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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · RIGA 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Europa Conference League · 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND · TUE, 28 JUL · 17:00 LOCAL
RIGA
LAST 5:
W W L
AET
5 – 2
AFTER EXTRA TIME HT · 0-1
VARDAR SKOPJE
L W L
· LAST 5
⚽ 87' Abdulrahman Taiwo ⚽ 92' Raki Aouani ⚽ 105' Iago Siqueira Augusto ⚽ 109' Reginaldo Ramires ⚽ 117' Caio Ferreira
GOALS
⚽ 17' David Babunski ⚽ 66' Azer Omeragikj
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 24 events
  1. 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    David Babunski · assist Ian Puleio
    VAR
  2. 19'
    Card · Red Card
    Filip Najdovski
    VAR
  3. 22'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Miguel Pires · assist Darko Velkovski
    VAR
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    M. Diop · assist Caio Ferreira
    RIG
  5. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Baba Musah
    RIG
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Orlando Galo · assist Reginaldo Ramires
    RIG
  7. 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Azer Omeragikj
    VAR
  8. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Azer Omeragikj · assist Goran Zakarić
    VAR
  9. 70'
    Card · Yellow Card
    C. Fabbiani
    VAR
  10. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Andrés Salazar · assist Abdulrahman Taiwo
    RIG
  11. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Diego Castañeda · assist Filip Duranski
    VAR
  12. 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Abdulrahman Taiwo · assist Reginaldo Ramires
    RIG
  13. 91'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Mihail Manevski · assist Filip Cvetkovski
    VAR
  14. 91'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Raivis Jurkovskis · assist Maksims Tonisevs
    RIG
  15. 92'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Raki Aouani
    RIG
  16. 92'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Raki Aouani
    RIG
  17. 99'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Muhammed Badamosi · assist Antonijs Černomordijs
    RIG
  18. 99'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    David Babunski · assist Dimitar Todorovski
    VAR
  19. 99'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Ian Puleio · assist Dimitar Danev
    VAR
  20. 105'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Iago Siqueira Augusto · assist Raki Aouani
    RIG
  21. 105'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Filip Duranski
    VAR
  22. 109'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Reginaldo Ramires
    RIG
  23. 112'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Raki Aouani · assist Karl Gameni Wassom
    RIG
  24. 117'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Caio Ferreira · assist Maksims Tonisevs
    RIG
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 54%
46% A
13
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
5-4-1
4-2-3-1
91
FRENKS OR
22
MEïSSA DI
17
ANDRéS SA
21
BABA MUSA
33
PAULO
13
RAIVIS JU
7
RAKI AOUA
4
ORLANDO G
40
AHMED ANK
8
IAGO SIQU
19
MUHAMMED
95
DAVOR TAL
3
MIHAIL MA
4
MISLAV MA
5
FILIP NAJ
21
GEORGIJE
32
DIEGO CAS
6
DAVID BAB
7
GERSON RO
71
MIGUEL PI
34
IAN PULEI
9
AZER OMER
SUBSTITUTES · RIGA
3
Abner
D
44
Marcis Kazai...
G
31
Athanasios P...
G
5
Karl Gameni...
D
34
Antonijs Čer...
D
23
Maksims Toni...
D
25
Abdulrahman...
F
10
Reginaldo Ra...
F
99
Caio Ferreir...
F
11
Brian Peña
M
COACH: Adrian Gula
SUBSTITUTES · VARDAR SKOPJE
17
Ediz Spahiu
F
18
Nenad Miskov...
D
1
Daniel Dikov...
G
49
Dimitar Dane...
F
22
Dimitar Todo...
M
27
Filip Cvetko...
D
23
Filip Durans...
M
10
Goran Zakari...
F
14
Darko Velkov...
D
31
Ivo Markovsk...
F
COACH: Cristian Fabbiani
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
RIG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

VAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Goga Kikacheishvili, Georgia
—
RIG MANAGER
Adrian Gula
head coach
VAR MANAGER
Cristian Fabbiani
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
RIG WINS
1
DRAWS
0
VAR WINS
100%
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
22 Jul 2026
Vardar Skopje
2 – 3
Riga
W
RIGA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L
VARDAR SKOPJE LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 117'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Caio Ferreira
  • 112'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Raki Aouani
  • 109'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Reginaldo Ramires
  • 105'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Filip Duranski
  • 105'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Iago Siqueira Augusto
  • 99'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Ian Puleio
  • 99'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · David Babunski
  • 99'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Muhammed Badamosi
  • 92'
    Card · Yellow Card · Raki Aouani
  • 92'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Raki Aouani
  • 91'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Raivis Jurkovskis
  • 91'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Mihail Manevski
  • 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Abdulrahman Taiwo
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Diego Castañeda
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Andrés Salazar
  • 70'
    Card · Yellow Card · C. Fabbiani
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Azer Omeragikj
  • 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Azer Omeragikj
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Orlando Galo
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · Baba Musah
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · M. Diop
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 22'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Miguel Pires
  • 19'
    Card · Red Card · Filip Najdovski
  • 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal · David Babunski
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
RIGA WIN
1.37
73% implied
↑ best 1.42
DRAW
4.78
20.9% implied
↑ best 5.25
VARDAR SKOPJE WIN
6.65
15% implied
↑ best 8.00

Market favors Riga. AI projects RIGA 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS RIGA 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.42 4.60 5.90 +10.3%
1xBet 1.37 5.05 6.87 +12.2%
Bet365 1.40 4.33 6.25 +8.9%
Betano 1.42 4.35 5.90 +9.0%
Betfair 1.30 4.75 7.00 +10.9%
BetVictor 1.36 4.80 7.00 +11.2%
Dafabet 1.40 4.90 6.60 +11.6%
Marathonbet 1.36 5.05 6.85 +12.2%
Pinnacle 1.33 5.22 7.44 +12.8%
SBO 1.36 4.29 5.70 +8.7%
Superbet 1.40 4.85 6.00 +11.4%
Unibet 1.30 5.25 8.00 +13.0%
William Hill 1.36 4.75 7.00 +10.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 5.16
2.5 O 1.46 U 2.53
3.5 O 2.18 U 1.63
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.66 10 bks
NO
2.09 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.54
Away -0.5 2.97
Away -0.75 2.57
Away -1 2.24
Away -1.25 1.92
Away -1.5 1.75
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.