📊 90 MIN TOTALS
Finalised · Match completed
1.34
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
3.41
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
14
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
76%
3
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS
19 events
-
15'NEWGoal · Normal GoalJ. Hall · assist R. Donkor
-
21'NEWGoal · Normal GoalR. Donkor
-
37'DCGoal · Normal GoalT. Baribo · assist J. Hopkins
-
46'NEWSubst · Substitution 1M. Dos Santos · assist Joyeux Masanka Bungi
-
50'NEWCard · Yellow CardA. Mehmeti
-
52'NEWGoal · Normal GoalJ. Ruvalcaba · assist E. Forsberg
-
54'DCGoal · Normal GoalJ. Hopkins · assist Peglow
-
59'DCGoal · Normal GoalT. Baribo · assist Peglow
-
65'NEWSubst · Substitution 2A. Mehmeti · assist Gustav Berggren
-
65'NEWSubst · Substitution 3Rafael Mosquera · assist M. Sofo
-
71'NEWGoal · Normal GoalJ. Ruvalcaba · assist R. Donkor
-
77'DCSubst · Substitution 1Aaron Herrera · assist Caden Clark
-
80'NEWSubst · Substitution 4J. Ruvalcaba · assist E. Choupo-Moting
-
80'DCGoal · Normal GoalT. Baribo · assist S. Hefti
-
81'DCSubst · Substitution 2J. Hopkins · assist Jacob Murrell
-
81'DCSubst · Substitution 3B. Servania · assist Nikola Markovic
-
86'DCCard · Yellow CardM. Peltola
-
90'DCCard · Yellow CardCaden Clark
-
90'+3DCSubst · Substitution 4Peglow · assist J. Stroud
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
0–10 scale
MATCH STATS
H vs A
ATTACK
1.3
xG
3.4
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
5.0
ON TARGET
5.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
6.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
453.0
PASSES
421.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
76.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
13.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total
NEW YORK RED BULLS
6 shots
J. Ruvalcaba
2/3
R. Donkor
1/1
J. Hall
1/1
E. Forsberg
1/1
DC UNITED
9 shots
T. Baribo
3/4
J. Hopkins
2/3
Peglow
0/2
📈 xG RACE
final xG: 1.34 – 3.41
Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG
Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match
⚡ ATTACK SHARE
zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs
9
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
4-4-2

34
E. HORVAT
11
J. RUVALC
16
J. HALL
79
RAFAEL MO
10
E. FORSBE
15
A. MEHMET
48
R. DONKOR
56
M. DOS SA
6
R. VOLODE
12
D. NEALIS
3
JAHKEELE
1
S. JOHNSO
6
K. KUROKA
15
K. ROWLES
3
L. BARTLE
5
S. HEFTI
7
PEGLOW
23
B. SERVAN
4
M. PELTOL
22
AARON HER
9
T. BARIBO
25
J. HOPKIN

20
Juan Mina
D
26
T. Parker
D
39
Nehuen Bened...
M
37
M. Sofo
F
7
C. Cowell
F
4
Gustav Bergg...
M
13
E. Choupo-Mo...
F
77
J. McCarthy
G
23
Joyeux Masan...
M

48
Gavin Turner
M
30
Caden Clark
M
12
Conner Antle...
D
17
Jacob Murrel...
F
77
Hosei Kijima
M
8
J. Stroud
M
26
A. Bono
G
24
Jordan Farr
G
27
Nikola Marko...
D
COACH:
Rene Weiler
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. De Oliveira
—
NEW MANAGER
—
unannounced
DC MANAGER
Rene Weiler
head coach

5
NEW WINS
4
DRAWS

1
DC WINS
50%
40%
10%
21
–
13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS
SHOWING 5 / 10
NEW YORK RED BULLS
LAST 5 OVERALL
D
L
L
W
L
DC UNITED
LAST 5 OVERALL
L
L
D
D
W
MATCH IMPACT
Final 4–4 · result locked

Lost · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Lost · already at 24 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FULL TABLE →
| # | TEAM | P | W | D | L | GD | PTS | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +27 | 40 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | +26 | 49 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 2 |
Houston Dynamo
|
21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | +9 | 39 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
| 3 |
Los Angeles FC
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +14 | 35 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
| 3 |
Chicago Fire
|
20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | +11 | 36 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 4 |
New England Revolution
|
21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | +7 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +6 | 33 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 5 |
FC Dallas
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +4 | 33 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | +6 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 6 |
St. Louis City
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +3 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 6 |
FC Cincinnati
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | +2 | 31 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 7 |
Colorado Rapids
|
21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | +2 | 28 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 7 |
New York City FC
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +5 | 27 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
| 8 |
New York Red Bulls
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -12 | 26 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 8 |
Real Salt Lake
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | +2 | 28 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 9 |
Portland Timbers
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 28 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 9 |
Orlando City SC
|
21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | -17 | 24 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 10 |
Toronto FC
|
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -6 | 24 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
San Diego
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +5 | 27 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 11 |
DC United
|
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -8 | 24 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
| 12 |
Philadelphia Union
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 21 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 12 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -5 | 26 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
| 13 |
Seattle Sounders
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 25 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 13 |
CF Montreal
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -10 | 21 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
| 14 |
Austin
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
| 14 |
Columbus Crew
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 20 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -30 | 15 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 15 |
Atlanta United FC
|
20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -12 | 18 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
UCL Qualification
Europa / Conference
Relegation
COMMENTARY
-
90'+3
Subst · Substitution 4 · Peglow
-
90'
Card · Yellow Card · Caden Clark
-
86'
Card · Yellow Card · M. PeltolaFoul
-
81'
Subst · Substitution 3 · B. Servania
-
81'
Subst · Substitution 2 · J. Hopkins
-
80'
Goal · Normal Goal · T. Baribo
-
80'
Subst · Substitution 4 · J. Ruvalcaba
-
77'
Subst · Substitution 1 · Aaron Herrera
-
71'
Goal · Normal Goal · J. Ruvalcaba
-
65'
Subst · Substitution 3 · Rafael Mosquera
-
65'
Subst · Substitution 2 · A. Mehmeti
-
59'
Goal · Normal Goal · T. Baribo
-
54'
Goal · Normal Goal · J. Hopkins
-
52'
Goal · Normal Goal · J. Ruvalcaba
-
50'
Card · Yellow Card · A. MehmetiFoul
-
46'
Subst · Substitution 1 · M. Dos Santos
- HALF TIME · 2 – 1
-
37'
Goal · Normal Goal · T. Baribo
-
21'
Goal · Normal Goal · R. Donkor
-
15'
Goal · Normal Goal · J. Hall
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NEW YORK RED BUL WIN
1.86
53.8% implied
↑ best 1.93
DRAW
3.69
27.1% implied
↑ best 3.85
DC UNITED WIN
3.90
25.6% implied
↑ best 4.00
MATCH WINNER ODDS
avg across bookmakers
| BOOKMAKER | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.84 | 3.65 | 3.95 |
| 888Sport | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.85 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.89 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.66 | 3.92 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| SBO | 1.87 | 3.50 | 3.73 |
| Unibet | 1.82 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.
📊 OTHER MARKETS
avg across bookmakers
Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5
O 1.22
U 4.08
2.5
O 1.73
U 2.08
3.5
O 2.79
U 1.41
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.65
9 bks
NO
2.13
9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
2.25
Away -0.5
1.94
Away -0.75
1.71
Away -1
1.51
Away -1.25
1.38
Away -1.5
1.32
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT
historical line movement
How the market shifted before kick-off
Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.