GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · BELGIUM 80% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 3 · SAT, 27 JUN · 03:00 LOCAL
NEW ZEALAND
5TH · 1 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L
FT
1 – 5
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
BELGIUM
L W W D D
· 10TH · 2 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 84' E. Just
GOALS
⚽ 28' L. Trossard ⚽ 50' L. Trossard ⚽ 66' Kevin De Bruyne ⚽ 86' Romelu Lukaku ⚽ 90+4' Alexis Saelemaekers
Kevin De Bruyne
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Kevin De Bruyne
Belgium · 72 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 41% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.24
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
3.59
45%
BALL POSSESSION %
55%
6
TOTAL SHOTS
34
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
9
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
5
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 28'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    L. Trossard
    BEL
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    S. Singh · assist J. Randall
    NEW
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    R. Thomas · assist Benjamin Old
    NEW
  4. 46'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Marko Stamenić
    NEW
  5. 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    L. Trossard · assist Hans Vanaken
    BEL
  6. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    E. Just
    NEW
  7. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jérémy Doku · assist Matías Fernández
    BEL
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    T. Payne · assist Michael Boxall
    NEW
  9. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    J. Bell · assist C. McCowatt
    NEW
  10. 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kevin De Bruyne
    BEL
  11. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    L. Trossard · assist Alexis Saelemaekers
    BEL
  12. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kevin De Bruyne · assist Amadou Onana
    BEL
  13. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Liberato Cacace · assist F. de Vries
    NEW
  14. 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    E. Just
    NEW
  15. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Charles De Ketelaere · assist Romelu Lukaku
    BEL
  16. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Youri Tielemans · assist Nicolas Raskin
    BEL
  17. 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Romelu Lukaku · assist Nicolas Raskin
    BEL
  18. 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alexis Saelemaekers · assist Romelu Lukaku
    BEL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEW ZEALAND AVG 7.0
BELGIUM AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.2
xG
3.6
6.0
TOTAL SHOTS
34.0
2.0
ON TARGET
9.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
13.0
1.0
BLOCKED
12.0
POSSESSION
45.0%
POSSESSION %
55.0%
417.0
PASSES
521.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
8.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
7.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
5.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEW ZEALAND 3 shots
E. Just
2/2
J. Randall
0/1
BELGIUM 8 shots
Kevin De Bruyne
2/4
L. Trossard
2/3
Romelu Lukaku
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.24 – 3.59
2.9 2.2 1.4 0.7 3.6 0.0 HT 84' 28' 50' 66' 86' 90' H 0.24 A 3.59 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
MAX CROCO
13
LIBERATO
4
TYLER BIN
16
FINN SURM
2
T. PAYNE
 6.9
8
MARKO STA
6
J. BELL
 7.3
11
E. JUST
 6.7
23
R. THOMAS
 7.2
10
S. SINGH
9
CHRIS WOO
1
THIBAUT C
5
MAXIM DE
3
A. THEATE
 7.0
4
BRANDON M
21
TIMOTHY C
20
HANS VANA
8
YOURI TIE
 8.3
10
L. TROSSA
 8.9
7
KEVIN DE
11
JéRéMY DO
17
CHARLES D
SUBSTITUTES · NEW ZEALAND
26
T. Smith
D
24
C. Elliot
D
14
A. Rufer
M
25
L. Bayliss
M
7
L. Rogerson
F
17
K. Barbarous...
F
3
F. de Vries
D
15
Nando Pijnak...
D
12
Alex Paulsen
G
22
M. Woud
G
20
C. McCowatt
M
5
Michael Boxa...
D
19
Benjamin Old
F
21
J. Randall
F
18
B. Waine
F
SUBSTITUTES · BELGIUM
19
Diego Moreir...
F
14
Dodi Lukebak...
F
23
Nicolas Rask...
M
6
Axel Witsel
M
22
Alexis Saele...
F
24
Amadou Onana
M
15
Thomas Meuni...
D
16
K. De Winter
D
18
Joaquin Seys
D
13
M. Penders
G
12
S. Lammens
G
26
Matías Ferná...
F
9
Romelu Lukak...
F
COACH: Rudi Garcia
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BEL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Adham Mohammad, Jordan
—
NEW MANAGER
—
unannounced
BEL MANAGER
Rudi Garcia
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
NEW WINS
0
DRAWS
0
BEL WINS
NEW ZEALAND LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L
BELGIUM LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–5 · result locked
NEW ZEALAND #4
Lost · already at 1 pts
BELGIUM #1
Won · already at 5 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alexis Saelemaekers
  • 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Romelu Lukaku
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Youri Tielemans
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Charles De Ketelaere
  • 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal · E. Just
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Liberato Cacace
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kevin De Bruyne
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · L. Trossard
  • 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kevin De Bruyne
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · J. Bell
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · T. Payne
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jérémy Doku
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · E. Just
    Holding
  • 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal · L. Trossard
  • 46'
    Card · Yellow Card · Marko Stamenić
    Tripping
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · R. Thomas
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · S. Singh
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 28'
    Goal · Normal Goal · L. Trossard
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NEW ZEALAND WIN
13.18
7.6% implied
↑ best 15.00
DRAW
7.66
13.1% implied
↑ best 8.00
BELGIUM WIN
1.19
84% implied
↑ best 1.22

Market favors Belgium. AI projects BELGIUM 80% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BELGIUM 80% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 11.50 7.00 1.19 -0.7%
1xBet 14.10 7.85 1.22 +0.9%
888Sport 11.00 6.50 1.18 -1.1%
Bet365 13.00 8.00 1.17 +0.3%
Betano 13.50 7.50 1.22 +0.6%
Betfair 13.00 8.00 1.18 +0.3%
BetVictor 15.00 8.00 1.14 +1.3%
Marathonbet 14.00 7.80 1.21 +0.9%
Pinnacle 13.75 8.00 1.21 +0.7%
SBO 12.50 7.90 1.18 0.0%
Superbet 15.00 8.00 1.17 +1.3%
Unibet 14.00 8.00 1.18 +0.9%
William Hill 11.00 7.00 1.20 -1.1%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.07 U 7.97
2.5 O 1.28 U 3.58
3.5 O 1.72 U 2.15
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.78 11 bks
NO
1.99 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.5 1.03
Away -1.5 1.00
Away +0 1.03
Away +0.25 1.09
Away +0.5 1.16
Away +0.75 1.22
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.