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Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · GROUP 5 - 32 · SUN, 26 APR · 15:00 LOCAL
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PERALADA
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME
CAN VIDALET
⚽ 5' L. Busquets
GOALS
⚽ 11' R. Valenzuela
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 44/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
PER
1 – 1
CAN
most likely scoreline · 14.9% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 48%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
PER WIN 38%
DRAW 48%
CAN WIN 14%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
BTTS YES

AI projects 78% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 78% BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Tied at 71' with 19 minutes left; draw is most likely outcome given current stalemate and no momentum signals.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY PERALADA CHALLENGED
38%
1-1 tie at minute 71 — draw baseline heavily favored with low time remaining
CONTEXT
No recent form data or season stats available for either team — confidence substantially reduced
CONTEXT
Both teams appear evenly matched in-match; no xG or tactical asymmetry evident
CONTEXT
WHY CAN VIDALET CHALLENGED
14%
1-1 tie at minute 71 — draw baseline heavily favored with low time remaining
CONTEXT
No recent form data or season stats available for either team — confidence substantially reduced
CONTEXT
Both teams appear evenly matched in-match; no xG or tactical asymmetry evident
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 1-1 tie at minute 71 — draw baseline heavily favored with low time remaining
  • No recent form data or season stats available for either team — confidence substantially reduced
  • Both teams appear evenly matched in-match; no xG or tactical asymmetry evident
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 5' L. BUSQUET ⚽ 11' R. VALENZU
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.2
5.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.9
13.4
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
·
2
8.2
7.4
3.3
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
3.0
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.9%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.4%
0 — 1 12.2%
2 — 0 8.2%
Top 5 = 62.2% · rest 37.8%