GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · FC DALLAS 74% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 82 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · THU, 23 JUL · 02:30 LOCAL
PORTLAND TIMBERS
10TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5:
W W L L D
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
FC DALLAS
L W W L W
· 6TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 66' K. Kelsy ⚽ 90+2' Felipe Mora
GOALS
⚽ 45+1' Patrickson Delgado ⚽ 88' Petar Musa
Petar Musa
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Petar Musa
FC Dallas · 31 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 11% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.34
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.01
62%
BALL POSSESSION %
38%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
11
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
5
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kamal Miller
    POR
  2. 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Patrickson Delgado · assist Joaquín Valiente
    FC
  3. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ariel Lassiter · assist Kristoffer Velde
    POR
  4. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    José Caicedo · assist Diego Chará
    POR
  5. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Herman Johansson
    FC
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Logan Farrington · assist Petar Musa
    FC
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Patrickson Delgado · assist Bernard Kamungo
    FC
  8. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Santiago Moreno · assist Sam Sarver
    FC
  9. 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    K. Kelsy
    POR
  10. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    K. Kelsy · assist Felipe Mora
    POR
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Cole Bassett · assist Alexander Aravena
    POR
  12. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Joaquín Valiente · assist Ran Binyamin
    FC
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Herman Johansson · assist Sebastien Ibeagha
    FC
  14. 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Petar Musa
    FC
  15. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brandon Bye
    POR
  16. 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Felipe Mora · assist Kristoffer Velde
    POR
  17. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Diego Chará
    POR
  18. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sebastien Ibeagha
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PORTLAND TIMBERS AVG 7.2
FC DALLAS AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.3
xG
1.0
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
4.0
ON TARGET
3.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
5.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
62.0%
POSSESSION %
38.0%
578.0
PASSES
364.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
13.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PORTLAND TIMBERS 7 shots
K. Kelsy
1/4
Kristoffer Velde
1/2
Felipe Mora
1/1
FC DALLAS 4 shots
Petar Musa
1/2
Patrickson Delgado
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.34 – 1.01
1.9 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 66' 90' 45' 88' H 2.34 A 1.01 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 4-4-1-1
4-1-4-1
4-4-1-1
41
JAMES PAN
27
JíMER FOR
 7.0
4
KAMAL MIL
20
FINN SURM
5
BRANDON B
30
JOSé CAIC
11
ANTONY AL
 7.3
10
DAVID PER
17
COLE BASS
7
ARIEL LAS
 7.2
19
K. KELSY
 6.9
42
DANIEL
32
NOLAN NOR
18
SHAQ MOOR
3
OSAZE URH
14
HERMAN JO
 7.3
8
PATRICKSO
 7.2
55
KAICK
 7.3
12
CHRISTIAN
21
JOAQUíN V
10
SANTIAGO
23
LOGAN FAR
SUBSTITUTES · PORTLAND TIMBERS
9
Felipe Mora
F
80
Joao Ortíz
M
6
Alex Bonetig
D
15
Eric Miller
D
23
Ian Smith
D
25
Trey Muse
G
99
Kristoffer V...
F
21
Diego Chará
M
28
Alexander Ar...
F
COACH: Jack Cassidy
SUBSTITUTES · FC DALLAS
27
Caleb Swann
M
6
Ran Binyamin
M
25
Sebastien Ib...
D
5
Lalas Abubak...
D
40
Jonathan Sir...
G
9
Petar Musa
F
28
Sam Sarver
F
77
Bernard Kamu...
F
11
Anderson Jul...
F
COACH: Eric Quill
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Da Silva
—
POR MANAGER
Jack Cassidy
head coach
FC MANAGER
Eric Quill
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
POR WINS
4
DRAWS
4
FC WINS
20%
40%
40%
10 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
28 Sep 2025
Portland Timbers
2 – 2
FC Dallas
D
10 Aug 2025
FC Dallas
2 – 0
Portland Timbers
L
06 Oct 2024
Portland Timbers
0 – 0
FC Dallas
D
05 Jul 2024
FC Dallas
3 – 2
Portland Timbers
L
12 Jun 2023
Portland Timbers
1 – 0
FC Dallas
W
PORTLAND TIMBERS LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L L D
FC DALLAS LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
PORTLAND TIMBERS #10
Lost · already at 21 pts
FC DALLAS #6
Lost · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Sebastien Ibeagha
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Diego Chará
  • 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · Felipe Mora
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brandon Bye
  • 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Petar Musa
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Herman Johansson
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Joaquín Valiente
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Cole Bassett
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · K. Kelsy
  • 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal · K. Kelsy
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Santiago Moreno
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Patrickson Delgado
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Logan Farrington
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Herman Johansson
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · José Caicedo
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ariel Lassiter
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Patrickson Delgado
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kamal Miller
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
PORTLAND TIMBERS WIN
2.24
44.6% implied
↑ best 2.40
DRAW
3.81
26.2% implied
↑ best 3.95
FC DALLAS WIN
2.84
35.2% implied
↑ best 3.10

Market favors Portland Timbers. AI projects FC DALLAS 74% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FC DALLAS 74% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.22 3.95 2.72 +37.2%
Bet365 2.10 3.80 3.10 +41.7%
Betano 2.15 3.95 2.90 +39.5%
Betfair 2.20 3.75 2.90 +39.5%
BetVictor 2.15 3.90 2.90 +39.5%
Dafabet 2.32 3.90 2.85 +38.9%
Marathonbet 2.16 3.72 2.94 +40.0%
Pinnacle 2.32 3.91 2.89 +39.4%
SBO 2.28 3.63 2.67 +36.5%
Superbet 2.40 3.75 2.72 +37.2%
Unibet 2.28 3.80 2.75 +37.6%
William Hill 2.25 3.60 2.70 +37.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 6.15
2.5 O 1.42 U 2.80
3.5 O 2.07 U 1.74
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.38 9 bks
NO
2.85 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.88
Away -0.5 1.64
Away -0.75 1.50
Away -1 1.34
Away -1.25 1.28
Away -1.5 1.22
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.