente · assist Bernard Kamungo
    FC
  3. 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alejandro Alvarado Jr · assist Manu Duah
    SAN
  4. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Patrickson Delgado · assist Santiago Moreno
    FC
  5. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ran Binyamin · assist Anderson Julio
    FC
  6. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Alejandro Alvarado Jr · assist Aníbal Godoy
    SAN
  7. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Marcus Ingvartsen · assist David Vazquez
    SAN
  8. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Sebastien Ibeagha · assist Logan Farrington
    FC
  9. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Bernard Kamungo
    FC
  10. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    K. Sargeant · assist Luca Bombino
    SAN
  11. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Onni Valakari · assist Lewis Morgan
    SAN
  12. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Anderson Julio
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SAN DIEGO AVG 8.0
FC DALLAS AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
0.4
19.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
8.0
ON TARGET
1.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
8.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
74.0%
POSSESSION %
26.0%
834.0
PASSES
287.0
91.0%
PASS ACCURACY
75.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
4.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
10.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SAN DIEGO 4 shots
Anders Dreyer
3/3
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
1/1
FC DALLAS 1 shots
Petar Musa
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.56 – 0.42
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 50' H 1.56 A 0.42 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 42%
58% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
1
CJ DOS SA
 7.9
5
KIERAN SA
 7.6
26
MANU DUAH
97
CHRISTOPH
33
OSCAR VER
8
ONNI VALA
 8.2
6
JEPPE TVE
 8.7
70
ALEJANDRO
77
ALEX MIGH
7
MARCUS IN
 7.5
10
ANDERS DR
 7.6
42
DANIEL
32
NOLAN NOR
 7.3
25
SEBASTIEN
 7.2
3
OSAZE URH
18
SHAQ MOOR
12
CHRISTIAN
55
KAICK
6
RAN BINYA
8
PATRICKSO
21
JOAQUíN V
 6.9
9
PETAR MUS
SUBSTITUTES · SAN DIEGO
3
Dagur Dan Þó...
D
15
Pedro Soma
M
32
Ian Murphy
D
18
Duran Ferree
G
9
Lewis Morgan
F
27
Luca Bombino
D
19
David Vazque...
M
20
Aníbal Godoy
M
14
Bryan Zamblé
F
COACH: Mikey Varas
SUBSTITUTES · FC DALLAS
27
Caleb Swann
M
14
Herman Johan...
M
5
Lalas Abubak...
D
23
Logan Farrin...
F
11
Anderson Jul...
F
10
Santiago Mor...
F
77
Bernard Kamu...
F
40
Jonathan Sir...
G
28
Sam Sarver
F
COACH: Eric Quill
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
V. Rivas
—
SAN MANAGER
Mikey Varas
head coach
FC MANAGER
Eric Quill
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
SAN WINS
1
DRAWS
0
FC WINS
75%
25%
12 – 5
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
4.25
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 4
15 Mar 2026
FC Dallas
3 – 3
San Diego
D
29 Jun 2025
FC Dallas
2 – 3
San Diego
W
04 May 2025
San Diego
5 – 0
FC Dallas
W
SAN DIEGO LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D W D
FC DALLAS LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
SAN DIEGO #12
Won · already at 20 pts
FC DALLAS #6
Lost · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Anderson Julio
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Onni Valakari
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · K. Sargeant
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Bernard Kamungo
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Sebastien Ibeagha
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Marcus Ingvartsen
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Alejandro Alvarado Jr
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ran Binyamin
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Patrickson Delgado
  • 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alejandro Alvarado Jr
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Joaquín Valiente
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 19'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Daniel
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SAN DIEGO WIN
2.30
43.5% implied
↑ best 2.40
DRAW
3.83
26.1% implied
↑ best 3.95
FC DALLAS WIN
2.73
36.6% implied
↑ best 2.80

Market favors San Diego. AI projects SAN DIEGO 78%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SAN DIEGO 78% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.28 3.95 2.64 +34.1%
Bet365 2.40 3.90 2.62 +36.3%
Betano 2.35 3.80 2.77 +35.4%
Betfair 2.25 3.80 2.75 +33.6%
BetVictor 2.25 3.90 2.70 +33.6%
Dafabet 2.33 3.95 2.80 +35.1%
Marathonbet 2.28 3.78 2.71 +34.1%
Pinnacle 2.37 3.94 2.80 +35.8%
SBO 2.26 3.74 2.64 +33.8%
Superbet 2.32 3.85 2.77 +34.9%
Unibet 2.23 3.80 2.80 +33.2%
William Hill 2.25 3.60 2.70 +33.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 6.39
2.5 O 1.40 U 2.86
3.5 O 2.02 U 1.78
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.36 9 bks
NO
2.94 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.79
Away -0.5 1.62
Away -0.75 1.46
Away -1 1.31
Away -1.25 1.26
Away -1.5 1.21
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.