GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · PORTLAND TIMBERS 48% · Value: Over 2.5 68%
CONF 54 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · THU, 20 AUG · 02:30 LOCAL
PORTLAND TIMBERS
9TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W W D
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
SAN DIEGO
W W D W L
· 11TH · 27 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 29' K. Velde ⚽ 51' A. Lassiter ⚽ 68' D. Da Costa
GOALS
⚽ 45+1' Gabriel Pirani
K. Velde
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
K. Velde
Portland Timbers · 74 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 13% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC | Full Match Highlights | BANGERS ONLY IN PORTLAND!
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.60
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.38
30%
BALL POSSESSION %
70%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
21
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
92%
0
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 17'
    Card · Yellow Card
    A. Lassiter
    POR
  2. 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    K. Velde · assist C. Bassett
    POR
  3. 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gabriel Pirani · assist L. Morgan
    SAN
  4. 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Lassiter · assist J. Fory
    POR
  5. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    O. Valakari · assist A. Alvarado
    SAN
  6. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    A. Mighten · assist E. Achouri
    SAN
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Brandon Bye · assist Eric Miller
    POR
  8. 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    D. Da Costa · assist K. Velde
    POR
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    D. Þór­halls­son · assist O. Verhoeven
    SAN
  10. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    K. Sargeant · assist Luca Bombino
    SAN
  11. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    K. Velde · assist Antony
    POR
  12. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    C. Bassett · assist J. Ortiz
    POR
  13. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    M. Ingvartsen · assist A. Pellegrino
    SAN
  14. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    D. Da Costa · assist Diego Chara
    POR
  15. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    A. Lassiter · assist V. Janssen
    POR
  16. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    O. Verhoeven
    SAN
  17. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    K. Kelsy
    POR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PORTLAND TIMBERS AVG 7.7
SAN DIEGO AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
1.4
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
21.0
5.0
ON TARGET
6.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
1.0
BLOCKED
9.0
POSSESSION
30.0%
POSSESSION %
70.0%
315.0
PASSES
730.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
92.0%
SET PIECES
0.0
CORNERS
7.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
9.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
5.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PORTLAND TIMBERS 3 shots
K. Velde
1/2
D. Da Costa
1/1
SAN DIEGO 6 shots
Gabriel Pirani
3/4
Jeppe Tverskov
0/1
A. Alvarado
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.60 – 1.38
1.3 1 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 29' 51' 68' 45' H 1.60 A 1.38 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 59%
41% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
4-2-3-1
4-3-3
41
JAMES PAN
 7.3
27
J. FORY
 7.7
4
KAMAL MIL
20
FINN SURM
5
BRANDON B
 7.5
30
JOSé CAIC
17
C. BASSET
 8.5
99
K. VELDE
 7.6
10
D. DA COS
7
A. LASSIT
19
K. KELSY
1
C. DOS SA
5
KIERAN SA
32
I. MURPHY
 7.0
26
M. DUAH
3
D. ÞóR­HA
 7.6
12
GABRIEL P
 7.5
6
JEPPE TVE
8
O. VALAKA
9
L. MORGAN
7
M. INGVAR
77
A. MIGHTE
SUBSTITUTES · PORTLAND TIMBERS
22
O. Fernandez
F
88
Gage Guerra
F
80
J. Ortiz
M
11
Antony
F
21
Diego Chara
M
15
Eric Miller
D
23
I. Smith
D
25
Trey Muse
G
14
V. Janssen
F
COACH: Jack Cassidy
SUBSTITUTES · SAN DIEGO
99
E. Achouri
M
19
D. Vazquez
M
20
A. Godoy
M
70
A. Alvarado
F
97
C. McVey
D
27
Luca Bombino
D
33
O. Verhoeven
D
18
D. Ferree
G
90
A. Pellegrin...
F
COACH: Mikey Varas
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Rubiel Vazquez, USA
—
POR MANAGER
Jack Cassidy
head coach
SAN MANAGER
Mikey Varas
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
POR WINS
2
DRAWS
3
SAN WINS
28.6%
28.6%
42.9%
8 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 7 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 7
26 Apr 2026
San Diego
1 – 2
Portland Timbers
W
10 Nov 2025
San Diego
4 – 0
Portland Timbers
L
02 Nov 2025
Portland Timbers
2 – 2
San Diego
D
27 Oct 2025
San Diego
2 – 1
Portland Timbers
L
19 Oct 2025
Portland Timbers
0 – 4
San Diego
L
PORTLAND TIMBERS LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W W D
SAN DIEGO LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
PORTLAND TIMBERS #9
Won · already at 28 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
SAN DIEGO #11
Lost · already at 27 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · K. Kelsy
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · O. Verhoeven
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · A. Lassiter
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · D. Da Costa
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · M. Ingvartsen
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · C. Bassett
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · K. Velde
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · K. Sargeant
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · D. Þór­halls­son
  • 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal · D. Da Costa
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Brandon Bye
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · A. Mighten
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · O. Valakari
  • 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Lassiter
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gabriel Pirani
  • 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal · K. Velde
  • 17'
    Card · Yellow Card · A. Lassiter
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PORTLAND TIMBERS WIN
1.96
51% implied
↑ best 2.02
DRAW
4.03
24.8% implied
↑ best 4.21
SAN DIEGO WIN
3.25
30.8% implied
↑ best 3.40

Market favors Portland Timbers. AI projects PORTLAND TIMBERS 48% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PORTLAND TIMBERS 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 4.10 3.30 -0.4%
888Sport 1.91 4.00 3.10 -1.0%
Bet365 1.95 4.00 3.40 -1.0%
Betano 1.98 4.05 3.35 -0.7%
Betfair 1.95 4.00 3.30 -1.0%
BetVictor 1.95 4.00 3.25 -1.0%
Dafabet 2.01 4.20 3.30 +0.2%
Marathonbet 1.94 4.05 3.24 -0.7%
Pinnacle 1.99 4.21 3.39 +0.2%
SBO 1.95 3.84 3.18 -2.0%
Superbet 2.00 4.10 3.25 -0.4%
Unibet 2.02 3.80 3.10 -1.5%
William Hill 1.91 4.00 3.10 -1.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.10 U 6.60
2.5 O 1.37 U 2.98
3.5 O 1.96 U 1.83
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.36 10 bks
NO
2.95 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.09
Away -0.5 1.85
Away -0.75 1.66
Away -1 1.46
Away -1.25 1.38
Away -1.5 1.30
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.