GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–0 · PORTUGAL 87% · Value: Over 2.5 78%
CONF 81 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 2 · TUE, 23 JUN · 17:00 LOCAL
PORTUGAL
7TH · 1 PTS · LAST 5:
L W D D W
FT
5 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 3-0
UZBEKISTAN
L L L
· 4TH · 0 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 6' Cristiano Ronaldo ⚽ 17' Nuno Mendes ⚽ 39' Cristiano Ronaldo ⚽ 60' Abduvokhid Nematov (OG) ⚽ 87' Rafael Leão
GOALS
Nuno Mendes
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Nuno Mendes
Portugal · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 42% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.41
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.25
66%
BALL POSSESSION %
34%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
7
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
90%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 6'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Cristiano Ronaldo · assist João Cancelo
    POR
  2. 14'
    Card · Yellow Card
    O. Hamrobekov
    UZB
  3. 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Nuno Mendes
    POR
  4. 29'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul
    Azizjon Ganiev
    UZB
  5. 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Cristiano Ronaldo · assist Bruno Fernandes
    POR
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    João Cancelo · assist Nélson Semedo
    POR
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Pedro Neto · assist Francisco Conceição
    POR
  8. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    S. Nasrullayev · assist K. Alijonov
    UZB
  9. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    O. Hamrobekov · assist A. Mozgovoy
    UZB
  10. 60'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Abduvokhid Nematov
    POR
  11. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    João Félix · assist Francisco Trincão
    POR
  12. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Renato Veiga
    POR
  13. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Abbosbek Fayzullaev · assist I. Sergeev
    UZB
  14. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    João Neves · assist Bernardo Silva
    POR
  15. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Vitinha · assist Rafael Leão
    POR
  16. 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Rafael Leão
    POR
  17. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 4
    B. Karimov · assist Ruslanbek Jiyanov
    UZB
  18. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    O. Shukurov · assist Sherzod Esanov
    UZB
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PORTUGAL AVG 8.3
UZBEKISTAN AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.4
xG
0.3
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
9.0
ON TARGET
2.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
3.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
66.0%
POSSESSION %
34.0%
623.0
PASSES
324.0
90.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
15.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PORTUGAL 9 shots
Cristiano Ronaldo
5/6
Nuno Mendes
1/1
Bruno Fernandes
1/1
Vitinha
0/1
UZBEKISTAN 2 shots
Eldor Shomurodov
0/1
Abbosbek Fayzullaev
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.41 – 0.25
1.9 1.4 1 0.5 2.4 0.0 HT 6' 17' 39' 60' 87' H 2.41 A 0.25 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 61%
39% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
1
DIOGO COS
 8.9
25
NUNO MEND
13
RENATO VE
 7.9
3
RúBEN DIA
20
JOãO CANC
 7.6
23
VITINHA
15
JOãO NEVE
11
JOãO FéLI
 8.6
8
BRUNO FER
18
PEDRO NET
 8.3
7
CRISTIANO
12
ABDUVOKHI
5
R. ASHURM
18
A. ABDULL
2
A. KHUSAN
13
S. NASRUL
7
O. SHUKUR
9
O. HAMROB
24
B. KARIMO
 6.7
22
ABBOSBEK
 6.9
19
AZIZJON G
 6.9
14
ELDOR SHO
SUBSTITUTES · PORTUGAL
5
Diogo Dalot
D
14
Gonçalo Inác...
D
6
Matheus Nune...
M
24
Samú Costa
M
21
Rúben Neves
M
19
Gonçalo Gued...
F
4
Tomás Araújo
D
22
Rui Silva
G
12
José Sá
G
17
Rafael Leão
F
10
Bernardo Sil...
M
16
Francisco Tr...
F
26
Francisco Co...
F
2
Nélson Semed...
D
9
Gonçalo Ramo...
F
COACH: Roberto Martinez
SUBSTITUTES · UZBEKISTAN
4
Farrukh Sayf...
D
26
J. Urozov
D
15
U. Eshmurodo...
D
20
A. Amonov
F
8
J. Iskandero...
M
17
D. Khamdamov
M
25
A. Ulmasalie...
D
1
U. Yusupov
G
16
B. Ergashev
G
23
Sherzod Esan...
M
10
Ruslanbek Ji...
M
21
I. Sergeev
F
6
A. Mozgovoy
M
3
K. Alijonov
D
11
O. O'ru...
M
COACH: Fabio Cannavaro
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

UZB · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jalal Jayed, Morocco
—
POR MANAGER
Roberto Martinez
head coach
UZB MANAGER
Fabio Cannavaro
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
POR WINS
1
DRAWS
0
UZB WINS
100%
PORTUGAL LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D D W
UZBEKISTAN LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 5–0 · result locked
PORTUGAL #2
Won · already at 5 pts
Round of 32
UZBEKISTAN #4
Lost · already at 0 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · O. Shukurov
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 4 · B. Karimov
  • 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Rafael Leão
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Vitinha
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · João Neves
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Abbosbek Fayzullaev
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · Renato Veiga
    Roughing
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · João Félix
  • 60'
    Goal · Own Goal · Abduvokhid Nematov
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · O. Hamrobekov
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · S. Nasrullayev
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Pedro Neto
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · João Cancelo
  • HALF TIME · 3 – 0
  • 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Cristiano Ronaldo
  • 29'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul · Azizjon Ganiev
  • 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Nuno Mendes
  • 14'
    Card · Yellow Card · O. Hamrobekov
    Holding
  • 6'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Cristiano Ronaldo
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
PORTUGAL WIN
1.16
86.2% implied
↑ best 1.26
DRAW
8.06
12.4% implied
↑ best 9.00
UZBEKISTAN WIN
18.64
5.4% implied
↑ best 23.00

Market favors Portugal. AI projects PORTUGAL 87% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PORTUGAL 87% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.14 7.60 17.00 -0.7%
1xBet 1.17 8.45 22.00 +1.5%
888Sport 1.14 7.50 17.00 -0.7%
Bet365 1.14 8.50 17.00 -0.7%
Betano 1.19 7.90 17.50 +3.0%
Betfair 1.14 8.50 21.00 -0.7%
BetVictor 1.10 9.00 23.00 -1.1%
Dafabet 1.26 6.00 10.00 +7.6%
Marathonbet 1.16 8.60 22.00 +0.8%
Pinnacle 1.16 8.95 20.50 +0.8%
SBO 1.14 8.40 18.00 -0.7%
Superbet 1.17 7.50 18.00 +1.5%
Unibet 1.14 8.50 21.00 -0.7%
William Hill 1.15 7.50 17.00 +0.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 5.64
2.5 O 1.46 U 2.68
3.5 O 2.15 U 1.71
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.40 11 bks
NO
1.53 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 7.77
Away -0.5 5.17
Away -0.75 4.63
Away -1 4.14
Away -1.25 3.25
Away -1.5 2.65
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.