GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–0 · REAL SALT LAKE 96% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · THU, 14 MAY · 01:30 LOCAL
REAL SALT LAKE
3RD · 26 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L W L
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
HOUSTON DYNAMO
D W W W L
· 7TH · 22 PTS · LAST 5
Zavier Gozo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Zavier Gozo
Real Salt Lake · 81 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 12% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

108%
BALL POSSESSION %
72%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
15
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
472%
PASS ACCURACY %
418%
4
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 6 events
  1. 45'+4
    Card · Foul
    Agustín Bouzat
    HOU
  2. 46'
    Subst
    Mateusz Bogusz · assist Jack McGlynn 
    HOU
  3. 46'
    Subst
    Antônio Carlos · assist Agustin Resch
    HOU
  4. 55'
    Subst
    Guilherme · assist Nick Markanich
    HOU
  5. 79'
    Subst
    Lawrence Ennali · assist Duane Holmes
    HOU
  6. 86'
    Subst
    Ezequiel Ponce · assist Ondrej Lingr
    HOU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
REAL SALT LAKE AVG 7.6
HOUSTON DYNAMO AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
2.0
ON TARGET
4.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
9.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
108.0%
POSSESSION %
72.0%
526.0
PASSES
474.0
472.0%
PASS ACCURACY
418.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
1.0
18.0
OFFSIDES
12.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
11.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
REAL SALT LAKE 3 shots
Zavier Gozo
2/3
HOUSTON DYNAMO 7 shots
Ondrej Lingr
2/3
Jack McGlynn
1/2
Agustin Resch
0/1
Héctor Herrera
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 0%
100% A
0
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-3 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-3
3-4-2-1
7.3
1
RAFAEL CA
 7.0
29
SAM JUNQU
 7.3
26
PHILIP QU
2
DEANDRE Y
8
JUAN SANA
 7.6
6
STIJN SPI
27
GRIFFIN D
11
DOMINIK M
9
MORGAN GU
17
VICTOR OL
 8.6
72
ZAVIER GO
31
JONATHAN
 7.2
21
FRANCO NE
 7.5
34
AGUSTIN R
28
ERIK SVIA
24
IBRAHIM A
30
AGUSTíN B
 7.0
16
HéCTOR HE
14
DUANE HOL
 6.7
9
ONDREJ LI
 6.9
8
JACK MCGL
17
NICK MARK
SUBSTITUTES · REAL SALT LAKE
39
Aiden Hezar...
F
23
Zach Booth
M
7
Pablo Ruíz
M
10
Diego Luna
M
98
Alexandros K...
D
4
Lukas Engel
D
92
Noel Caliska...
M
24
Max Kerkvlie...
G
22
Sergi Solans
F
COACH: Pablo Mastroeni
SUBSTITUTES · HOUSTON DYNAMO
10
Ezequiel Pon...
F
20
Guilherme
F
6
Artur
M
18
Diadié Samas...
M
11
Lawrence Enn...
F
33
Vinicius Sil...
D
3
Antônio Carl...
D
26
Blake Gillin...
G
19
Mateusz Bogu...
M
COACH: Ben Olsen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
REA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Marrufo
—
REA MANAGER
Pablo Mastroeni
head coach
HOU MANAGER
Ben Olsen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
REA WINS
2
DRAWS
5
HOU WINS
30%
20%
50%
11 – 20
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
13 Jul 2025
Real Salt Lake
1 – 0
Houston Dynamo
W
16 Mar 2025
Houston Dynamo
1 – 2
Real Salt Lake
W
15 Sep 2024
Houston Dynamo
4 – 1
Real Salt Lake
L
04 Jul 2024
Real Salt Lake
3 – 2
Houston Dynamo
W
11 Nov 2023
Houston Dynamo
1 – 1
Real Salt Lake
D
REAL SALT LAKE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L W L
HOUSTON DYNAMO LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
REAL SALT LAKE #3
Won · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
HOUSTON DYNAMO #7
Lost · already at 22 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Ezequiel Ponce
    10th Substitution
  • 79'
    Subst · Lawrence Ennali
    8th Substitution
  • 55'
    Subst · Guilherme
    4th Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Antônio Carlos
    2nd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Mateusz Bogusz
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+4
    Card · Foul · Agustín Bouzat
    1st Yellowcard
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
REAL SALT LAKE WIN
1.70
58.8% implied
↑ best 1.80
DRAW
3.88
25.8% implied
↑ best 4.20
HOUSTON DYNAMO WIN
4.70
21.3% implied
↑ best 5.40

Market favors Real Salt Lake. AI projects REAL SALT LAKE 96% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS REAL SALT LAKE 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 3.90 4.30 +38.2%
888Sport 1.80 3.50 4.00 +40.4%
Bet365 1.65 4.00 5.25 +35.4%
Betano 1.67 4.20 5.40 +36.1%
Betfair 1.70 3.90 4.60 +37.2%
BetVictor 1.70 3.90 4.50 +37.2%
Dafabet 1.74 4.00 4.60 +38.5%
Marathonbet 1.62 3.88 5.15 +34.3%
Pinnacle 1.76 3.86 4.78 +39.2%
SBO 1.58 4.06 4.73 +32.7%
Unibet 1.71 3.80 4.70 +37.5%
William Hill 1.73 3.60 4.40 +38.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.16 U 5.00
2.5 O 1.53 U 2.41
3.5 O 2.31 U 1.58
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.53 9 bks
NO
2.36 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.62
Away -0.5 2.18
Away -0.75 1.98
Away -1 1.71
Away -1.25 1.54
Away -1.5 1.43
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.