GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · ARSENAL 37%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Champions League · FINAL · SAT, 30 MAY · 16:00 LOCAL
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN
11TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W D D
PEN
1 – 1
AFTER PENALTIES HT · 0-1
ARSENAL
W W W W W
· 1ST · 24 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 1' Gonçalo Ramos ⚽ 3' Désiré Doué ⚽ 7' Achraf Hakimi ⚽ 9' Lucas Beraldo
GOALS
⚽ 2' Viktor Gyökeres ⚽ 6' Kai Havertz ⚽ 6' Declan Rice ⚽ 8' Gabriel Martinelli
Declan Rice
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Declan Rice
Arsenal · 120 mins
· 31% pass acc
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

159%
BALL POSSESSION %
98%
21
TOTAL SHOTS
7
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
806%
PASS ACCURACY %
196%
11
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 27 events
  1. 1'
    Goal · 1-0
    Gonçalo Ramos
    PAR
  2. 2'
    Goal · 1-1
    Viktor Gyökeres
    ARS
  3. 3'
    Goal · 2-1
    Désiré Doué
    PAR
  4. 6'
    Goal · 0-1
    Kai Havertz · assist Leandro Trossard
    ARS
  5. 6'
    Goal · 2-2
    Declan Rice
    ARS
  6. 7'
    Goal · 3-2
    Achraf Hakimi
    PAR
  7. 8'
    Goal · 3-3
    Gabriel Martinelli
    ARS
  8. 9'
    Goal · 4-3
    Lucas Beraldo
    PAR
  9. 46'
    Card · Time wasting
    Cristhian Mosquera
    ARS
  10. 54'
    Card · Foul
    Bukayo Saka
    ARS
  11. 65'
    Penalty · 1-1
    PAR
  12. 66'
    Subst
    Viktor Gyökeres
    ARS
  13. 66'
    Subst
    ARS
  14. 83'
    Subst
    Bradley Barcola · assist Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
    PAR
  15. 83'
    Subst
    Noni Madueke · assist Bukayo Saka
    ARS
  16. 83'
    Subst
    Gabriel Martinelli · assist Leandro Trossard
    ARS
  17. 90'+6
    Card · Foul
    João Neves
    PAR
  18. 90'+6
    Subst
    Gonçalo Ramos
    PAR
  19. 91'
    Subst
    Martín Zubimendi · assist Myles Lewis-Skelly
    ARS
  20. 91'
    Subst
    Eberechi Eze · assist Kai Havertz
    ARS
  21. 95'
    Subst
    Warren Zaïre-Emery · assist Fabián Ruiz
    PAR
  22. 98'
    Card · Foul
    Viktor Gyökeres
    ARS
  23. 103'
    Card · Argument
    Declan Rice
    ARS
  24. 103'
    Card · Argument
    ARS
  25. 106'
    Subst
    Ilya Zabarnyi · assist Marquinhos
    PAR
  26. 106'
    Subst
    Lucas Beraldo · assist Vitinha
    PAR
  27. 118'
    Card · Foul
    Nuno Mendes
    PAR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN AVG 7.4
ARSENAL AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs ARS
ATTACK
21.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
4.0
ON TARGET
1.0
17.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
5.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
159.0%
POSSESSION %
98.0%
887.0
PASSES
285.0
806.0%
PASS ACCURACY
196.0%
SET PIECES
11.0
CORNERS
3.0
8.0
OFFSIDES
10.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
17.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
0.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 6 shots
Ousmane Dembélé
1/3
Désiré Doué
1/2
João Neves
0/1
ARSENAL 1 shots
Kai Havertz
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% ARS
12
EVENTS LOGGED
15
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
39
MATVEY SA
 7.3
25
NUNO MEND
51
WILLIAN P
5
MARQUINHO
2
ACHRAF HA
8
FABIáN RU
17
VITINHA
 7.6
87
JOãO NEVE
 7.3
7
KHVICHA K
 7.3
10
OUSMANE D
 7.3
14
DéSIRé DO
 7.0
1
DAVID RAY
5
PIERO HIN
 7.0
6
GABRIEL M
2
WILLIAM S
3
CRISTHIAN
49
MYLES LEW
 7.7
41
DECLAN RI
19
LEANDRO T
 6.7
8
MARTIN ØD
7
BUKAYO SA
 7.3
29
KAI HAVER
SUBSTITUTES · PARIS SAINT GERMAIN
19
Kang-in Lee
M
6
Ilya Zabarny...
D
29
Bradley Barc...
F
4
Lucas Berald...
D
21
Lucas Hernán...
D
27
Dro Fernánd...
M
24
Senny Mayulu
M
33
Warren Zaïre...
M
9
Gonçalo Ramo...
F
89
Renato Marin
G
30
Lucas Cheval...
G
49
Ibrahim Mbay...
F
COACH: Enrique Luis
SUBSTITUTES · ARSENAL
56
Max Dowman
M
16
Christian Nø...
M
23
Mikel Merino
M
10
Eberechi Eze
M
36
Martín Zubim...
M
12
Jurriën Timb...
D
11
Gabriel Mart...
F
20
Noni Madueke
F
14
Viktor Gyöke...
F
9
Gabriel Jesu...
F
13
Kepa Arrizab...
G
33
Riccardo Cal...
D
COACH: Mikel Arteta
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ARS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Daniel Siebert, Germany
—
PAR MANAGER
Enrique Luis
head coach
ARS MANAGER
Mikel Arteta
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
PAR WINS
3
DRAWS
2
ARS WINS
28.6%
42.9%
28.6%
8 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 7 MEETINGS
2.86
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 7
07 May 2025
Paris Saint Germain
2 – 1
Arsenal
W
29 Apr 2025
Arsenal
0 – 1
Paris Saint Germain
W
01 Oct 2024
Arsenal
2 – 0
Paris Saint Germain
L
23 Nov 2016
Arsenal
2 – 2
Paris Saint Germain
D
13 Sep 2016
Paris Saint Germain
1 – 1
Arsenal
D
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W D D
ARSENAL LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN #11
Lost · already at 14 pts
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
ARSENAL #1
Lost · already at 24 pts
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 8 8 0 0 +19 24
W W W W W
2 Bayern München 8 7 0 1 +14 21
W W W L W
3 Liverpool 8 6 0 2 +12 18
W W W L W
4 Tottenham 8 5 2 1 +10 17
W W W L W
5 Barcelona 8 5 1 2 +8 16
W W W L D
6 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 +7 16
W W L W D
7 Sporting CP 8 5 1 2 +6 16
W W L W D
8 Manchester City 8 5 1 2 +6 16
W L W L W
9 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 +9 15
L W L W L
10 Inter 8 5 0 3 +8 15
W L L L W
11 Paris Saint Germain 8 4 2 2 +10 14
D L D W L
12 Newcastle 8 4 2 2 +10 14
D W D L W
13 Juventus 8 3 4 1 +4 13
D W W W D
14 Atletico Madrid 8 4 1 3 +2 13
L D W W W
15 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 0 13
L L W W W
16 Bayer Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 -1 12
W L D W W
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 3 2 3 +2 11
L L D W L
18 Olympiakos Piraeus 8 3 2 3 -4 11
W W W L D
19 Club Brugge KV 8 3 1 4 -2 10
W W L L D
20 Galatasaray 8 3 1 4 -2 10
L D L L W
21 Monaco 8 2 4 2 -6 10
D L W D W
22 Qarabag 8 3 1 4 -8 10
L W L L D
23 Bodo/Glimt 8 2 3 3 -1 9
W W D L L
24 Benfica 8 3 0 5 -2 9
W L W W L
25 Marseille 8 3 0 5 -3 9
L L W W L
26 Pafos 8 2 3 3 -3 9
W L L D W
27 Union St. Gilloise 8 3 0 5 -9 9
W L L W L
28 PSV Eindhoven 8 2 2 4 0 8
L L L W D
29 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 -5 8
L W D D L
30 Napoli 8 2 2 4 -6 8
L D L W D
31 FC Copenhagen 8 2 2 4 -9 8
L D W W L
32 Ajax 8 2 0 6 -13 6
L W W L L
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 -11 4
L L L L D
34 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 -14 3
L L L D L
35 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 -13 1
L L L L L
36 Kairat Almaty 8 0 1 7 -15 1
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 118'
    Card · Foul · Nuno Mendes
    6th Yellowcard
  • 106'
    Subst · Lucas Beraldo
    10th Substitution
  • 106'
    Subst · Ilya Zabarnyi
    11th Substitution
  • 103'
    Card · Argument
    7th Yellowcard
  • 103'
    Card · Argument · Declan Rice
    5th Yellowcard
  • 98'
    Card · Foul · Viktor Gyökeres
    4th Yellowcard
  • 95'
    Subst · Warren Zaïre-Emery
    9th Substitution
  • 91'
    Subst · Eberechi Eze
    7th Substitution
  • 91'
    Subst · Martín Zubimendi
    8th Substitution
  • 90'+6
    Subst · Gonçalo Ramos
    6th Substitution
  • 90'+6
    Card · Foul · João Neves
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 83'
    Subst · Gabriel Martinelli
    5th Substitution
  • 83'
    Subst · Noni Madueke
    4th Substitution
  • 83'
    Subst · Bradley Barcola
    3rd Substitution
  • 66'
    Subst
    2nd Substitution
  • 66'
    Subst · Viktor Gyökeres
    1st Substitution
  • 65'
    Penalty · 1-1
    1st Penalty
  • 54'
    Card · Foul · Bukayo Saka
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Card · Time wasting · Cristhian Mosquera
    1st Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 9'
    Goal · 4-3 · Lucas Beraldo
    Scored
  • 8'
    Goal · 3-3 · Gabriel Martinelli
    Scored
  • 7'
    Goal · 3-2 · Achraf Hakimi
    Scored
  • 6'
    Goal · 2-2 · Declan Rice
    Scored
  • 6'
    Goal · 0-1 · Kai Havertz
    1st Goal
  • 3'
    Goal · 2-1 · Désiré Doué
    Scored
  • 2'
    Goal · 1-1 · Viktor Gyökeres
    Scored
  • 1'
    Goal · 1-0 · Gonçalo Ramos
    Scored
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PARIS SAINT GERM WIN
2.40
41.7% implied
↑ best 2.49
DRAW
3.26
30.7% implied
↑ best 3.38
ARSENAL WIN
3.05
32.8% implied
↑ best 3.18

Market favors Paris Saint Germain. AI projects ARSENAL 37%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ARSENAL 37% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X ARS EDGE
10Bet 2.30 3.30 3.00 +3.7%
1xBet 2.49 3.34 3.18 +5.6%
888Sport 2.40 3.10 3.00 +3.7%
Bet365 2.40 3.30 3.00 +3.7%
Betano 2.47 3.35 3.15 +5.3%
Betfair 2.40 3.30 3.00 +3.7%
BetVictor 2.40 3.30 3.00 +3.7%
Dafabet 2.30 3.25 3.15 +5.3%
Marathonbet 2.47 3.32 3.15 +5.3%
Pinnacle 2.46 3.38 3.13 +5.1%
SBO 2.26 3.00 2.82 +1.5%
Unibet 2.43 3.30 3.10 +4.7%
William Hill 2.40 3.10 3.00 +3.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.35 U 3.07
2.5 O 2.10 U 1.75
3.5 O 3.78 U 1.25
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.85 10 bks
NO
1.92 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.80
Away -0.5 1.60
Away -0.75 1.41
Away -1 1.24
Away -1.25 1.19
Away -1.5 1.15
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.