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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–2 · NEW YORK RED BULLS 88% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 84 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · WED, 13 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
NEW YORK RED BULLS
8TH · 22 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W D W
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
COLUMBUS CREW
W L W D L
· 11TH · 19 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 7' Julian Hall ⚽ 40' Julian Hall ⚽ 78' Julian Hall
GOALS
⚽ 22' Maximilian Arfsten ⚽ 63' D. Rossi (P)
Julian Hall
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Julian Hall
New York Red Bulls · 85 mins
⚽ 3 goals · 12% pass acc · 4 shots on
RATING
9.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.79
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.51
31%
BALL POSSESSION %
69%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
12
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
75%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Julian Hall · assist Cade Cowell
    NEW
  2. 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Maximilian Arfsten · assist Hugo Picard
    COL
  3. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Julian Hall · assist Cade Cowell
    NEW
  4. 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Taha Habroune
    COL
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Matthew Dos Santos · assist Omar Valencia
    NEW
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Dániel Gazdag · assist D. Rossi
    COL
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Owen Presthus · assist Mohamed Farsi
    COL
  8. 63'
    Goal · Penalty
    D. Rossi
    COL
  9. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Dylan Nealis · assist Justin Che
    NEW
  10. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Cade Cowell · assist Rafael Mosquera
    NEW
  11. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Emil Forsberg · assist Gustav Berggren
    NEW
  12. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jorge Ruvalcaba
    NEW
  13. 71'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rudy Camacho
    COL
  14. 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Julian Hall
    NEW
  15. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Omar Valencia
    NEW
  16. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Julian Hall · assist Roald Mitchell
    NEW
  17. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Taha Habroune · assist Nariman Akhundzade
    COL
  18. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sekou Tidiany Bangoura · assist Amar Sejdic
    COL
  19. 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rafael Mosquera
    NEW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEW YORK RED BULLS AVG 7.7
COLUMBUS CREW AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.8
xG
1.5
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
6.0
ON TARGET
4.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
31.0%
POSSESSION %
69.0%
288.0
PASSES
656.0
75.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
7.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEW YORK RED BULLS 7 shots
Julian Hall
4/5
Cade Cowell
1/1
Jorge Ruvalcaba
0/1
COLUMBUS CREW 7 shots
Maximilian Arfsten
1/2
Hugo Picard
1/2
André Gomes
0/1
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
0/1
Rudy Camacho
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.79 – 1.51
2.2 1.7 1.1 0.6 2.8 0.0 HT 7' 40' 78' 22' 63' H 2.79 A 1.51 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-4-2
4-3-3
4-4-2
34
ETHAN HOR
56
MATTHEW D
12
DYLAN NEA
26
TIM PARKE
3
JAHKEELE
10
EMIL FORS
15
ADRI MEHM
 6.9
48
RONALD DO
 7.0
11
JORGE RUV
 9.7
16
JULIAN HA
 7.9
7
CADE COWE
28
PATRICK S
45
OWEN PRES
25
SEAN ZAWA
 7.0
4
RUDY CAMA
31
STEVEN MO
 7.2
30
HUGO PICA
 7.3
17
SEKOU TID
 7.5
20
ANDRé GOM
 7.5
27
MAXIMILIA
16
TAHA HABR
8
DáNIEL GA
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK RED BULLS
37
Mohammed Sof...
F
6
Robert Volod...
D
77
John McCarth...
G
33
Roald Mitche...
F
79
Rafael Mosqu...
F
4
Gustav Bergg...
M
2
Justin Che
D
5
Omar Valenci...
D
39
Nehuen Bened...
M
SUBSTITUTES · COLUMBUS CREW
2
Marcelo Herr...
D
12
Cesar Ruvalc...
D
21
Yevhen Chebe...
D
1
Nicholas Hag...
G
90
Nariman Akhu...
F
14
Amar Sejdic
M
10
D. Rossi
M
23
Mohamed Fars...
D
46
Chase Adams
F
COACH: Henrik Rydstrom
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

COL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
P. Lauziere
—
NEW MANAGER
—
unannounced
COL MANAGER
Henrik Rydstrom
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
NEW WINS
2
DRAWS
5
COL WINS
22.2%
22.2%
55.6%
10 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
2.89
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
18 Oct 2025
Columbus Crew
3 – 1
New York Red Bulls
L
30 Aug 2025
New York Red Bulls
0 – 0
Columbus Crew
D
03 Nov 2024
New York Red Bulls
2 – 2
Columbus Crew
D
29 Oct 2024
Columbus Crew
0 – 1
New York Red Bulls
W
20 Oct 2024
New York Red Bulls
2 – 3
Columbus Crew
L
NEW YORK RED BULLS LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W D W
COLUMBUS CREW LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
NEW YORK RED BULLS #8
Won · already at 22 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
COLUMBUS CREW #11
Lost · already at 19 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card · Rafael Mosquera
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Taha Habroune
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Julian Hall
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · Omar Valencia
  • 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Julian Hall
  • 71'
    Card · Yellow Card · Rudy Camacho
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jorge Ruvalcaba
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Emil Forsberg
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Cade Cowell
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Dylan Nealis
  • 63'
    Goal · Penalty · D. Rossi
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Owen Presthus
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Dániel Gazdag
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Matthew Dos Santos
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Taha Habroune
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Julian Hall
  • 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Maximilian Arfsten
  • 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Julian Hall
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NEW YORK RED BUL WIN
2.90
34.5% implied
↑ best 3.06
DRAW
3.80
26.3% implied
↑ best 4.00
COLUMBUS CREW WIN
2.18
45.9% implied
↑ best 2.30

Market favors Columbus Crew. AI projects NEW YORK RED BULLS 88% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NEW YORK RED BULLS 88% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.80 4.00 2.18 +52.3%
888Sport 2.70 3.50 2.30 +51.0%
Bet365 3.00 3.90 2.15 +54.7%
Betano 3.00 3.85 2.20 +54.7%
Betfair 2.80 3.90 2.15 +52.3%
BetVictor 2.90 3.80 2.15 +53.5%
Dafabet 3.00 3.95 2.21 +54.7%
Marathonbet 2.95 3.80 2.13 +54.1%
Pinnacle 3.06 3.97 2.20 +55.3%
SBO 2.81 3.62 2.18 +52.4%
Unibet 2.95 3.70 2.18 +54.1%
William Hill 2.80 3.60 2.15 +52.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.53
2.5 O 1.47 U 2.59
3.5 O 2.19 U 1.65
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.42 9 bks
NO
2.67 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.48
Away -0.5 1.39
Away -0.75 1.29
Away -1 1.15
Away -1.25 1.13
Away -1.5 1.12
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.