GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 6–0 · PORTLAND TIMBERS 99% · Value: Over 2.5 99%
CONF 96 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · SUN, 10 MAY · 02:30 LOCAL
PORTLAND TIMBERS
9TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L W W
FT
6 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 4-0
SPORTING KANSAS CITY
L D L L L
· 15TH · 15 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 6' Kristoffer Velde ⚽ 15' Kevin Kelsy ⚽ 22' Cole Bassett ⚽ 26' Jake Davis ⚽ 71' Ariel Lassiter ⚽ 74' Kevin Kelsy
GOALS
K. Kelsy
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
K. Kelsy
Portland Timbers · 91 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 🅰 1 assist · 19% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

129%
BALL POSSESSION %
70%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
11
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
677%
PASS ACCURACY %
362%
4
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 6'
    Goal · 1-0
    Kristoffer Velde · assist David Da Costa
    POR
  2. 15'
    Goal · 2-0
    Kevin Kelsy · assist David Da Costa
    POR
  3. 19'
    Card · Foul
    Lasse Berg Johnsen
    SPO
  4. 22'
    Goal · 3-0
    Cole Bassett · assist Kevin Kelsy
    POR
  5. 26'
    Goal · 4-0
    Jake Davis
    POR
  6. 33'
    Card · Foul
    José Luis Caicedo Barrera
    POR
  7. 41'
    Card · Foul
    Jake Davis
    SPO
  8. 45'+3
    Card · Foul
    Jayden Reid
    SPO
  9. 46'
    Subst
    Calvin Harris · assist Manu García
    SPO
  10. 46'
    Subst
    Diego Chará · assist José Luis Caicedo Barrera
    POR
  11. 46'
    Subst
    Ian James · assist Shapi Suleymanov
    SPO
  12. 53'
    Card · Foul
    Ethan Bartlow
    SPO
  13. 61'
    Subst
    Ariel Lassiter · assist Antony
    POR
  14. 61'
    Subst
    SPO
  15. 61'
    Subst
    Ian Smith · assist Jimer Fory
    POR
  16. 61'
    Subst
    Joao Ortiz · assist Cole Bassett
    POR
  17. 61'
    Subst
    POR
  18. 71'
    Goal · 5-0
    Ariel Lassiter
    POR
  19. 72'
    Subst
    Taylor Calheira · assist Dejan Joveljić
    SPO
  20. 74'
    Goal · 6-0
    Kevin Kelsy · assist Ariel Lassiter
    POR
  21. 76'
    Subst
    Stephen Afrifa · assist Capita
    SPO
  22. 76'
    Card · Foul
    Capita
    SPO
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PORTLAND TIMBERS AVG 8.3
  • K. Kelsy
    91' · 2G · 1A · 5 shots · 19.00% pass
    9.0
  • K. Velde
    91' · 1G · 2 shots · 52.00% pass
    8.5
  • C. Bassett
    61' · 1G · 1 shots · 55.00% pass
    8.3
  • A. Lassiter
    30' · 1G · 1A · 2 shots · 10.00% pass
    8.0
  • Kamal Miller
    91' · 88.00% pass
    7.9
SPORTING KANSAS CITY AVG 6.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
6.0
ON TARGET
3.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
5.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
129.0%
POSSESSION %
70.0%
726.0
PASSES
414.0
677.0%
PASS ACCURACY
362.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
5.0
10.0
OFFSIDES
10.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
20.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
5.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PORTLAND TIMBERS 10 shots
K. Kelsy
2/5
K. Velde
1/2
A. Lassiter
1/2
C. Bassett
1/1
SPORTING KANSAS CITY 2 shots
Dejan Joveljić
1/1
Manu García
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 55%
45% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
41
JAMES PAN
27
J. FORY
 7.9
4
KAMAL MIL
20
FINN SURM
5
BRANDON B
30
JOSé CAIC
 8.3
17
C. BASSET
11
ANTONY
10
D. DA COS
 8.5
99
K. VELDE
 9.0
19
K. KELSY
30
STEFAN CL
99
JAYDEN RE
28
WYATT MEY
23
ETHAN BAR
8
JACOB DAV
 6.3
93
SHAPI SUL
16
JACOB BAR
 6.3
4
LASSE BER
7
CAPITA
 6.7
9
DEJAN JOV
 6.3
6
MANU GARC
SUBSTITUTES · PORTLAND TIMBERS
28
Alexander Ar...
F
7
A. Lassiter
F
21
Diego Chara
M
80
J. Ortiz
M
6
Alex Bonetig
D
16
Sawyer Jura
D
23
I. Smith
D
25
Trey Muse
G
9
Felipe Mora
F
COACH: Phil Neville
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING KANSAS CITY
19
Taylor Calhe...
F
22
Zorhan Basso...
D
14
Macielo Tsch...
M
11
Calvin Harri...
F
41
Pierre Lurot
D
2
Ian James
D
1
John Pulskam...
G
36
Ryan Schewe
G
17
Stephen Afri...
F
COACH: Raphael Wicky
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Touchan
—
POR MANAGER
Phil Neville
head coach
SPO MANAGER
Raphael Wicky
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
POR WINS
2
DRAWS
2
SPO WINS
60%
20%
20%
22 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
11 May 2025
Portland Timbers
1 – 0
Sporting Kansas City
W
13 Apr 2025
Sporting Kansas City
2 – 4
Portland Timbers
W
26 May 2024
Portland Timbers
2 – 1
Sporting Kansas City
W
07 Apr 2024
Sporting Kansas City
3 – 3
Portland Timbers
D
28 May 2023
Sporting Kansas City
4 – 1
Portland Timbers
L
PORTLAND TIMBERS LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L W W
SPORTING KANSAS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 6–0 · result locked
PORTLAND TIMBERS #9
Won · already at 28 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
SPORTING KANSAS CITY #15
Lost · already at 15 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 76'
    Card · Foul · Capita
    6th Yellowcard
  • 76'
    Subst · Stephen Afrifa
    10th Substitution
  • 74'
    Goal · 6-0 · Kevin Kelsy
    5th Goal
  • 72'
    Subst · Taylor Calheira
    9th Substitution
  • 71'
    Goal · 5-0 · Ariel Lassiter
    4th Goal
  • 61'
    Subst
    4th Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst · Joao Ortiz
    7th Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst · Ian Smith
    8th Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst
    5th Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst · Ariel Lassiter
    6th Substitution
  • 53'
    Card · Foul · Ethan Bartlow
    5th Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst · Ian James
    3rd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Diego Chará
    1st Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Calvin Harris
    2nd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 4 – 0
  • 45'+3
    Card · Foul · Jayden Reid
    4th Yellowcard
  • 41'
    Card · Foul · Jake Davis
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 33'
    Card · Foul · José Luis Caicedo Barrera
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 26'
    Goal · 4-0 · Jake Davis
    1st Own Goal
  • 22'
    Goal · 3-0 · Cole Bassett
    3rd Goal
  • 19'
    Card · Foul · Lasse Berg Johnsen
    1st Yellowcard
  • 15'
    Goal · 2-0 · Kevin Kelsy
    2nd Goal
  • 6'
    Goal · 1-0 · Kristoffer Velde
    1st Goal
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
PORTLAND TIMBERS WIN
1.49
67.1% implied
↑ best 1.53
DRAW
4.75
21.1% implied
↑ best 5.00
SPORTING KANSAS WIN
5.37
18.6% implied
↑ best 5.70

Market favors Portland Timbers. AI projects PORTLAND TIMBERS 99% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PORTLAND TIMBERS 99% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.50 4.65 5.30 +32.3%
888Sport 1.50 4.40 5.00 +32.3%
Bet365 1.50 5.00 5.25 +32.3%
Betano 1.53 5.00 5.70 +33.6%
Betfair 1.47 4.75 5.50 +31.0%
BetVictor 1.45 4.80 5.50 +30.0%
Dafabet 1.52 5.00 5.40 +33.2%
Marathonbet 1.48 4.75 5.40 +31.4%
Pinnacle 1.52 4.99 5.56 +33.2%
SBO 1.47 4.64 5.22 +31.0%
Unibet 1.49 4.60 5.60 +31.9%
William Hill 1.50 4.40 5.00 +32.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 6.78
2.5 O 1.35 U 3.05
3.5 O 1.91 U 1.86
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.45 9 bks
NO
2.57 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.12
Away -0.5 2.58
Away -0.75 2.33
Away -1 2.06
Away -1.25 1.80
Away -1.5 1.62
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.