GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 60% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 71 FULL ANALYSIS →
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SUN, 17 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
PARIS FC
11TH · 44 PTS · LAST 5:
L W L W W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN
D W W D D
· 1ST · 76 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 76' Alimami Gory ⚽ 90+4' Alimami Gory
GOALS
⚽ 50' Bradley Barcola
Matvey Safonov
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Matvey Safonov
Paris Saint Germain · 88 mins
· 23% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Ligue 1: Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.25
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.61
37%
BALL POSSESSION %
63%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
8
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
3
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 27'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ousmane Dembélé · assist Gonçalo Ramos
    PAR
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Dimitri Lucea · assist Dro Fernández
    PAR
  3. 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Bradley Barcola · assist Fabián Ruiz
    PAR
  4. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Warren Zaïre-Emery · assist Kang-in Lee
    PAR
  5. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Bradley Barcola · assist Ibrahim Mbaye
    PAR
  6. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · assist Senny Mayulu
    PAR
  7. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Moses Simon · assist Maxime López
    PAR
  8. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jonathan Ikoné · assist Alimami Gory
    PAR
  9. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Marshall Munetsi · assist Ilan Kebbal
    PAR
  10. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Willem Geubbels · assist Luca Koleosho
    PAR
  11. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Vitinha · assist João Neves
    PAR
  12. 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alimami Gory · assist Pierre Lees Melou
    PAR
  13. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Rudy Matondo · assist Vincent Marchetti
    PAR
  14. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Otávio · assist Hamari Traoré
    PAR
  15. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Maxime López
    PAR
  16. 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alimami Gory · assist Ilan Kebbal
    PAR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PARIS FC AVG 7.2
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.3
xG
0.6
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
8.0
ON TARGET
2.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
3.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
37.0%
POSSESSION %
63.0%
393.0
PASSES
676.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
1.0
7.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
9.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
1.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PARIS FC 7 shots
Marshall Munetsi
1/3
Alimami Gory
2/2
Pierre Lees Melou
0/1
Moses Simon
1/1
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.25 – 0.61
1 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.3 0.0 HT 76' 90' 50' H 1.25 A 0.61 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-3-3
4-4-2
4-3-3
35
KEVIN TRA
 7.2
6
OTáVIO
42
DIEGO COP
31
SAMIR SOP
17
ADAMA CAM
 6.9
27
MOSES SIM
 7.2
33
PIERRE LE
23
RUDY MATO
93
JONATHAN
9
WILLEM GE
 7.2
18
MARSHALL
 8.3
39
MATVEY SA
54
DIMITRI L
 7.2
5
MARQUINHO
 7.5
6
ILYA ZABA
33
WARREN ZA
 7.2
8
FABIáN RU
 7.2
4
LUCAS BER
17
VITINHA
7
KHVICHA K
10
OUSMANE D
29
BRADLEY B
SUBSTITUTES · PARIS FC
28
Thibault De...
D
14
Hamari Traor...
D
16
Obed Nkambad...
G
4
Vincent Marc...
M
24
Luca Koleosh...
F
7
Alimami Gory
F
21
Maxime López
M
10
Ilan Kebbal
M
13
Mathieu Cafa...
M
COACH: Antoine Kombouare
SUBSTITUTES · PARIS SAINT GERMAIN
21
Lucas Hernán...
D
89
Renato Marin
G
87
João Neves
M
49
Ibrahim Mbay...
F
19
Kang-in Lee
M
24
Senny Mayulu
M
27
Dro Fernánd...
M
9
Gonçalo Ramo...
F
14
Désiré Doué
F
COACH: Enrique Luis
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

PAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
G. Paradis
—
PAR MANAGER
Antoine Kombouare
head coach
PAR MANAGER
Enrique Luis
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
PAR WINS
0
DRAWS
2
PAR WINS
33.3%
66.7%
3 – 4
TOTAL GOALS · 3 MEETINGS
2.33
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 3
12 Jan 2026
Paris Saint Germain
0 – 1
Paris FC
W
04 Jan 2026
Paris Saint Germain
2 – 1
Paris FC
L
PARIS FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W W
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
PARIS FC #11
Won · already at 44 pts
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN #1
Lost · already at 76 pts
Champions League
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain 34 24 4 6 +45 76
L W W D W
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 +31 70
W L W D D
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 +15 61
L W D W D
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 +13 60
L L W W W
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 +18 59
W W L D L
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 +9 59
L W L W W
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 +6 54
L L W D D
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 +11 53
W W D L W
9 Lorient 34 11 12 11 -3 45
L W D L W
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 +1 44
W W D L L
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 -3 44
W L W L W
12 Stade Brestois 29 34 10 9 15 -12 39
D L L L D
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 -19 36
D D L L D
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 -12 35
W L D D D
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 -10 34
W W W L D
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 -23 32
D D L D D
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 -23 23
L W L L D
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 -44 17
D L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alimami Gory
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Maxime López
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Otávio
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Rudy Matondo
  • 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alimami Gory
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Vitinha
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Willem Geubbels
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Marshall Munetsi
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jonathan Ikoné
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Moses Simon
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Bradley Barcola
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Warren Zaïre-Emery
  • 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Bradley Barcola
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Dimitri Lucea
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 27'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ousmane Dembélé
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PARIS FC WIN
4.81
20.8% implied
↑ best 5.08
DRAW
4.48
22.3% implied
↑ best 4.72
PARIS SAINT GERM WIN
1.61
62.1% implied
↑ best 1.67

Market favors Paris Saint Germain. AI projects PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 60% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 60% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.85 4.45 1.57 -1.5%
1xBet 5.08 4.72 1.65 -0.2%
888Sport 4.50 4.20 1.62 -1.7%
Bet365 4.75 4.50 1.60 -1.2%
Betano 4.80 4.65 1.67 +0.1%
Betfair 4.75 4.40 1.57 -1.7%
BetVictor 5.00 4.50 1.57 -1.0%
Dafabet 4.70 4.60 1.64 -0.7%
Marathonbet 5.00 4.65 1.62 -0.5%
Pinnacle 4.89 4.68 1.62 -0.4%
SBO 4.65 4.33 1.57 -2.1%
Unibet 5.00 4.40 1.55 -1.0%
William Hill 4.50 4.20 1.62 -1.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.10 U 6.24
2.5 O 1.39 U 2.89
3.5 O 2.01 U 1.80
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.43 10 bks
NO
2.62 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.21
Away -0.5 1.18
Away -0.75 1.09
Away -1 1.01
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.25
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.