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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · RIGA 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Champions League · 1ST QUALIFYING ROUND · TUE, 14 JUL · 17:00 LOCAL
RIGA
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
ARARAT-ARMENIA
⚽ 14' Iago Siqueira Augusto ⚽ 23' Ahmed Ankrah ⚽ 90+4' Reginaldo Ramires (P)
GOALS
⚽ 46' Zhirayr Shaghoyan ⚽ 63' Sandro Lima
Muhammed Badamosi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Muhammed Badamosi
Riga · 79 mins
🅰 1 assist · 0% pass acc
RATING
0.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

53%
BALL POSSESSION %
47%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
6
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
2
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 24 events
  1. 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Iago Siqueira Augusto · assist Muhammed Badamosi
    RIG
  2. 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ahmed Ankrah
    RIG
  3. 34'
    Card · Yellow Card
    E. Grigoryan
    ARA
  4. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Salah Oulad M'Hand
    RIG
  5. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Orlando Galo
    RIG
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    E. Grigoryan · assist A. Ambartsumyan
    ARA
  7. 46'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Zhirayr Shaghoyan
    ARA
  8. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alwyn Tera · assist Zidane Banjaqui
    ARA
  9. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Artur Serobyan · assist Franca Carlos
    ARA
  10. 63'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sandro Lima · assist Zidane Banjaqui
    ARA
  11. 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Andrés Salazar
    RIG
  12. 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ahmed Ankrah
    RIG
  13. 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Zidane Banjaqui
    ARA
  14. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Salah Oulad M'Hand · assist Reginaldo Ramires
    RIG
  15. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Orlando Galo · assist Caio Ferreira
    RIG
  16. 70'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hugo Oliveira
    ARA
  17. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Zhirayr Shaghoyan · assist Luís Felipe
    ARA
  18. 72'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Reginaldo Ramires
    RIG
  19. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Raki Aouani · assist Karl Gameni Wassom
    RIG
  20. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Iago Siqueira Augusto · assist Abdulrahman Taiwo
    RIG
  21. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Franca Carlos
    ARA
  22. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Paulo · assist Antonijs Černomordijs
    RIG
  23. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Sandro Lima · assist Alioune Ndour
    ARA
  24. 90'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Reginaldo Ramires
    RIG
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
RIGA AVG 0.0
ARARAT-ARMENIA AVG 0.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
7.0
ON TARGET
3.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
0.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
53.0%
POSSESSION %
47.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
2.0
DISCIPLINE
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
0.0
RED CARDS
0.0
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 54%
46% A
13
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-2 vs 4-3-3
3-5-2
4-3-3
1
K. ZVIEDR
33
PAULO
21
BABA MUSA
13
RAIVIS JU
17
ANDRéS SA
4
ORLANDO G
40
AHMED ANK
8
IAGO SIQU
7
RAKI AOUA
18
SALAH OUL
19
MUHAMMED
98
JOãO BRAV
16
E. GRIGOR
3
JUNIOR JU
43
BRUNO WIL
13
KAMO HOVH
19
KAREN MUR
20
ALWYN TER
2
HUGO OLIV
7
ZHIRAYR S
91
SANDRO LI
77
ARTUR SER
SUBSTITUTES · RIGA
99
Caio Ferreir...
F
10
Reginaldo Ra...
F
22
Meïssa Diop
M
34
Antonijs Čer...
D
23
Maksims Toni...
D
5
Karl Gameni...
D
3
Abner
D
44
Marcis Kazai...
G
25
Abdulrahman...
F
COACH: Adrian Gula
SUBSTITUTES · ARARAT-ARMENIA
17
Maxence Carl...
M
95
Franca Carlo...
M
9
Arayik Eloya...
F
25
Alioune Ndou...
F
11
Zidane Banja...
M
10
A. Ambartsum...
M
6
Michel Ayvaz...
M
14
Bruno Pereir...
D
5
Luís Felipe
D
1
Arman Nerses...
G
90
Paul Ayongo
F
COACH: Tulipa
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
RIG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ARA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Bence Csonka, Hungary
—
RIG MANAGER
Adrian Gula
head coach
ARA MANAGER
Tulipa
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
RIG WINS
1
DRAWS
0
ARA WINS
100%
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
07 Jul 2026
Ararat-Armenia
2 – 0
Riga
L
RIGA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L
ARARAT-ARMENIA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Reginaldo Ramires
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Sandro Lima
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Paulo
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · Franca Carlos
    Roughing
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Iago Siqueira Augusto
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Raki Aouani
  • 72'
    Card · Yellow Card · Reginaldo Ramires
    Tripping
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Zhirayr Shaghoyan
  • 70'
    Card · Yellow Card · Hugo Oliveira
    Roughing
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Orlando Galo
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Salah Oulad M'Hand
  • 66'
    Card · Yellow Card · Zidane Banjaqui
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 66'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ahmed Ankrah
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 66'
    Card · Yellow Card · Andrés Salazar
    Tripping
  • 63'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sandro Lima
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Artur Serobyan
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alwyn Tera
  • 46'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Zhirayr Shaghoyan
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · E. Grigoryan
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Orlando Galo
    Holding
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Salah Oulad M'Hand
    Diving
  • 34'
    Card · Yellow Card · E. Grigoryan
    Elbowing
  • 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ahmed Ankrah
  • 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Iago Siqueira Augusto
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
RIGA WIN
1.61
62.1% implied
↑ best 1.70
DRAW
3.87
25.8% implied
↑ best 4.10
ARARAT-ARMENIA WIN
4.91
20.4% implied
↑ best 5.20

Market favors Riga. AI projects RIGA 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS RIGA 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.61 4.00 4.55 +7.0%
1xBet 1.61 3.98 5.12 +6.9%
Bet365 1.57 3.90 5.00 +6.4%
Betano 1.60 3.85 5.10 +6.0%
Betfair 1.57 3.90 5.00 +6.4%
Dafabet 1.64 4.10 5.20 +7.6%
Marathonbet 1.61 3.92 5.10 +6.5%
Pinnacle 1.62 3.95 5.13 +6.7%
SBO 1.55 3.58 4.51 +4.1%
Superbet 1.61 3.90 4.85 +6.4%
Unibet 1.70 3.65 4.70 +4.6%
William Hill 1.62 3.70 4.60 +5.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.73
2.5 O 1.76 U 2.01
3.5 O 2.85 U 1.37
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.77 9 bks
NO
1.93 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.68
Away -0.5 2.20
Away -0.75 2.01
Away -1 1.75
Away -1.25 1.56
Away -1.5 1.44
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.