GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · SAN DIEGO 82% · Value: Over 2.5 72%
CONF 78 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · THU, 14 MAY · 01:30 LOCAL
SAN DIEGO
10TH · 17 PTS · LAST 5:
L D D D L
FT
5 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
AUSTIN
L L D W W
· 14TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 8' David Vazquez ⚽ 17' Anders Dreyer ⚽ 54' Pedro Soma ⚽ 79' Marcus Ingvartsen ⚽ 90+1' David Vazquez
GOALS
Luca Bombino
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Luca Bombino
San Diego · 82 mins
🅰 1 assist · 51% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

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Major League Soccer: San Diego vs Austin
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

99%
BALL POSSESSION %
74%
22
TOTAL SHOTS
8
10
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
632%
PASS ACCURACY %
415%
6
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · 1-0
    David Vazquez · assist Onni Valakari
    SAN
  2. 17'
    Goal · 2-0
    Anders Dreyer · assist Pedro Soma
    SAN
  3. 44'
    Card · Foul
    Luca Bombino
    SAN
  4. 54'
    Goal · 3-0
    Pedro Soma · assist Alex Mighten
    SAN
  5. 63'
    Subst
    Owen Wolff · assist CJ Fodrey
    AUS
  6. 66'
    Subst
    Oscar Verhoeven · assist Kieran Sargeant
    SAN
  7. 66'
    Subst
    Aníbal Godoy · assist Pedro Soma
    SAN
  8. 69'
    Subst
    Mateja Djordjevic · assist Oleksandr Svatok
    AUS
  9. 69'
    Subst
    Christian Ramirez · assist Myrto Uzuni
    AUS
  10. 69'
    Subst
    Ervin Torres · assist Facundo Torres
    AUS
  11. 75'
    Subst
    Micah Burton · assist J. Rosales
    AUS
  12. 79'
    Goal · 4-0
    Marcus Ingvartsen · assist Luca Bombino
    SAN
  13. 82'
    Subst
    Bryan Zamblé · assist Anders Dreyer
    SAN
  14. 82'
    Subst
    Alejandro Alvarado  · assist Onni Valakari
    SAN
  15. 82'
    Subst
    Ian Pilcher · assist Luca Bombino
    SAN
  16. 90'+1
    Goal · 5-0
    David Vazquez · assist Aníbal Godoy
    SAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SAN DIEGO AVG 8.3
AUSTIN AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
22.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
10.0
ON TARGET
3.0
10.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
99.0%
POSSESSION %
74.0%
684.0
PASSES
480.0
632.0%
PASS ACCURACY
415.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
4.0
10.0
OFFSIDES
15.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
7.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
3.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SAN DIEGO 13 shots
David Vazquez
2/6
Anders Dreyer
3/4
Luca Bombino
1/2
Pedro Soma
1/1
AUSTIN 3 shots
Facundo Torres
1/1
Myrto Uzuni
0/1
Ervin Torres
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 69%
31% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-4-2
4-3-3
4-4-2
18
DURAN FER
5
KIERAN SA
26
MANU DUAH
97
CHRISTOPH
 8.7
27
LUCA BOMB
 7.9
19
DAVID VAZ
 8.3
15
PEDRO SOM
 8.3
8
ONNI VALA
77
ALEX MIGH
7
MARCUS IN
 8.5
10
ANDERS DR
 6.6
1
BRAD STUV
23
ŽAN KOLMA
15
JONATHAN
5
OLEKSANDR
17
JON GALLA
30
JOSEPH RO
20
NICOLAS D
14
BESARD SA
 6.9
11
FACUNDO T
 6.9
10
MYRTO UZU
19
CALVIN FO
SUBSTITUTES · SAN DIEGO
29
Anisse Saidi
F
90
Amahl Pelleg...
F
70
Alejandro Al...
F
21
Bryce Duke
M
20
Aníbal Godoy
M
25
Ian Pilcher
D
33
Oscar Verhoe...
D
98
Jacob Jackso...
G
14
Bryan Zamblé
F
COACH: Mikey Varas
SUBSTITUTES · AUSTIN
21
Christian Ra...
F
33
Owen Wolff
M
38
Ervin Torres
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
M
35
Mateja Đorđe...
D
29
Guilherme Bi...
D
3
Mikkel Desle...
D
12
Damian Las
G
32
Micah Burton
M
COACH: Nico Estevez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Badawi
—
SAN MANAGER
Mikey Varas
head coach
AUS MANAGER
Nico Estevez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
SAN WINS
0
DRAWS
1
AUS WINS
50%
50%
3 – 2
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 2
01 Jun 2025
San Diego
2 – 0
Austin
W
23 Mar 2025
Austin
2 – 1
San Diego
L
SAN DIEGO LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D D L
AUSTIN LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 5–0 · result locked
SAN DIEGO #10
Won · already at 17 pts
AUSTIN #14
Lost · already at 14 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Goal · 5-0 · David Vazquez
    5th Goal
  • 82'
    Subst · Ian Pilcher
    9th Substitution
  • 82'
    Subst · Alejandro Alvarado 
    8th Substitution
  • 82'
    Subst · Bryan Zamblé
    10th Substitution
  • 79'
    Goal · 4-0 · Marcus Ingvartsen
    4th Goal
  • 75'
    Subst · Micah Burton
    7th Substitution
  • 69'
    Subst · Ervin Torres
    6th Substitution
  • 69'
    Subst · Christian Ramirez
    5th Substitution
  • 69'
    Subst · Mateja Djordjevic
    4th Substitution
  • 66'
    Subst · Aníbal Godoy
    2nd Substitution
  • 66'
    Subst · Oscar Verhoeven
    3rd Substitution
  • 63'
    Subst · Owen Wolff
    1st Substitution
  • 54'
    Goal · 3-0 · Pedro Soma
    3rd Goal
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 44'
    Card · Foul · Luca Bombino
    1st Yellowcard
  • 17'
    Goal · 2-0 · Anders Dreyer
    2nd Goal
  • 8'
    Goal · 1-0 · David Vazquez
    1st Goal
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SAN DIEGO WIN
1.72
58.1% implied
↑ best 1.75
DRAW
4.15
24.1% implied
↑ best 4.33
AUSTIN WIN
4.17
24% implied
↑ best 4.45

Market favors San Diego. AI projects SAN DIEGO 82% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SAN DIEGO 82% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 4.10 4.00 +24.2%
888Sport 1.67 3.90 4.20 +22.1%
Bet365 1.73 4.33 4.10 +24.2%
Betano 1.75 4.30 4.45 +24.9%
Betfair 1.70 4.20 4.20 +23.2%
BetVictor 1.70 4.20 4.10 +23.2%
Dafabet 1.75 4.30 4.20 +24.9%
Marathonbet 1.70 4.15 4.15 +23.2%
Pinnacle 1.75 4.29 4.30 +24.9%
SBO 1.71 4.05 3.93 +23.5%
Unibet 1.70 4.10 4.40 +23.2%
William Hill 1.70 3.90 4.00 +23.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 5.83
2.5 O 1.43 U 2.72
3.5 O 2.10 U 1.72
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.45 9 bks
NO
2.59 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.47
Away -0.5 2.13
Away -0.75 1.90
Away -1 1.67
Away -1.25 1.52
Away -1.5 1.43
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.