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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 58% · Value: BTTS Yes 78%
CONF 71 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 19 · SAT, 15 AUG · 23:30 LOCAL
ORLANDO CITY SC
9TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5:
W L L W W
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
FC CINCINNATI
D W W L W
· 6TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 48' T. Spicer
GOALS
⚽ 23' Pavel Bucha
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Pavel Bucha
    FC
  2. 29'
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Jansson
    ORL
  3. 39'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Bernardo Rhein Goncalves · assist A. Gomez
    ORL
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    O. Nwobodo · assist B. Anunga
    FC
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Joran Gerbet · assist Marco Pasalic
    ORL
  6. 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    T. Spicer · assist Justin Ellis
    ORL
  7. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Evander
    FC
  8. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Justin Ellis · assist W. Cartagena
    ORL
  9. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    S. Gidi · assist K. Smith
    FC
  10. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tom Barlow · assist A. Jabbari
    FC
  11. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Bryan Josías Ramírez León · assist K. Mboma Dem
    FC
  12. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    T. Spicer · assist D. Dike
    ORL
  13. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matt Miazga
    FC
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 46%
54% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
Lineups were not recorded for this fixture.
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
ORL WINS
2
DRAWS
5
FC WINS
30%
20%
50%
12 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
23 May 2026
FC Cincinnati
6 – 2
Orlando City SC
L
28 Sep 2025
FC Cincinnati
1 – 1
Orlando City SC
D
28 Jun 2025
Orlando City SC
1 – 2
FC Cincinnati
L
05 Oct 2024
FC Cincinnati
1 – 3
Orlando City SC
W
04 May 2024
Orlando City SC
0 – 1
FC Cincinnati
L
ORLANDO CITY SC LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L W W
FC CINCINNATI LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
ORLANDO CITY SC #9
Lost · already at 24 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
FC CINCINNATI #6
Lost · already at 31 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matt Miazga
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · T. Spicer
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Bryan Josías Ramírez León
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tom Barlow
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · S. Gidi
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Justin Ellis
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · Evander
  • 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal · T. Spicer
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Joran Gerbet
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · O. Nwobodo
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 39'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Bernardo Rhein Goncalves
  • 29'
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Jansson
  • 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Pavel Bucha
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
ORLANDO CITY SC WIN
2.23
44.8% implied
↑ best 2.38
DRAW
4.11
24.3% implied
↑ best 4.30
FC CINCINNATI WIN
2.67
37.5% implied
↑ best 2.85

Market favors Orlando City SC. AI projects DRAW 58% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.12 4.10 2.82 +33.6%
888Sport 2.20 4.00 2.50 +33.0%
Bet365 2.38 4.00 2.60 +33.0%
Betano 2.27 4.10 2.72 +33.6%
Betfair 2.25 4.20 2.70 +34.2%
BetVictor 2.25 4.10 2.63 +33.6%
Dafabet 2.28 4.30 2.70 +34.7%
Marathonbet 2.21 4.10 2.66 +33.6%
Pinnacle 2.30 4.28 2.74 +34.6%
SBO 2.21 3.98 2.59 +32.9%
Unibet 2.08 4.10 2.85 +33.6%
William Hill 2.20 4.00 2.50 +33.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.07 U 8.06
2.5 O 1.27 U 3.58
3.5 O 1.71 U 2.10
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.28 9 bks
NO
3.41 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.81
Away -0.5 1.66
Away -0.75 1.48
Away -1 1.33
Away -1.25 1.28
Away -1.5 1.24
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.