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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · REAL SALT LAKE 48% · Value: BTTS Yes 64%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · THU, 20 AUG · 01:30 LOCAL
REAL SALT LAKE
8TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5:
L D D L L
FT
3 – 4
FULL TIME HT · 1-3
FC DALLAS
L W D L D
· 5TH · 33 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 38' Sergi Solans ⚽ 50' M. Guilavogui ⚽ 64' D. Luna
GOALS
⚽ 16' Joaquín Valiente ⚽ 20' Petar Musa ⚽ 45' Petar Musa ⚽ 90' Ran Binyamin
Joaquín Valiente
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Joaquín Valiente
FC Dallas · 84 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 2 assists · 26% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas | Full Match Highlights | 7-GOAL THRILLER and STOPPAGE-TIME WINNER!
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.67
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.72
58%
BALL POSSESSION %
42%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
12
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
79%
6
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Joaquín Valiente · assist Ramiro
    FC
  2. 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Petar Musa · assist Joaquín Valiente
    FC
  3. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nolan Norris
    FC
  4. 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sergi Solans · assist D. Luna
    REA
  5. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Shaq Moore
    FC
  6. 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Petar Musa · assist Joaquín Valiente
    FC
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Petar Musa · assist Logan Farrington
    FC
  8. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Santiago Moreno · assist Ran Binyamin
    FC
  9. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Juan Jose Arias · assist S. Lobjanidze
    REA
  10. 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    M. Guilavogui · assist N. Caliskan
    REA
  11. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kaick · assist Christian Cappis
    FC
  12. 61'
    Card · Yellow Card
    D. Luna
    REA
  13. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Stijn Spierings · assist Pablo Ruíz
    REA
  14. 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    D. Luna · assist S. Lobjanidze
    REA
  15. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Herman Johansson · assist Sebastien Ibeagha
    FC
  16. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    DeAndre Yedlin
    REA
  17. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    M. Guilavogui · assist Lineker Rodrigues
    REA
  18. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sergi Solans · assist V. Olatunji
    REA
  19. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Bernard Kamungo · assist Sam Sarver
    FC
  20. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Pablo Ruíz
    REA
  21. 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ran Binyamin · assist Ramiro
    FC
  22. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ran Binyamin
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
REAL SALT LAKE AVG 7.8
FC DALLAS AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.7
xG
1.7
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
7.0
ON TARGET
5.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
58.0%
POSSESSION %
42.0%
547.0
PASSES
397.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
79.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
13.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
REAL SALT LAKE 9 shots
Sergi Solans
2/4
D. Luna
1/2
N. Caliskan
1/2
M. Guilavogui
1/1
FC DALLAS 6 shots
Petar Musa
3/4
Joaquín Valiente
1/1
Kaick
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.67 – 1.72
1.4 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 38' 50' 64' 16' 20' 45' 90' H 1.67 A 1.72 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 45%
55% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
12
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
Lineups were not recorded for this fixture.
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
REA WINS
4
DRAWS
5
FC WINS
10%
40%
50%
10 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
10 May 2026
FC Dallas
3 – 1
Real Salt Lake
L
11 May 2025
FC Dallas
1 – 1
Real Salt Lake
D
23 Mar 2025
Real Salt Lake
0 – 1
FC Dallas
L
19 Sep 2024
Real Salt Lake
3 – 2
FC Dallas
W
26 May 2024
FC Dallas
3 – 3
Real Salt Lake
D
REAL SALT LAKE LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D L L
FC DALLAS LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–4 · result locked
REAL SALT LAKE #8
Lost · already at 28 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
FC DALLAS #5
Won · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Ran Binyamin
  • 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ran Binyamin
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Pablo Ruíz
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Bernard Kamungo
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sergi Solans
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · M. Guilavogui
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · DeAndre Yedlin
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Herman Johansson
  • 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal · D. Luna
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Stijn Spierings
  • 61'
    Card · Yellow Card · D. Luna
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kaick
  • 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal · M. Guilavogui
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Juan Jose Arias
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Santiago Moreno
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Petar Musa
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 3
  • 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Petar Musa
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Shaq Moore
  • 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sergi Solans
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nolan Norris
  • 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Petar Musa
  • 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Joaquín Valiente
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
REAL SALT LAKE WIN
1.99
50.3% implied
↑ best 2.06
DRAW
3.77
26.5% implied
↑ best 3.90
FC DALLAS WIN
3.38
29.6% implied
↑ best 3.60

Market favors Real Salt Lake. AI projects REAL SALT LAKE 48% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS REAL SALT LAKE 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.93 3.90 3.40 +0.4%
888Sport 1.95 3.75 3.10 -0.7%
Bet365 2.00 3.80 3.40 -0.3%
Betano 2.05 3.90 3.60 +0.4%
Betfair 1.95 3.75 3.40 -0.7%
BetVictor 2.00 3.80 3.25 -0.3%
Dafabet 2.02 3.85 3.50 +0.0%
Marathonbet 1.97 3.54 3.54 -2.2%
Pinnacle 2.06 3.71 3.57 -0.5%
SBO 2.01 3.65 3.16 -1.4%
Superbet 2.02 3.80 3.45 -0.3%
Unibet 1.91 3.80 3.50 -0.3%
William Hill 1.95 3.75 3.10 -0.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.14 U 5.30
2.5 O 1.50 U 2.51
3.5 O 2.24 U 1.62
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.44 10 bks
NO
2.59 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.07
Away -0.5 1.81
Away -0.75 1.62
Away -1 1.43
Away -1.25 1.35
Away -1.5 1.30
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.