AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–1 · CROATIA 64%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 2 · TUE, 23 JUN · 23:00 LOCAL
PANAMA
11TH · 0 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L
FT
0 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
CROATIA
L W L W D
· 7TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 54' Ante Budimir
Josip Šutalo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Josip Šutalo
Croatia · 49 mins
· 46% pass acc
RATING
7.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.06
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.05
36%
BALL POSSESSION %
64%
1
TOTAL SHOTS
2
0
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
0
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Petar Musa · assist Ante Budimir
    CRO
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Joško Gvardiol · assist A. Kramarić
    CRO
  3. 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ante Budimir · assist Josip Stanišić
    CRO
  4. 61'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yoel Bárcenas
    PAN
  5. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Marco Pašalić · assist Luka Sučić
    CRO
  6. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Mateo Kovačić · assist P. Sučić
    CRO
  7. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    J. Ramos · assist C. Waterman
    PAN
  8. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Luka Modrić · assist Mario Pašalić
    CRO
  9. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    J. Fajardo · assist A. Londoño
    PAN
  10. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    César Blackman · assist É. Davis
    PAN
  11. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Yoel Bárcenas · assist T. Rodríguez
    PAN
  12. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    P. Sučić
    CRO
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PANAMA AVG 6.9
CROATIA AVG 6.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.1
xG
0.1
1.0
TOTAL SHOTS
2.0
0.0
ON TARGET
1.0
0.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
1.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
36.0%
POSSESSION %
64.0%
172.0
PASSES
310.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
0.0
CORNERS
1.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
5.0
1.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PANAMA 0 shots

No shots recorded.

CROATIA 1 shots
Luka Modrić
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.060.05
0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.0 HT 54' H 0.06 A 0.05 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 42%
58% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
SUBSTITUTES · PANAMA
10
Ismael Díaz
F
19
A. Quintero
F
20
Aníbal Godoy
M
21
C. Yanis
F
24
A. Londoño
F
9
T. Rodríguez
F
8
A. Carrasqui...
M
26
J. Gutiérrez
D
25
R. Miller
D
15
É. Davis
D
5
E. Fariña
D
4
F. Escobar
D
12
C. Samudio
G
1
L. Mejía
G
18
C. Waterman
F
COACH: Thomas Christiansen
SUBSTITUTES · CROATIA
15
Mario Pašali...
M
17
P. Sučić
M
19
Toni Fruk
M
21
Luka Sučić
M
9
A. Kramarić
F
11
Ante Budimir
F
13
Nikola Vlaši...
M
7
Nikola Moro
M
18
K. Jakić
M
25
Martin Erlić
D
22
L. Vušković
D
5
Duje Ćaleta-...
D
23
Dominik Kota...
G
12
Ivor Pandur
G
20
Igor Matanov...
F
COACH: Zlatko Dalic
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CRO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Pierre Ghislain Atcho, Gabon
PAN MANAGER
Thomas Christiansen
head coach
CRO MANAGER
Zlatko Dalic
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
PAN WINS
1
DRAWS
0
CRO WINS
100%
PANAMA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L
CROATIA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
PANAMA #4
Lost · already at 0 pts
CROATIA #2
Won · already at 6 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · P. Sučić
    Tripping
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Yoel Bárcenas
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · César Blackman
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · J. Fajardo
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Luka Modrić
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · J. Ramos
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Mateo Kovačić
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Marco Pašalić
  • 61'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yoel Bárcenas
    Roughing
  • 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ante Budimir
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Joško Gvardiol
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Petar Musa
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
PANAMA WIN
7.30
13.7% implied
↑ best 8.00
DRAW
4.44
22.5% implied
↑ best 4.70
CROATIA WIN
1.45
69% implied
↑ best 1.55

Market favors Croatia. AI projects CROATIA 64%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CROATIA 64% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 7.10 4.40 1.43 -0.1%
1xBet 7.95 4.70 1.48 +1.4%
888Sport 6.50 4.20 1.40 -1.4%
Bet365 7.50 4.33 1.45 +0.7%
Betano 7.40 4.40 1.50 +0.5%
Betfair 7.50 4.60 1.40 +0.7%
BetVictor 7.50 4.60 1.40 +0.7%
Dafabet 6.20 3.95 1.55 -0.5%
Marathonbet 7.90 4.65 1.46 +1.3%
Pinnacle 8.00 4.65 1.45 +1.5%
SBO 7.00 4.44 1.46 -0.3%
Superbet 6.70 4.60 1.48 +0.3%
Unibet 8.00 4.50 1.42 +1.5%
William Hill 7.00 4.20 1.44 -0.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.33
2.5 O 1.67 U 2.21
3.5 O 2.62 U 1.46
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.83 11 bks
NO
1.93 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.12
Away -0.5 1.10
Away -0.75 1.02
Away -1 1.01
Away -1.5 1.01
Away +0 1.14
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.