AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · RAPID VIENNA 68% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Europa Conference League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · WED, 12 AUG · 16:00 LOCAL
RAPID VIENNA
36TH · 1 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W W
FT
2 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
PAIDE
L D W W D
· LAST 5
⚽ 38' Marco Tilio ⚽ 82' Louis Schaub (P)
GOALS
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
Rapid Vienna · 90 mins
🅰 1 assist · 25% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

65%
BALL POSSESSION %
35%
23
TOTAL SHOTS
2
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
90%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
5
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jakob Schöller
    RAP
  2. 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Marco Tilio · assist Nikolaus Wurmbrand
    RAP
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Martin Miller · assist Ramon Smirnov
    PAI
  4. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Marco Tilio · assist Tonni Adamsen
    RAP
  5. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Romeo Amane · assist Nicolas Bajlicz
    RAP
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Moulaye Haïdara · assist Petter Nosakhare Dahl
    RAP
  7. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    M. P. Sohna · assist Henrik Ojamaa
    PAI
  8. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Hindrek Ojamaa · assist Edgar Tur
    PAI
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jakob Schöller · assist Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
    RAP
  10. 74'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Louis Schaub
    RAP
  11. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Henri Anier
    PAI
  12. 82'
    Goal · Penalty
    Louis Schaub
    RAP
  13. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    PAI
  14. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Daniel Luts · assist Pa Abdou Cham
    PAI
  15. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Henri Anier · assist Kristofer Piht
    PAI
  16. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Louis Schaub · assist M. Seidl
    RAP
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
RAPID VIENNA AVG 7.7
PAIDE AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
23.0
TOTAL SHOTS
2.0
7.0
ON TARGET
1.0
11.0
OFF TARGET
0.0
5.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
65.0%
POSSESSION %
35.0%
673.0
PASSES
365.0
90.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
1.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
3.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
RAPID VIENNA 11 shots
Marco Tilio
3/4
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
1/3
Louis Schaub
2/3
Jakob Schöller
0/1
PAIDE 0 shots

No shots recorded.

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-3-3
SUBSTITUTES · RAPID VIENNA
38
J. Horn
D
61
Furkan Demir
D
77
Bendegúz Bol...
D
9
Ercan Kara
F
50
Laurenz Orgl...
G
25
Paul Gartler
G
18
M. Seidl
M
6
Serge-Philip...
D
8
Tonni Adamse...
F
30
Nicolas Bajl...
M
10
Petter Nosak...
F
22
Yusuf Demir
F
COACH: Johannes Thorup
SUBSTITUTES · PAIDE
14
Momodou Joba...
M
16
Aleksandr Šu...
M
19
Siim Luts
F
44
Kristofer Ka...
D
4
Pedro Andrad...
D
12
Marko Meerit...
G
20
Kristofer Pi...
F
17
Pa Abdou Cha...
M
8
Henrik Ojama...
M
7
Edgar Tur
D
21
Ramon Smirno...
M
30
Abdourahman...
F
COACH: Tarmo Kink
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
RAP · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

PAI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Denys Shurman, Ukraine
RAP MANAGER
Johannes Thorup
head coach
PAI MANAGER
Tarmo Kink
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
RAP WINS
1
DRAWS
0
PAI WINS
50%
50%
4 1
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 2
RAPID VIENNA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W
PAIDE LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W D
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Strasbourg 6 5 1 0 +6 16
W W W W D
2 Raków Częstochowa 6 4 2 0 +7 14
W W W D D
3 AEK Athens FC 6 4 1 1 +7 13
W W W D W
4 Sparta Praha 6 4 1 1 +7 13
W W W D L
5 Rayo Vallecano 6 4 1 1 +6 13
W W L W D
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6 4 1 1 +5 13
D W W W L
7 FSV Mainz 05 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W D L W W
8 AEK Larnaca 6 3 3 0 +6 12
W D D D W
9 Lausanne 6 3 2 1 +3 11
W D L D W
10 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 +5 10
D W L W L
11 Lech Poznan 6 3 1 2 +4 10
W D W L L
12 Samsunspor 6 3 1 2 +4 10
L L D W W
13 Celje 6 3 1 2 +1 10
D L L W W
14 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 1 2 0 10
D W W L W
15 Fiorentina 6 3 0 3 +3 9
L W L L W
16 HNK Rijeka 6 2 3 1 +3 9
D W D D W
17 Jagiellonia 6 2 3 1 +1 9
D L W D D
18 Omonia Nicosia 6 2 2 2 +1 8
L W W D D
19 FC Noah 6 2 2 2 -1 8
L W D L D
20 Drita 6 2 2 2 -4 8
L L W W D
21 KuPS 6 1 4 1 +1 7
D D L W D
22 Shkendija 6 2 1 3 -1 7
L W L D W
23 Zrinjski 6 2 1 3 -2 7
D L W L L
24 Sigma Olomouc 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L L W W D
25 Universitatea Craiova 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L L W W D
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC 6 2 1 3 -8 7
L W L D W
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6 2 0 4 0 6
W L L W L
28 Legia Warszawa 6 2 0 4 0 6
W L L L W
29 Slovan Bratislava 6 2 0 4 -4 6
W L W L L
30 Breidablik 6 1 2 3 -5 5
L W D L D
31 Shamrock Rovers 6 1 1 4 -6 4
W L L D L
32 BK Hacken 6 0 3 3 -3 3
L D L L D
33 Hamrun Spartans 6 1 0 5 -7 3
L L W L L
34 Shelbourne 6 0 2 4 -7 2
D L L L L
35 Aberdeen 6 0 2 4 -11 2
L L D D L
36 Rapid Vienna 6 0 1 5 -11 1
D L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Louis Schaub
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Henri Anier
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Daniel Luts
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 82'
    Goal · Penalty · Louis Schaub
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Henri Anier
  • 74'
    Card · Yellow Card · Louis Schaub
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jakob Schöller
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Hindrek Ojamaa
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · M. P. Sohna
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Moulaye Haïdara
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Romeo Amane
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Marco Tilio
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Martin Miller
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Marco Tilio
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jakob Schöller
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
RAPID VIENNA WIN
1.10
90.9% implied
↑ best 1.14
DRAW
8.66
11.5% implied
↑ best 10.10
PAIDE WIN
17.94
5.6% implied
↑ best 25.00

Market favors Rapid Vienna. AI projects RAPID VIENNA 68% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS RAPID VIENNA 68% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.09 8.50 18.00 +10.2%
1xBet 1.11 10.10 25.00 +12.1%
Bet365 1.11 8.00 17.00 +9.5%
Betano 1.14 7.60 15.50 +8.8%
Betfair 1.07 9.00 16.00 +10.9%
BetVictor 1.09 9.00 21.00 +10.9%
Dafabet 1.11 8.80 19.00 +10.6%
Marathonbet 1.09 8.60 21.00 +10.4%
Pinnacle 1.11 8.41 14.66 +10.1%
SBO 1.09 7.43 13.00 +8.5%
Superbet 1.11 8.60 16.00 +10.4%
Unibet 1.10 8.50 20.00 +10.2%
William Hill 1.11 10.00 17.00 +12.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.08 U 6.56
2.5 O 1.34 U 3.00
3.5 O 1.88 U 1.86
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.23 10 bks
NO
1.58 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 16.15
Away -0.5 6.07
Away -0.75 5.38
Away -1 5.02
Away -1.25 3.44
Away -1.5 2.84
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.