GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · ELCHE 40% · Value: BTTS Yes 62%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SUN, 26 APR · 14:15 LOCAL
OVIEDO
20TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W L W
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
ELCHE
W W L W L
· 14TH · 38 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 76' Ilyas Chaira
GOALS
⚽ 6' P. Bigas ⚽ 16' Gonzalo Villar
Gonzalo Villar
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Gonzalo Villar
Elche · 91 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 31% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
La Liga: Oviedo vs Elche
Watch on Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.05
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.41
60%
BALL POSSESSION %
40%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
4
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
6
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 6'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    P. Bigas · assist M. Aguado
    ELC
  2. 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gonzalo Villar · assist A. Rodriguez
    ELC
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kwasi Sibo · assist Thiago Fernández
    OVI
  4. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Abdel Rahim · assist Santi Cazorla
    OVI
  5. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Haissem Hassan · assist Thiago Borbas
    OVI
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Hector Fort · assist Tete Morente
    ELC
  7. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nicolas Fonseca
    OVI
  8. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    David Carmo · assist Javi López
    OVI
  9. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    M. Aguado · assist John Donald
    ELC
  10. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Andre Silva · assist G. Valera
    ELC
  11. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Thiago Fernández
    OVI
  12. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Nicolas Fonseca · assist Santiago Colombatto
    OVI
  13. 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ilyas Chaira · assist Aarón Escandell
    OVI
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    A. Pedrosa · assist Léo Pétrot
    ELC
  15. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Buba Sangare · assist V. Chust
    ELC
  16. 90'+5
    Card · Red Card
    G. Valera
    ELC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
OVIEDO AVG 7.2
ELCHE AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.1
xG
0.4
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
4.0
4.0
ON TARGET
4.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
0.0
4.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
60.0%
POSSESSION %
40.0%
443.0
PASSES
304.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
1.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
21.0
FOULS
14.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
OVIEDO 7 shots
Ilyas Chaira
3/5
Federico Viñas
0/2
ELCHE 3 shots
Gonzalo Villar
1/1
P. Bigas
1/1
Andre Silva
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.05 – 0.41
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.0 HT 76' 6' 16' H 1.05 A 0.41 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 5-3-2
4-2-3-1
5-3-2
7.0
13
AARóN ESC
3
ABDEL RAH
16
DAVID CAR
4
DAVID COS
22
NACHO VID
 7.2
23
NICOLAS F
6
KWASI SIB
 7.7
7
ILYAS CHA
5
ALBERTO R
10
HAISSEM H
 7.0
9
FEDERICO
 7.6
1
MATíAS DI
3
A. PEDROS
 8.0
6
P. BIGAS
22
DAVID AFF
42
BUBA SANG
39
HECTOR FO
14
ALEIX FEB
 7.0
8
M. AGUADO
 8.3
12
GONZALO V
20
A. RODRIG
 6.9
9
ANDRE SIL
SUBSTITUTES · OVIEDO
12
Dani Calvo
D
24
Lucas Ahijad...
D
2
Eric Bailly
D
14
Ovie Ejaria
F
1
Horațiu Mold...
G
11
Santiago Col...
M
25
Javi López
D
17
Thiago Borba...
F
8
Santi Cazorl...
M
15
Thiago Ferná...
F
27
Pablo Agudín
M
COACH: Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge
SUBSTITUTES · ELCHE
5
Federico Red...
M
24
L. Cepeda
F
17
Josan
M
19
G. Diangana
F
16
Martim Neto
M
23
V. Chust
D
21
Léo Pétrot
D
13
Iñaki Peña
G
11
G. Valera
F
18
John Donald
D
15
Tete Morente
F
10
R. Mir
F
COACH: Eder Sarabia
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
OVI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ELC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain
—
OVI MANAGER
Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge
head coach
ELC MANAGER
Eder Sarabia
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
OVI WINS
2
DRAWS
4
ELC WINS
40%
20%
40%
12 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 10
21 Sep 2025
Elche
1 – 0
Oviedo
L
OVIEDO LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L W
ELCHE LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
OVIEDO #20
Lost · already at 28 pts
Relegation - LaLiga2
ELCHE #14
Won · already at 38 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 33 28 1 4 +57 85
W W W W W
2 Real Madrid 33 23 5 5 +37 74
D W D L W
3 Villarreal 33 20 5 8 +21 65
W D W L W
4 Atletico Madrid 33 18 6 9 +19 60
W L L L L
5 Real Betis 33 12 14 7 +8 50
D W D D L
6 Getafe 33 13 5 15 -6 44
L W L W W
7 Celta Vigo 33 11 11 11 +2 44
L L L W L
8 Real Sociedad 33 11 10 12 0 43
D L D W L
9 Osasuna 33 11 9 13 -1 42
W L D D W
10 Athletic Club 33 12 5 16 -12 41
L W L L W
11 Rayo Vallecano 33 9 12 12 -8 39
D W L W L
12 Valencia 33 10 9 14 -11 39
W D L L W
13 Espanyol 33 10 9 14 -12 39
D L L D L
14 Elche 33 9 11 13 -6 38
W W W L W
15 Girona 33 9 11 13 -14 38
L L D W L
16 Alaves 33 9 9 15 -11 36
W L D D W
17 Mallorca 33 9 8 16 -10 35
L D W W L
18 Sevilla 33 9 7 17 -15 34
L L W L L
19 Levante 33 8 9 16 -13 33
D W W L W
20 Oviedo 33 6 10 17 -25 28
L D W W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Red Card · G. Valera
    Tripping
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Buba Sangare
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · A. Pedrosa
  • 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ilyas Chaira
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Nicolas Fonseca
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Thiago Fernández
    Roughing
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Andre Silva
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · M. Aguado
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · David Carmo
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nicolas Fonseca
    Tripping
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Hector Fort
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Haissem Hassan
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Abdel Rahim
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kwasi Sibo
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gonzalo Villar
  • 6'
    Goal · Normal Goal · P. Bigas
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
OVIEDO WIN
2.31
43.3% implied
↑ best 2.37
DRAW
3.38
29.6% implied
↑ best 3.56
ELCHE WIN
3.08
32.5% implied
↑ best 3.21

Market favors Oviedo. AI projects ELCHE 40% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ELCHE 40% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.25 3.35 3.05 +7.2%
1xBet 2.37 3.56 3.21 +8.8%
888Sport 2.30 3.25 3.00 +6.7%
Bet365 2.30 3.50 3.00 +6.7%
Betano 2.30 3.40 3.10 +7.7%
Betfair 2.25 3.30 3.00 +6.7%
BetVictor 2.30 3.40 3.10 +7.7%
Dafabet 2.33 3.45 3.10 +7.7%
Marathonbet 2.33 3.50 3.16 +8.4%
Pinnacle 2.34 3.49 3.19 +8.7%
SBO 2.32 3.18 2.98 +6.4%
Unibet 2.33 3.30 3.10 +7.7%
William Hill 2.30 3.25 3.00 +6.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.32 U 3.26
2.5 O 2.01 U 1.81
3.5 O 3.44 U 1.29
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.78 10 bks
NO
1.97 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.86
Away -0.5 1.63
Away -0.75 1.46
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.22
Away -1.5 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.