GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–4 · VALENCIA 74% · Value: Over 2.5 95%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 17:00 LOCAL
REAL SOCIEDAD
10TH · 46 PTS · LAST 5:
D D D L D
FT
3 – 4
FULL TIME HT · 1-2
VALENCIA
W D W L W
· 9TH · 49 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 8' Javi Guerra ⚽ 22' Hugo Duro ⚽ 89' Guido Rodríguez ⚽ 90+3' Javi Guerra
Javier Guerra
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Javier Guerra
Valencia · 97 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 26% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
La Liga: Real Sociedad vs Valencia
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

112%
BALL POSSESSION %
86%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
13
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
410%
PASS ACCURACY %
321%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 10 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · 1-1
    Javi Guerra · assist Diego López
    VAL
  2. 22'
    Goal · 1-2
    Hugo Duro · assist Eray Cömert
    VAL
  3. 70'
    Card · Professional foul last man
    Eray Cömert
    VAL
  4. 73'
    Subst
    Thierry Correia · assist Filip Ugrinic
    VAL
  5. 73'
    Subst
    Pepelu · assist Diego López
    VAL
  6. 74'
    Subst
    Largie Ramazani · assist Luis Rioja
    VAL
  7. 74'
    Subst
    Umar Sadiq · assist Hugo Duro
    VAL
  8. 83'
    Subst
    André Almeida · assist Unai Núñez
    VAL
  9. 89'
    Goal · 3-3
    Guido Rodríguez · assist André Almeida
    VAL
  10. 90'+3
    Goal · 3-4
    Javi Guerra · assist Thierry Correia
    VAL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
REAL SOCIEDAD AVG 7.3
VALENCIA AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
3.0
ON TARGET
6.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
0.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
112.0%
POSSESSION %
86.0%
491.0
PASSES
412.0
410.0%
PASS ACCURACY
321.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
19.0
OFFSIDES
17.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
11.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
REAL SOCIEDAD 5 shots
Orri Steinn Óskarsson
2/3
Mikel Oyarzabal
0/1
Aihen Muñoz
1/1
VALENCIA 6 shots
Javier Guerra
3/4
Guido Rodríguez
1/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 0%
100% A
0
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
1
ÁLEX REMI
 6.9
3
AIHEN MUñ
5
IGOR ZUBE
31
JON MARTI
6
ARITZ ELU
18
CARLOS SO
8
BEñAT TUR
21
ARSEN ZAK
 7.2
23
BRAIS MéN
15
PABLO MAR
 8.0
9
ORRI STEI
1
STOLE DIM
 6.9
21
JESúS VáZ
24
ERAY CöME
5
CéSAR TáR
4
UNAI NúñE
16
DIEGO LóP
 8.5
2
GUIDO ROD
23
FILIP UGR
11
LUIS RIOJ
9
HUGO DURO
 9.2
8
JAVIER GU
SUBSTITUTES · REAL SOCIEDAD
11
Gonçalo Gued...
F
46
Ibai Aguirre
M
22
Wesley
F
12
Yangel Herre...
M
14
Takefusa Kub...
F
38
Luken Beitia
D
2
Jon Aramburu
D
13
Unai Marrero
G
10
Mikel Oyarza...
F
24
Luka Sučić
M
17
Sergio Gómez
F
42
Gorka Carrer...
F
COACH: Pellegrino Matarazzo
SUBSTITUTES · VALENCIA
22
Baptiste San...
M
10
André Almeid...
M
19
Dani Raba
F
27
David Otorbi
F
18
Pepelu
M
26
Rubén Iranzo
D
36
Marcos Navar...
D
25
Julen Agirre...
G
17
Largie Ramaz...
F
6
Umar Sadiq
F
12
Thierry Corr...
D
7
Arnaut Danju...
F
COACH: Carlos Corberan
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
REA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

VAL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Iosu Galech Apezteguia, Spain
—
REA MANAGER
Pellegrino Matarazzo
head coach
VAL MANAGER
Carlos Corberan
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
REA WINS
4
DRAWS
3
VAL WINS
30%
40%
30%
10 – 8
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
16 Aug 2025
Valencia
1 – 1
Real Sociedad
D
19 Jan 2025
Valencia
1 – 0
Real Sociedad
L
28 Sep 2024
Real Sociedad
3 – 0
Valencia
W
16 May 2024
Real Sociedad
1 – 0
Valencia
W
27 Sep 2023
Valencia
0 – 1
Real Sociedad
W
REAL SOCIEDAD LAST 5 OVERALL
D D D L D
VALENCIA LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–4 · result locked
REAL SOCIEDAD #10
Lost · already at 46 pts
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
VALENCIA #9
Won · already at 49 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 +59 94
L W L W W
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 +42 86
W W W L W
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 +26 72
W L L D W
4 Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 +18 69
L W W L W
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 +11 60
W L W D W
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 +5 54
W D L W W
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 -6 51
W L W D L
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 -3 50
W W D D W
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 -9 49
W W D W L
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 -2 46
D L D D L
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 -12 46
D W W L L
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 -15 45
L D L L W
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 -14 43
L L W W W
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 -12 43
L W W D L
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 -8 43
D W L D L
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 -14 42
L W W W L
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 -6 42
L L L L L
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 -10 42
W L L D W
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 -16 41
D L D D L
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 -34 29
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Goal · 3-4 · Javi Guerra
    6th Goal
  • 89'
    Goal · 3-3 · Guido Rodríguez
    5th Goal
  • 83'
    Subst · André Almeida
    9th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Umar Sadiq
    7th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Largie Ramazani
    6th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Pepelu
    5th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Thierry Correia
    4th Substitution
  • 70'
    Card · Professional foul last man · Eray Cömert
    1st Redcard
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 2
  • 22'
    Goal · 1-2 · Hugo Duro
    3rd Goal
  • 8'
    Goal · 1-1 · Javi Guerra
    2nd Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
REAL SOCIEDAD WIN
2.42
41.3% implied
↑ best 2.50
DRAW
3.21
31.2% implied
↑ best 3.33
VALENCIA WIN
3.04
32.9% implied
↑ best 3.18

Market favors Real Sociedad. AI projects VALENCIA 74% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS VALENCIA 74% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.38 3.20 2.98 +40.4%
1xBet 2.50 3.33 3.18 +42.6%
888Sport 2.38 3.20 2.90 +39.5%
Bet365 2.40 3.10 3.10 +41.7%
Betano 2.45 3.20 3.05 +41.2%
Betfair 2.38 3.10 3.10 +41.7%
BetVictor 2.38 3.25 3.10 +41.7%
Dafabet 2.43 3.30 3.05 +41.2%
Marathonbet 2.47 3.28 3.10 +41.7%
Pinnacle 2.46 3.32 3.13 +42.1%
SBO 2.43 3.06 2.93 +39.9%
Unibet 2.48 3.20 2.95 +40.1%
William Hill 2.38 3.20 3.00 +40.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.28 U 3.52
2.5 O 1.92 U 1.89
3.5 O 3.18 U 1.33
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.66 10 bks
NO
2.12 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.79
Away -0.5 1.58
Away -0.75 1.42
Away -1 1.25
Away -1.25 1.20
Away -1.5 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.