GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–0 · REAL SALT LAKE 96% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · THU, 14 MAY · 01:30 LOCAL
REAL SALT LAKE
8TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D D L
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
HOUSTON DYNAMO
L W W W W
· 2ND · 38 PTS · LAST 5
Zavier Gozo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Zavier Gozo
Real Salt Lake · 81 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 12% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

108%
BALL POSSESSION %
72%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
15
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
472%
PASS ACCURACY %
418%
4
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 6 events
  1. 45'+4
    Card · Foul
    Agustín Bouzat
    HOU
  2. 46'
    Subst
    Mateusz Bogusz · assist Jack McGlynn 
    HOU
  3. 46'
    Subst
    Antônio Carlos · assist Agustin Resch
    HOU
  4. 55'
    Subst
    Guilherme · assist Nick Markanich
    HOU
  5. 79'
    Subst
    Lawrence Ennali · assist Duane Holmes
    HOU
  6. 86'
    Subst
    Ezequiel Ponce · assist Ondrej Lingr
    HOU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
REAL SALT LAKE AVG 7.6
HOUSTON DYNAMO AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
2.0
ON TARGET
4.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
9.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
108.0%
POSSESSION %
72.0%
526.0
PASSES
474.0
472.0%
PASS ACCURACY
418.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
1.0
18.0
OFFSIDES
12.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
11.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
REAL SALT LAKE 3 shots
Zavier Gozo
2/3
HOUSTON DYNAMO 7 shots
Ondrej Lingr
2/3
Jack McGlynn
1/2
A. Resch
0/1
H. Herrera
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 0%
100% A
0
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-3 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-3
3-4-2-1
7.3
1
RAFAEL CA
 7.0
29
S. JUNQUA
 7.3
26
PHILIP QU
2
DEANDRE Y
8
J. SANABR
 7.6
6
STIJN SPI
27
GRIFFIN D
11
D. MARCZU
9
M. GUILAV
17
V. OLATUN
 8.6
72
ZAVIER GO
31
J. BOND
 7.2
21
F. NEGRI
 7.5
34
A. RESCH
28
ERIK SVIA
24
A. IBRAHI
30
A. BOUZAT
 7.0
16
H. HERRER
14
D. HOLMES
 6.7
9
ONDREJ LI
 6.9
8
JACK MCGL
17
N. MARKAN
SUBSTITUTES · REAL SALT LAKE
39
A. Hezarkhan...
F
23
Z. Booth
M
7
Pablo Ruíz
M
10
D. Luna
M
98
A. Katranis
D
4
Lukas Engel
D
92
N. Caliskan
M
24
Max Kerkvlie...
G
22
Sergi Solans
F
COACH: Pablo Mastroeni
SUBSTITUTES · HOUSTON DYNAMO
10
Ezequiel Pon...
F
20
Guilherme
F
6
Artur
M
18
D. Samasséko...
M
11
L. Ennali
F
33
Vinicius Sil...
D
3
Antônio Carl...
D
26
B. Gillingha...
G
19
M. Bogusz
M
COACH: Ben Olsen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
REA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Marrufo
—
REA MANAGER
Pablo Mastroeni
head coach
HOU MANAGER
Ben Olsen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
REA WINS
2
DRAWS
5
HOU WINS
30%
20%
50%
11 – 20
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
13 Jul 2025
Real Salt Lake
1 – 0
Houston Dynamo
W
16 Mar 2025
Houston Dynamo
1 – 2
Real Salt Lake
W
15 Sep 2024
Houston Dynamo
4 – 1
Real Salt Lake
L
04 Jul 2024
Real Salt Lake
3 – 2
Houston Dynamo
W
11 Nov 2023
Houston Dynamo
1 – 1
Real Salt Lake
D
REAL SALT LAKE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D D L
HOUSTON DYNAMO LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
REAL SALT LAKE #8
Won · already at 28 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
HOUSTON DYNAMO #2
Lost · already at 38 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Ezequiel Ponce
    10th Substitution
  • 79'
    Subst · Lawrence Ennali
    8th Substitution
  • 55'
    Subst · Guilherme
    4th Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Antônio Carlos
    2nd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Mateusz Bogusz
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+4
    Card · Foul · Agustín Bouzat
    1st Yellowcard
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
REAL SALT LAKE WIN
1.70
58.8% implied
↑ best 1.80
DRAW
3.88
25.8% implied
↑ best 4.20
HOUSTON DYNAMO WIN
4.70
21.3% implied
↑ best 5.40

Market favors Real Salt Lake. AI projects REAL SALT LAKE 96% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS REAL SALT LAKE 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 3.90 4.30 +38.2%
888Sport 1.80 3.50 4.00 +40.4%
Bet365 1.65 4.00 5.25 +35.4%
Betano 1.67 4.20 5.40 +36.1%
Betfair 1.70 3.90 4.60 +37.2%
BetVictor 1.70 3.90 4.50 +37.2%
Dafabet 1.74 4.00 4.60 +38.5%
Marathonbet 1.62 3.88 5.15 +34.3%
Pinnacle 1.76 3.86 4.78 +39.2%
SBO 1.58 4.06 4.73 +32.7%
Unibet 1.71 3.80 4.70 +37.5%
William Hill 1.73 3.60 4.40 +38.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.16 U 5.00
2.5 O 1.53 U 2.41
3.5 O 2.31 U 1.58
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.53 9 bks
NO
2.36 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.62
Away -0.5 2.18
Away -0.75 1.98
Away -1 1.71
Away -1.25 1.54
Away -1.5 1.43
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.