GOALSENSE
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Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · WED, 22 JUL · 23:30 LOCAL
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PHILADELPHIA UNION
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME
NEW YORK RED BULLS
⚽ 9' Milan Iloski ⚽ 57' Indiana Vassilev ⚽ 66' Neil Pierre
GOALS
⚽ 38' Cade Cowell
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 88/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
PHI
3 – 1
NEW
most likely scoreline · 11.8% probability
AI PICKS PHILADELPHIA UNION TO WIN 97%
FT 3 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 3 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
PHI WIN 97%
DRAW 2%
NEW WIN 1%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
PHILADELPHIA UNION TO WIN

AI consensus across 97% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 97% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Philadelphia 3-1 up with 0 minutes remaining — match effectively over, lock home win.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY PHILADELPHIA UNION FAVORED
97%
Match at minute 90 (full-time): Philadelphia holds 2-goal lead with no time for comeback
+25.0%
Red Bulls received 3 yellow cards in final 13 minutes (88', 85', 77'), indicating frustration/defensive collapse
+20.0%
Philadelphia's 4 substitutions (85') suggest manager securing result; no VAR controversy evident in event log
+15.0%
WHY NEW YORK RED BULLS CHALLENGED
1%
Match at minute 90 (full-time): Philadelphia holds 2-goal lead with no time for comeback
+25.0%
Red Bulls received 3 yellow cards in final 13 minutes (88', 85', 77'), indicating frustration/defensive collapse
+20.0%
Philadelphia's 4 substitutions (85') suggest manager securing result; no VAR controversy evident in event log
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Match at minute 90 (full-time): Philadelphia holds 2-goal lead with no time for comeback
  • Red Bulls received 3 yellow cards in final 13 minutes (88', 85', 77'), indicating frustration/defensive collapse
  • Philadelphia's 4 substitutions (85') suggest manager securing result; no VAR controversy evident in event log
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 9' MILAN ILOS ⚽ 38' CADE COWEL ⚽ 57' INDIANA VA ⚽ 66' NEIL PIERR
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 11.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.8
1.1
0.4
0.1
·
·
·
1
6.2
3.8
1.2
0.3
·
·
·
2
10.5
6.5
2.0
0.4
0.1
·
·
3
11.8
7.3
2.3
0.5
0.1
·
·
4
10.0
6.2
1.9
0.4
0.1
·
·
5
6.7
4.2
1.3
0.3
·
·
·
6+
3.8
2.4
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
3 — 0 11.8%
2 — 0 10.5%
4 — 0 10.0%
3 — 1 7.3%
5 — 0 6.7%
Top 5 = 46.3% · rest 53.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.73
97.0%
1.03
+67.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.47
95.0%
1.05
+39.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.46
92.0%
1.09
+34.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.21
99.0%
1.01
+19.5%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.20
98.0%
1.02
+18.0%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.16
2.0%
50.00
-91.7%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.09
3.0%
33.33
-93.7%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.15
1.0%
100.00
-95.9%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.