GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · RAYO VALLECANO 45%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 17:00 LOCAL
RAYO VALLECANO
8TH · 50 PTS · LAST 5:
W D D W W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
VILLARREAL
W L D W W
· 3RD · 72 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 28' Sergio Camello ⚽ 47' Alemão
GOALS
A. Rațiu
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
A. Rațiu
Rayo Vallecano · 92 mins
🅰 1 assist · 36% pass acc
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
La Liga: Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.52
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.00
53%
BALL POSSESSION %
47%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
11
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
1
CORNERS
9
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 28'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sergio Camello · assist A. Rațiu
    RAY
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tajon Buchanan · assist Alfon González
    VIL
  3. 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alemão · assist Óscar Trejo
    RAY
  4. 61'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Florian Lejeune
    RAY
  5. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    T. Oluwaseyi · assist Gerard Moreno
    VIL
  6. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Santi Comesaña · assist Thomas Partey
    VIL
  7. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Óscar Trejo · assist Pedro Díaz
    RAY
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Pape Gueye · assist Dani Parejo
    VIL
  9. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Sergio Camello · assist Fran Pérez
    RAY
  10. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Alemão · assist Carlos Martín
    RAY
  11. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Willy Kambwala · assist Logan Costa
    VIL
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Josep Chavarría · assist Alfonso Espino
    RAY
  13. 82'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Unai López
    RAY
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Unai López · assist Abdul Mumin
    RAY
  15. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Mouriño
    VIL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
RAYO VALLECANO AVG 7.8
VILLARREAL AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.5
xG
1.0
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
7.0
ON TARGET
2.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
3.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
53.0%
POSSESSION %
47.0%
471.0
PASSES
403.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
9.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
9.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
RAYO VALLECANO 6 shots
Sergio Camello
2/4
Florian Lejeune
1/2
VILLARREAL 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.52 – 1.00
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.0 HT 28' 47' H 1.52 A 1.00 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
13
AUGUSTO B
3
JOSEP CHA
 7.6
24
FLORIAN L
 7.7
6
PATHé ISM
 8.0
2
A. RAțIU
23
ÓSCAR VAL
17
UNAI LóPE
 7.9
10
SERGIO CA
 7.9
8
ÓSCAR TRE
19
JORGE DE
9
ALEMãO
 7.3
25
ARNAU TEN
23
SERGI CAR
4
RAFA MARí
5
WILLY KAM
15
S. MOURIñ
20
ALBERTO M
 6.7
18
PAPE GUEY
 6.9
14
SANTI COM
17
TAJON BUC
21
T. OLUWAS
22
AYOZE PéR
SUBSTITUTES · RAYO VALLECANO
16
Abdul Mumin
D
33
J. Vertrouwd
D
20
Iván Balliu
D
15
Gerard Gumba...
M
22
Alfonso Espi...
D
32
Nobel Mendy
D
30
Juanpe
G
1
Dani Cárdena...
G
14
Carlos Martí...
F
21
Fran Pérez
M
4
Pedro Díaz
M
11
Randy Nteka
M
COACH: Inigo Perez
SUBSTITUTES · VILLARREAL
6
Pau Navarro
D
24
Pedraza
D
2
Logan Costa
D
19
Nicolas Pépé
F
3
Alexander Fr...
D
1
Luiz Júnior
G
10
Dani Parejo
M
16
Thomas Parte...
M
7
Gerard Moren...
F
11
Alfon Gonzál...
F
9
Georges Mika...
F
COACH: Marcelino
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
RAY · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

VIL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
—
RAY MANAGER
Inigo Perez
head coach
VIL MANAGER
Marcelino
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
RAY WINS
2
DRAWS
5
VIL WINS
30%
20%
50%
8 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 Nov 2025
Villarreal
4 – 0
Rayo Vallecano
L
22 Feb 2025
Rayo Vallecano
0 – 1
Villarreal
L
18 Dec 2024
Villarreal
1 – 1
Rayo Vallecano
D
28 Apr 2024
Villarreal
3 – 0
Rayo Vallecano
L
24 Sep 2023
Rayo Vallecano
1 – 1
Villarreal
D
RAYO VALLECANO LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D W W
VILLARREAL LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
RAYO VALLECANO #8
Won · already at 50 pts
VILLARREAL #3
Lost · already at 72 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 +59 94
L W L W W
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 +42 86
W W W L W
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 +26 72
W L L D W
4 Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 +18 69
L W W L W
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 +11 60
W L W D W
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 +5 54
W D L W W
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 -6 51
W L W D L
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 -3 50
W W D D W
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 -9 49
W W D W L
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 -2 46
D L D D L
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 -12 46
D W W L L
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 -15 45
L D L L W
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 -14 43
L L W W W
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 -12 43
L W W D L
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 -8 43
D W L D L
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 -14 42
L W W W L
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 -6 42
L L L L L
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 -10 42
W L L D W
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 -16 41
D L D D L
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 -34 29
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Mouriño
    Tripping
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Unai López
  • 82'
    Card · Yellow Card · Unai López
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Josep Chavarría
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Willy Kambwala
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Alemão
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Sergio Camello
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Pape Gueye
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Óscar Trejo
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Santi Comesaña
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · T. Oluwaseyi
  • 61'
    Card · Yellow Card · Florian Lejeune
    Tripping
  • 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alemão
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tajon Buchanan
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 28'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sergio Camello
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
RAYO VALLECANO WIN
2.01
49.8% implied
↑ best 2.06
DRAW
3.60
27.8% implied
↑ best 3.78
VILLARREAL WIN
3.60
27.8% implied
↑ best 3.90

Market favors Rayo Vallecano. AI projects RAYO VALLECANO 45%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS RAYO VALLECANO 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.99 3.60 3.45 +0.2%
1xBet 2.02 3.78 3.90 +1.5%
888Sport 1.95 3.50 3.50 -0.6%
Bet365 1.95 3.50 3.70 0.0%
Betano 2.02 3.60 3.60 +0.2%
Betfair 2.00 3.50 3.60 -0.6%
BetVictor 2.05 3.70 3.40 +1.0%
Dafabet 2.03 3.65 3.65 +0.6%
Marathonbet 1.99 3.72 3.84 +1.1%
Pinnacle 2.03 3.65 3.81 +0.8%
SBO 2.06 3.42 3.30 -1.2%
Unibet 2.04 3.65 3.45 +0.6%
William Hill 2.00 3.50 3.60 -0.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.08
2.5 O 1.71 U 2.13
3.5 O 2.70 U 1.43
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.58 10 bks
NO
2.26 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.12
Away -0.5 1.81
Away -0.75 1.61
Away -1 1.41
Away -1.25 1.33
Away -1.5 1.26
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.