GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 39% · Value: Over 2.5 68%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Champions League · SEMI-FINALS · TUE, 28 APR · 19:00 LOCAL
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN
11TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5:
W W L W W
90'
5 – 4
HT · 3-2
BAYERN MüNCHEN
W W W W W
· 2ND · 21 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 24' Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ⚽ 33' João Neves ⚽ 45+5' Ousmane Dembélé (P) ⚽ 56' Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ⚽ 58' Ousmane Dembélé
GOALS
⚽ 17' Harry Kane (P) ⚽ 41' Michael Olise ⚽ 65' Dayot Upamecano ⚽ 68' Luis Díaz
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Paris Saint Germain · 84'

LIVE
ATK · PARIS BAYERN M PARIS SA

Real ball density · 200 samples · brighter dots = more recent · arrow shows attack direction · SportMonks broadcast

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand REAL PRESSURE

PARIS SA BAYERN M
⚽ 65' ⚽ 68' PARIS SAIN BAYERN Mü 60' 75' 90'
Per-minute pressure 0–100 · 31 samples
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 90'

1.91
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.42
44%
BALL POSSESSION %
56%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
8
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
2
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 12'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Marquinhos
    PAR
  2. 17'
    Goal · Penalty
    Harry Kane
    BAY
  3. 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · assist Désiré Doué
    PAR
  4. 33'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    João Neves · assist Ousmane Dembélé
    PAR
  5. 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Michael Olise · assist Aleksandar Pavlović
    BAY
  6. 45'+5
    Goal · Penalty
    Ousmane Dembélé
    PAR
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Alphonso Davies · assist Konrad Laimer
    BAY
  8. 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · assist Achraf Hakimi
    PAR
  9. 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ousmane Dembélé · assist Désiré Doué
    PAR
  10. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Warren Zaïre-Emery · assist Fabián Ruiz
    PAR
  11. 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Dayot Upamecano · assist Joshua Kimmich
    BAY
  12. 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luis Díaz · assist Harry Kane
    BAY
  13. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Désiré Doué · assist Bradley Barcola
    PAR
  14. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fabián Ruiz
    PAR
  15. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jamal Musiala · assist Leon Goretzka
    BAY
  16. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Achraf Hakimi
    PAR
  17. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · assist Senny Mayulu
    PAR
  18. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Nuno Mendes · assist Lucas Hernandez
    PAR
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.9
xG
2.4
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
5.0
ON TARGET
6.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
4.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
44.0%
POSSESSION %
56.0%
364.0
PASSES
465.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
4.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
8.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
1.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 5 shots
Ousmane Dembélé
2/3
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2/2
BAYERN MüNCHEN 6 shots
Harry Kane
1/2
Michael Olise
2/2
Luis Díaz
1/1
Dayot Upamecano
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.91 – 2.42
1.9 1.5 1 0.5 2.4 0.0 HT 24' 33' 45' 56' 58' 17' 41' 65' 68' H 1.91 A 2.42 KO 30' 60' 90'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 67%
33% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
39
MATVEY SA
25
NUNO MEND
51
WILLIAN P
5
MARQUINHO
2
ACHRAF HA
87
JOãO NEVE
 6.9
17
VITINHA
 6.9
33
WARREN ZA
 8.5
7
KHVICHA K
 8.2
10
OUSMANE D
 7.3
14
DéSIRé DO
1
MANUEL NE
19
ALPHONSO
4
JONATHAN
 6.9
2
DAYOT UPA
44
JOSIP STA
45
ALEKSANDA
 6.9
6
JOSHUA KI
 8.3
14
LUIS DíAZ
10
JAMAL MUS
 7.5
17
MICHAEL O
 8.6
9
HARRY KAN
SUBSTITUTES · PARIS SAINT GERMAIN
24
Senny Mayulu
M
27
Dro Fernánd...
M
9
Gonçalo Ramo...
F
29
Bradley Barc...
F
19
Kang-in Lee
M
21
Lucas Hernan...
D
6
Ilya Zabarny...
D
4
Lucas Berald...
D
89
Renato Marin
G
30
Lucas Cheval...
G
8
Fabián Ruiz
M
49
Ibrahim Mbay...
F
COACH: Enrique Luis
SUBSTITUTES · BAYERN MüNCHEN
8
Leon Goretzk...
M
43
Filip Pavić
D
34
Deniz Ofli
D
21
Hiroki Itō
D
3
Kim Min-jae
D
26
Sven Ulreich
G
40
Jonas Urbig
G
27
Konrad Laime...
M
11
Nicolas Jack...
F
COACH: Vincent Kompany
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BAY · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Sandro Schärer, Switzerland
—
PAR MANAGER
Enrique Luis
head coach
BAY MANAGER
Vincent Kompany
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
PAR WINS
1
DRAWS
7
BAY WINS
20%
10%
70%
7 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
04 Nov 2025
Paris Saint Germain
1 – 2
Bayern München
L
26 Nov 2024
Bayern München
1 – 0
Paris Saint Germain
L
08 Mar 2023
Bayern München
2 – 0
Paris Saint Germain
L
14 Feb 2023
Paris Saint Germain
0 – 1
Bayern München
L
13 Apr 2021
Paris Saint Germain
0 – 1
Bayern München
L
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L W W
BAYERN MüNCHEN LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W W
LIVE IMPACT Currently 5–4 · scenario projection
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN #11
If win holds: 17 pts
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
BAYERN MüNCHEN #2
If loss holds: 21 pts
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 8 8 0 0 +19 24
W W W W W
2 Bayern München 8 7 0 1 +14 21
W W W L W
3 Liverpool 8 6 0 2 +12 18
W W W L W
4 Tottenham 8 5 2 1 +10 17
W W W L W
5 Barcelona 8 5 1 2 +8 16
W W W L D
6 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 +7 16
W W L W D
7 Sporting CP 8 5 1 2 +6 16
W W L W D
8 Manchester City 8 5 1 2 +6 16
W L W L W
9 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 +9 15
L W L W L
10 Inter 8 5 0 3 +8 15
W L L L W
11 Paris Saint Germain 8 4 2 2 +10 14
D L D W L
12 Newcastle 8 4 2 2 +10 14
D W D L W
13 Juventus 8 3 4 1 +4 13
D W W W D
14 Atletico Madrid 8 4 1 3 +2 13
L D W W W
15 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 0 13
L L W W W
16 Bayer Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 -1 12
W L D W W
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 3 2 3 +2 11
L L D W L
18 Olympiakos Piraeus 8 3 2 3 -4 11
W W W L D
19 Club Brugge KV 8 3 1 4 -2 10
W W L L D
20 Galatasaray 8 3 1 4 -2 10
L D L L W
21 Monaco 8 2 4 2 -6 10
D L W D W
22 Qarabag 8 3 1 4 -8 10
L W L L D
23 Bodo/Glimt 8 2 3 3 -1 9
W W D L L
24 Benfica 8 3 0 5 -2 9
W L W W L
25 Marseille 8 3 0 5 -3 9
L L W W L
26 Pafos 8 2 3 3 -3 9
W L L D W
27 Union St. Gilloise 8 3 0 5 -9 9
W L L W L
28 PSV Eindhoven 8 2 2 4 0 8
L L L W D
29 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 -5 8
L W D D L
30 Napoli 8 2 2 4 -6 8
L D L W D
31 FC Copenhagen 8 2 2 4 -9 8
L D W W L
32 Ajax 8 2 0 6 -13 6
L W W L L
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 -11 4
L L L L D
34 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 -14 3
L L L D L
35 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 -13 1
L L L L L
36 Kairat Almaty 8 0 1 7 -15 1
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Nuno Mendes
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Achraf Hakimi
    Roughing
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jamal Musiala
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Fabián Ruiz
    Foul
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Désiré Doué
  • 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luis Díaz
  • 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Dayot Upamecano
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Warren Zaïre-Emery
  • 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ousmane Dembélé
  • 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Alphonso Davies
  • HALF TIME · 3 – 2
  • 45'+5
    Goal · Penalty · Ousmane Dembélé
  • 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Michael Olise
  • 33'
    Goal · Normal Goal · João Neves
  • 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  • 17'
    Goal · Penalty · Harry Kane
  • 12'
    Card · Yellow Card · Marquinhos
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PARIS SAINT GERM WIN
2.43
41.2% implied
↑ best 2.51
DRAW
3.89
25.7% implied
↑ best 4.03
BAYERN MüNCHEN WIN
2.63
38% implied
↑ best 2.80

Market favors Paris Saint Germain. AI projects PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 39% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 39% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.40 3.80 2.55 -1.2%
1xBet 2.51 4.03 2.71 +1.1%
888Sport 2.40 3.70 2.60 -0.5%
Bet365 2.45 4.00 2.60 -0.5%
Betano 2.50 4.00 2.67 +0.5%
Betfair 2.45 3.90 2.63 0.0%
BetVictor 2.40 3.90 2.60 -0.5%
Dafabet 2.32 3.95 2.80 +2.3%
Marathonbet 2.49 4.00 2.69 +0.8%
Pinnacle 2.49 4.02 2.65 +0.3%
SBO 2.38 3.73 2.54 -1.4%
Unibet 2.45 3.90 2.55 -1.2%
William Hill 2.40 3.70 2.60 -0.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 6.11
2.5 O 1.40 U 2.85
3.5 O 2.01 U 1.81
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.36 10 bks
NO
2.95 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.74
Away -0.5 1.57
Away -0.75 1.42
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.24
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.