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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–0 · REAL SALT LAKE 96% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · THU, 14 MAY · 01:30 LOCAL
REAL SALT LAKE
4TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D W L
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
HOUSTON DYNAMO
W D D W W
· 5TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5
Zavier Gozo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Zavier Gozo
Real Salt Lake · 81 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 12% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

108%
BALL POSSESSION %
72%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
15
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
472%
PASS ACCURACY %
418%
4
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 6 events
  1. 45'+4
    Card · Foul
    Agustín Bouzat
    HOU
  2. 46'
    Subst
    Mateusz Bogusz · assist Jack McGlynn 
    HOU
  3. 46'
    Subst
    Antônio Carlos · assist Agustin Resch
    HOU
  4. 55'
    Subst
    Guilherme · assist Nick Markanich
    HOU
  5. 79'
    Subst
    Lawrence Ennali · assist Duane Holmes
    HOU
  6. 86'
    Subst
    Ezequiel Ponce · assist Ondrej Lingr
    HOU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
REAL SALT LAKE AVG 7.6
HOUSTON DYNAMO AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
2.0
ON TARGET
4.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
9.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
108.0%
POSSESSION %
72.0%
526.0
PASSES
474.0
472.0%
PASS ACCURACY
418.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
1.0
18.0
OFFSIDES
12.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
11.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
REAL SALT LAKE 3 shots
Zavier Gozo
2/3
HOUSTON DYNAMO 7 shots
Ondrej Lingr
2/3
Jack McGlynn
1/2
Agustin Resch
0/1
Héctor Herrera
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 0%
100% A
0
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-3 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-3
3-4-2-1
7.3
1
RAFAEL CA
 7.0
29
SAM JUNQU
 7.3
26
PHILIP QU
2
DEANDRE Y
8
JUAN SANA
 7.6
6
STIJN SPI
27
GRIFFIN D
11
DOMINIK M
9
MORGAN GU
17
VICTOR OL
 8.6
72
ZAVIER GO
31
JONATHAN
 7.2
21
FRANCO NE
 7.5
34
AGUSTIN R
28
ERIK SVIA
24
IBRAHIM A
30
AGUSTíN B
 7.0
16
HéCTOR HE
14
DUANE HOL
 6.7
9
ONDREJ LI
 6.9
8
JACK MCGL
17
NICK MARK
SUBSTITUTES · REAL SALT LAKE
39
Aiden Hezar...
F
23
Zach Booth
M
7
Pablo Ruíz
M
10
Diego Luna
M
98
Alexandros K...
D
4
Lukas Engel
D
92
Noel Caliska...
M
24
Max Kerkvlie...
G
22
Sergi Solans
F
COACH: Pablo Mastroeni
SUBSTITUTES · HOUSTON DYNAMO
10
Ezequiel Pon...
F
20
Guilherme
F
6
Artur
M
18
Diadié Samas...
M
11
Lawrence Enn...
F
33
Vinicius Sil...
D
3
Antônio Carl...
D
26
Blake Gillin...
G
19
Mateusz Bogu...
M
COACH: Ben Olsen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
REA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Marrufo
—
REA MANAGER
Pablo Mastroeni
head coach
HOU MANAGER
Ben Olsen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
REA WINS
2
DRAWS
5
HOU WINS
30%
20%
50%
11 – 20
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
13 Jul 2025
Real Salt Lake
1 – 0
Houston Dynamo
W
16 Mar 2025
Houston Dynamo
1 – 2
Real Salt Lake
W
15 Sep 2024
Houston Dynamo
4 – 1
Real Salt Lake
L
04 Jul 2024
Real Salt Lake
3 – 2
Houston Dynamo
W
11 Nov 2023
Houston Dynamo
1 – 1
Real Salt Lake
D
REAL SALT LAKE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D W L
HOUSTON DYNAMO LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
REAL SALT LAKE #4
Won · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
HOUSTON DYNAMO #5
Lost · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Ezequiel Ponce
    10th Substitution
  • 79'
    Subst · Lawrence Ennali
    8th Substitution
  • 55'
    Subst · Guilherme
    4th Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Antônio Carlos
    2nd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Mateusz Bogusz
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+4
    Card · Foul · Agustín Bouzat
    1st Yellowcard
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
REAL SALT LAKE WIN
1.70
58.8% implied
↑ best 1.80
DRAW
3.88
25.8% implied
↑ best 4.20
HOUSTON DYNAMO WIN
4.70
21.3% implied
↑ best 5.40

Market favors Real Salt Lake. AI projects REAL SALT LAKE 96% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS REAL SALT LAKE 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 3.90 4.30 +38.2%
888Sport 1.80 3.50 4.00 +40.4%
Bet365 1.65 4.00 5.25 +35.4%
Betano 1.67 4.20 5.40 +36.1%
Betfair 1.70 3.90 4.60 +37.2%
BetVictor 1.70 3.90 4.50 +37.2%
Dafabet 1.74 4.00 4.60 +38.5%
Marathonbet 1.62 3.88 5.15 +34.3%
Pinnacle 1.76 3.86 4.78 +39.2%
SBO 1.58 4.06 4.73 +32.7%
Unibet 1.71 3.80 4.70 +37.5%
William Hill 1.73 3.60 4.40 +38.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.16 U 5.00
2.5 O 1.53 U 2.41
3.5 O 2.31 U 1.58
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.53 9 bks
NO
2.36 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.62
Away -0.5 2.18
Away -0.75 1.98
Away -1 1.71
Away -1.25 1.54
Away -1.5 1.43
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.