GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–2 · DRAW 48% · Value: Over 2.5 78%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · WED, 19 AUG · 23:30 LOCAL
PHILADELPHIA UNION
12TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W W W
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-2
INTER MIAMI
L L D W W
· 2ND · 39 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 11' I. Vassilev ⚽ 58' Neil Pierre
GOALS
⚽ 21' Daniel Pinter ⚽ 26' L. Messi
L. Messi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
L. Messi
Inter Miami · Captain · 91 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 21% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.57
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.48
42%
BALL POSSESSION %
58%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
5
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
4
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    I. Vassilev · assist F. Westfield
    PHI
  2. 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Daniel Pinter · assist L. Suárez
    INT
  3. 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    L. Messi · assist I. Fray
    INT
  4. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    K. Wagner
    PHI
  5. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Reguilón
    INT
  6. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    I. Fray
    INT
  7. 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Neil Pierre · assist M. Iloski
    PHI
  8. 62'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    M. Iloski
    PHI
  9. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    I. Vassilev · assist Q. Sullivan
    PHI
  10. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Reguilón · assist Noah Allen
    INT
  11. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    T. Segovia · assist D. Ayala
    INT
  12. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    B. Damiani · assist E. Alladoh
    PHI
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    J. Bueno · assist A. Bedoya
    PHI
  14. 87'
    Card · Yellow Card
    M. Iloski
    PHI
  15. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    E. Alladoh
    PHI
  16. 90'+9
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Daniel Pinter · assist D. Ruíz
    INT
  17. 90'+13
    Card · Yellow Card
    Q. Sullivan
    PHI
  18. 90'+13
    Card · Red Card
    Cavan Sullivan
    PHI
  19. 90'+13
    Card · Red Card
    Y. Bright
    INT
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PHILADELPHIA UNION AVG 7.5
INTER MIAMI AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.6
xG
1.5
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
6.0
ON TARGET
3.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
0.0
5.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
42.0%
POSSESSION %
58.0%
278.0
PASSES
408.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
1.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
13.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PHILADELPHIA UNION 7 shots
M. Iloski
1/2
I. Vassilev
1/2
Neil Pierre
2/2
B. Damiani
1/1
INTER MIAMI 3 shots
Daniel Pinter
2/2
L. Messi
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.57 – 1.48
2.1 1.5 1 0.5 2.6 0.0 HT 11' 58' 21' 26' H 2.57 A 1.48 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-3-3
4-4-2
4-3-3
18
A. BLAKE
27
K. WAGNER
26
N. HARRIE
 7.3
44
NEIL PIER
 7.5
39
F. WESTFI
 7.6
19
I. VASSIL
8
J. BUENO
21
D. JEAN-J
6
CAVAN SU
 7.7
10
M. ILOSKI
 7.5
9
B. DAMIAN
 7.7
97
D. ST. CL
3
REGUILóN
37
M. FALCóN
2
G. LUJáN
17
I. FRAY
8
T. SEGOVI
 8.0
5
CASEMIRO
42
Y. BRIGHT
 6.9
56
DANIEL PI
9
L. SUáREZ
 9.0
10
L. MESSI
SUBSTITUTES · PHILADELPHIA UNION
51
M. Jakupovic
F
14
Jeremy Rafan...
M
16
B. Bender
M
33
Q. Sullivan
M
28
A. Anello
F
11
A. Bedoya
M
5
J. Sery Lars...
D
76
A. Rick
G
23
E. Alladoh
F
COACH: Ryan Richter
SUBSTITUTES · INTER MIAMI
22
D. Ayala
M
41
D. Ruíz
M
59
Preston Plam...
M
88
A. Shaw
M
4
F. Mura
D
32
Noah Allen
D
15
F. Caicedo
D
34
R. Ríos Novo
G
54
Lovens Delin...
F
COACH: Guillermo Hoyos Angel
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

INT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Filip Dujic, Canada
—
PHI MANAGER
Ryan Richter
head coach
INT MANAGER
Guillermo Hoyos Angel
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
PHI WINS
2
DRAWS
6
INT WINS
20%
20%
60%
17 – 24
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
4.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
24 May 2026
Inter Miami
6 – 4
Philadelphia Union
L
24 May 2025
Philadelphia Union
3 – 3
Inter Miami
D
29 Mar 2025
Inter Miami
2 – 1
Philadelphia Union
L
14 Sep 2024
Inter Miami
3 – 1
Philadelphia Union
L
15 Jun 2024
Philadelphia Union
1 – 2
Inter Miami
L
PHILADELPHIA UNION LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W W
INTER MIAMI LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
PHILADELPHIA UNION #12
Lost · already at 21 pts
INTER MIAMI #2
Lost · already at 39 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+13
    Card · Red Card · Y. Bright
  • 90'+13
    Card · Red Card · Cavan Sullivan
  • 90'+13
    Card · Yellow Card · Q. Sullivan
  • 90'+9
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Daniel Pinter
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · E. Alladoh
  • 87'
    Card · Yellow Card · M. Iloski
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · J. Bueno
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · B. Damiani
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · T. Segovia
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Reguilón
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · I. Vassilev
  • 62'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · M. Iloski
  • 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Neil Pierre
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · I. Fray
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · Reguilón
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 2
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · K. Wagner
  • 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal · L. Messi
  • 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Daniel Pinter
  • 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal · I. Vassilev
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PHILADELPHIA UNI WIN
2.30
43.5% implied
↑ best 2.36
DRAW
4.08
24.5% implied
↑ best 4.35
INTER MIAMI WIN
2.59
38.6% implied
↑ best 2.67

Market favors Philadelphia Union. AI projects DRAW 48% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.28 4.10 2.56 +23.6%
888Sport 2.20 4.00 2.50 +23.0%
Bet365 2.35 4.10 2.60 +23.6%
Betano 2.32 4.10 2.67 +23.6%
Betfair 2.30 4.20 2.55 +24.2%
BetVictor 2.25 4.10 2.63 +23.6%
Dafabet 2.36 4.20 2.65 +24.2%
Marathonbet 2.21 4.10 2.67 +23.6%
Pinnacle 2.35 4.35 2.65 +25.0%
SBO 2.30 3.84 2.54 +22.0%
Superbet 2.35 4.00 2.65 +23.0%
Unibet 2.35 3.95 2.55 +22.7%
William Hill 2.25 4.00 2.50 +23.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 7.19
2.5 O 1.33 U 3.20
3.5 O 1.86 U 1.92
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.33 10 bks
NO
3.13 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.78
Away -0.5 1.61
Away -0.75 1.47
Away -1 1.31
Away -1.25 1.27
Away -1.5 1.22
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.